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Analysis of the Stommel Model to Understand Abrupt Change within the Earth System Analysis of the Stommel Model to Understand Abrupt Change within the Earth System

Analysis of the Stommel Model to Understand Abrupt Change within the Earth System - PowerPoint Presentation

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Analysis of the Stommel Model to Understand Abrupt Change within the Earth System - PPT Presentation

Greyson Dunn Method Time step of a year Iterate for 1000 years to simulate timescale of ocean circulation Solve systems of ODE numerically using 4 th order Runge Kutta method Note I preferred convention to switch S1 and S2 ID: 1025697

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1. Analysis of the Stommel Model to Understand Abrupt Change within the Earth SystemGreyson Dunn

2. MethodTime step of a year. Iterate for 1000 years to simulate timescale of ocean circulation. Solve systems of ODE numerically using 4th order Runge-Kutta method.Note: I preferred convention to switch S1 and S2

3. Base CaseSystem in a steady state. Equilibrium reached within timescale of ocean’s circulation despite flux of salt from atmosphere.

4. Younger Dryas ForcingInsert a forcing(Increase in magnitude of H in high latitudes). This can be from trigger mechanism such as a meteorite->warming/melt. System becomes unstable and enters runaway feedback unstable. Conveyor turns off.

5. What does this mean for the future with current climate change? Questions?

6. sourceshttps://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/willeit/klimageschichte-ubungen/stommel-model/tutorial.pdfhttps://courses.seas.harvard.edu/climate/eli/Courses/EPS281r/Sources/Thermohaline-circulation/more/www.phys.uu.nl_nydeden-lecture10ClimDyn2006-Stommel-slides.pdf“Thermohaline Convection with Two Stable Regimes of Flow” –Henry Stommel