Ian Henry AutoAnalysis March 30 2011 5 categories of Light Commercial Vehicles made in Europe Microvans Small vans Medium vans Large vans Pickup trucks ID: 149574
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Slide1
European Light Commercial Vehicle Production Outlook – SMMT Open Forum
Ian Henry, AutoAnalysis
March 30, 2011Slide2
5 categories of Light Commercial Vehicles made in Europe
Microvans
Small vansMedium vans Large vans Pick-up trucksSlide3
Market dominated by joint product development & manufacturing arrangements
Traditionally c2-2.5mn LCVs made in Europe pa, incl. commercial versions of cars
Market supplied almost entirely with local production –
limited importsAlliances are a key feature of market, with some VMs having >1 alliance:Fiat with PSA, and with GM
PSA with Fiat, and Mitsubishi Renault with GM, Nissan and Mercedes
Mercedes with VW and Renault …
Over 1/3 European LCVs supplied through alliances5 main segments
:Microvans, eg Peugeot Bipper
Small vans, eg Ford Transit ConnectMedium vans, eg Vauxhall Vivaro
Large vans, eg Fiat Ducato
Pick-up trucks, eg Nissan Navarra VW adding pick-up production to European offering – the first European VM to make a purpose-built pick-up
Chinese, through Chery and Great Wall, will add LCV production in EuropeSlide4
Significant dip in 2009 production – recovery unlikely to exceed 2007 peak; some PSA/Renault/Fiat production shifting to South America and Russia …Slide5
Daimler
Currently has two vans, Viano/Vito medium van made in Spain, and Sprinter large van made in Germany
Sprinter also supplied to Volkswagen as Crafter and has been supplied to Dodge and Freightliner in low volume for US market
Will source Mercedes version of Kangoo from Renault to give it a small van – previous offering in small vans (Vaneo based on A-class) was not a success
Recently announced a production JV with GAZ in Russia, to make Sprinter for local market:Timing to be confirmedInitial volume 25,000 paThis will be Mercedes’ initial route into Russia; car production in Russia not currently scheduledSlide6
Fiat
Widest range of LCVs, mostly made in JVs with PSA:
Microvans
: Fiat Fiorino, made by Tofas in Turkey, JV with PSA
Small van: Fiat Doblo, made by Tofas; will build version for Opel/Vauxhall under contractMedium van: Fiat Scudo, made by Sevel Nord, French-based arm of PSA JVLarge van: Fiat Ducato, made by Sevel Sud, Italian-based arm of PSA JVIveco Daily: heavy duty large van, made in Italy and Spain
Production in Russia highly likely in new Fiat factory, to replace low volume kit production at local assemblersSlide7
Ford
Only major European VM without an alliance in LCVs
Transit van is, arguably, the most iconic van in Europe, certainly in UK:
Mostly now made in Kocaeli, Turkey; major investment for new model – crosses medium and large van sub-segments
Limited production of chassis-cabs in UKTransit Connect small van currently make in Turkey:Production to shift to Romania Transit Connect is one of three candidates to be next New York City taxi:Could boost new model production in Craiova, or lead to US productionSlide8
GM
Heavily reliant on Renault for most of its presence in LCVs:
Medium
Vivaro van made in joint development and manufacturing programme with Renault; production of new model secured for Luton, saving the factory, starting in 2013; but new van programme will only see Vauxhall/Opel models made in Luton – no Renaults or Nissans
Large Movano van sourced on OEM basis from Renault (rebadged version of Master)Still makes own small van: Combo, based on Corsa:However, for new model, GM is switching Combo van replacement to a modified version of Fiat Doblo from the Tofas plant in Turkey Slide9
PSA
Mix of own vehicle programme and JVs with Fiat
Microvan
: Citroen Nemo/Peugeot Bipper, made by Tofas in Turkey, JV with Fiat
Small van: Citroen Berlingo/Peugeot Partner, self-developed programme, made in Spain; will add EV version with Mitsubishi electric powertrain; CKD arrangement in Turkey, full production also in Brazil – both leading to fall in Spanish productionMedium van: Citroen Jumpy/Peugeot Expert, made by Sevel Nord, French-based arm of Fiat JVLarge van: Citroen Jumper/Peugeot Boxer, made by Sevel Sud, Italian-based arm of Fiat JVSlide10
Renault-Nissan-Dacia
Renault
:
Small van
: Kangoo, formerly supplied to Nissan as Kubistar, also to be supplied to Mercedes (name unknown)Medium van: Trafic, currently made in Spain and UK, switching to France for new model; joint development programme with GMLarge van: Master, also supplied to GM and Nissan on OEM basisNissan
now going down a partially independent path in LCVs:Formerly sourced all European vans from Renault
But Nissan Spain now making own small-medium van (NV200) and will also make new pick-up truck
Dacia: new factory in Morocco will add small van from 2013 … details awaitedSlide11
Small van
: Caddy, made in Poland, based on old Golf platform
Medium van
: Transporter, mostly made in Germany, with chassis cab versions made in Poland; also made in minibus and coach versions in Germany
Large van: Crafter sourced from Mercedes on OEM basisPick-up truck
: developed Amarok for South American market; will add European production in 2012, the first European VM to make a purposed-designed pick-up in EuropeSkoda also makes low volume Praktik van, based on Fabia, mostly for domestic market
VW groupSlide12
In summary … European LCV production ...
Is characterised by
joint production arrangements
, some full JVs (Fiat-PSA), some pure OEM supply (Mercedes for VW, Renault for Mercedes)
Will see more alliances like these in the years aheadIs dominated by European brands – Nissan apart, the Japanese have largely stayed away from this market; and probably will stay away, because of entrenched nature of European suppliers and better opportunities elsewhereChinese will appear at the margins
, in small vans and cheap pick-up trucks, while Hyundai will aim for a slice of Turkish/Near East market with a Turkish production JV