How will COVID19 most likely change transnational and transregional threat vectors and organisations and worsen vulnerabilities including its consequential effect across the hemisphere 25 June 2020 ID: 933190
Download Presentation The PPT/PDF document "Meeting on Special Security Concerns of ..." is the property of its rightful owner. Permission is granted to download and print the materials on this web site for personal, non-commercial use only, and to display it on your personal computer provided you do not modify the materials and that you retain all copyright notices contained in the materials. By downloading content from our website, you accept the terms of this agreement.
Slide1
Meeting on Special Security Concerns of the Small Islands and Low-lying Coastal Developing States of the Caribbean “How will COVID-19 most likely change transnational and trans-regional threat vectors and organisations and worsen vulnerabilities including its consequential effect across the hemisphere”25 June 2020Captain (N) E R Shurland
1
Strength Through Unity
REGIONAL SECURITY SYSTEM
Slide2NUMBER OF DEATHS ATTRIBUTED TO PUBLIC HEALTH THREATS
TIME
PANDEMIC
APPROX # OF DEATHS
1918
Spanish Flu
50 million
1957
Asian Flu
1,000,000+
1968
Hong Kong Flu
1,000,000
1990s to present
Cholera
More than 3,000,000
2002-2003
SARS
800
2009
H1N1
151,000 to 575,000
2012
MERS
850
2014
Ebola
11,000
2019
COVID-19
457,000
Slide3TRANSNATIONAL THREATS TO THE REGIONPandemicsClimate, weather, resource and energy-related.Food SecurityInternational Economic FlowsCross border cyber-based activitiesHumanitarian Crises
Slide4Multifaceted Impact Economic prosperitySocial – public healthGovernancePublic Security
Slide5Many countries will fall into economic contraction, in weaker regions a possible recession
Employment percentage will decrease and mass firing by big corporates seems inevitable
Oil prices drastically decreased – Hard impact on global economy and Latin America
ECONOMIC
IMPACT
Slide6COVID-19 CRIMINAL IMPACT Global Supply Chain disrupted Less maritime trafficReduced Traffic at the air & sea portsFreedom of action to move their commodities was impededUS Naval presence in Caribbean Sea off Venezuela (source country)Little to no traffic of go fast boatsLittle to no Intel
Diversification of drugs to other areas/New opportunitiesTrafficking - Fake medicine & supplies, PPE on the marketsCounterfeit goodsIncreased local cultivation of marijuana
Slide7POTENTIAL THREAT BEHAVIOUR POST-COVIDCyber crimeIrregular migrationCounterfeiting All of this undermines the legitimate economy
Slide8recommendationsDAta-driven & intelligence planning multi-stakeholder health security governance systemPrioritize cyber security Focus on partnershipsMAKE FULL USE OF legislative arrangements
Slide99
Captain (N) Errington R Shurland
Email:
errington.shurland@rss.org.bb
Website:
www.rss.org.bb
Strength Through Unity
REGIONAL SECURITY SYSTEM
Thank
you
for
your
attention
Muchas
gracias por su
atención
Obrigado pela
vossa
atenção
Je vous remercie de votre attention