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Media InquiriesEconomic IndicatorsDivision Retail Indicator BranchPublic Information Office30176327133017633030eidretailindicatorbranchcensusgovpiocensusgovPercent Change in Retail and Food Servic ID: 873454

retail percent estimates census percent retail census estimates gov sales survey error indicator services 2021 monthly advance data information

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1 Data Inquiries Media Inquiries Econo
Data Inquiries Media Inquiries Economic Indicator s Division, Retail Indicator Branch Public Information Office 301 - 763 - 2713 301 - 763 - 3030 eid.retail.indicator.branch@census.gov pio@census.gov Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales from Previous Month Data adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading - day differences but not for price changes. FOR RELEA SE AT 8:30 AM E D T, TUESDAY , AUGUST 1 7 , 202 1 ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES , JU LY 202 1 Releas e Number: CB 2 1 - 1 24 August 1 7 , 202 1 — The U.S. Census Bureau announced the following advance estimates of U.S. retail and ood services s ales for Ju ly 202 1 : Advance Estimates of U.S. Retail and Food Services Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for Ju ly 2021, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading - day differences, but not for price changes, were $6 17.7 billion, a de crease of 1.1 percent (± 0.5 but 1 5.8 percent (± 0.7 percent) above Ju ly 2020. Total sales for the May 2021 through Ju ly 2021 period were up 20.6 percent (± 0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The May 2021 to June 2021 percent change was revised from up 0.6 percent (± 0.5 percent) to up 0.7 percent (± 0.2 percent). Retail trade sales were down 1.5 percent (± 0.5 percent) from June 2021, but up 1 3.3 percent (± 0.7 percent) above last year. Clothing and clothing accessories stores were up 4 3.4 percent (± 2.8 percent) from Ju ly 2020, while food services and drinking places were up 38.4 percent (± 3.0 percent) from last year. General Information The August 202 1 Advance Monthly Retail report is scheduled for re lease on September 1 6 at 8:30 a.m. E D T. View the full schedule in the Economic Briefing Room: www.census.gov/economic - indicators/ �. The full text and tables of this release can be found at www.census.gov/retail/ �. ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES Ju ly 202 1 $ 6 17.7 billion -

2 1.1 % June 202 1 $ 6 24.7 bi
1.1 % June 202 1 $ 6 24.7 billion 0.7 % Next release: September 1 6 , 2021 * The 90 percent confide nce interval includes zero. T here is insufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero. Data adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading - day differences but not for price changes. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Advanced Monthly Retail Trade Survey, August 1 7 , 202 1 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 May June July Total Ex Auto Auto Gen Mer Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Advanced Monthly Retail Trade Survey , August 17, 2021 Data Inquiries Media Inquiries Economic Indicator s Division, Retail Indicator Branch Public Information Office 301 - 763 - 2713 301 - 763 - 3030 eid.retail.indicator.branch@census.gov pio@census.gov E XPLANATORY NOTES The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau’s full retail and food services  sample. A strat ified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,500 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms . Survey Description The U.S. Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade and Food Services Survey to provide an early estimate of monthly sales by kind of business for retail and food service firms located in the United States. Each month, questionnaires are maile d to a probability sample of approximately 5,500 employer firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Advance sales estimates are computed using a link relative estimator. For each detailed industry, we compute a ratio of current - to - previou s month weighted sales using data from units for which we have obtained usable responses for both the current and previous month. For each detailed industry, the advance total sales estimates for the current month is computed by multiplying this ratio by t he preliminary sales estimate for the previous month (derived from the larger MRTS) at the appropriate industry level. Tot

3 al estimates for broader industries are
al estimates for broader industries are computed as the sum of the detailed industry estimates. The link relative estimate is used bec ause imputation is not performed for most nonrespondents in MARTS. For a limited number of nonresponding companies that have influential effects on the estimates, sales may be estimated based on historical performance of that company. The monthly estimate s are benchmarked to the annual survey estimates from the Annual Retail Trade Survey once available. The estimates are adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading day differences. Additional information on MARTS and MRTS can be found o n the Census Bureau website at: www.census.gov/retail �. Reliability of Estimates Because the estimates presented in this report are based on a sample survey, they contain sampling error and nonsampling error. Sampli ng error is the difference between the estimate and the result that would be obtained from a complete enumeration of the sampling frame conducted und er the same survey conditions. This error occurs because only a subset of the entire sampling frame is meas ured in a sample survey. Standard errors and coefficients of variation (CV), as given in Table 3 of this report, are estimated measures of sampling variation. The margin of sampling error, as used on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90 p ercent confidence interval. If, for example, the percent change estimate is +1.2 percent and its estimated Data Inquiries Media Inquiries Economic Indicator s Division, Retail Indicator Branch Public Information Office 301 - 763 - 2713 301 - 763 - 3030 eid.retail.indicator.branch@census.gov pio@census.gov standard error is 0.9 percent, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.753 x 0.9 percent or ±1.6 percent, and the 90 percent confidence interval is – 0.4 percent to +2.8 percent . If the interval contains 0, then one does not have sufficient evidence to conclude at the 90 percent confidence level that the change is different from zero and therefore the change is not statistically significant. Esti

4 mated c hanges shown in the text are st
mated c hanges shown in the text are statistically sign ificant unless otherwise noted. For a monthly total, the median estimated coef ficient of variation is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ±1.753 x CV x (the estimated monthly total) . The Census Bureau recommends that individuals using estimates in this report incorporate this information into their analyses, as sampling error could affect the conclusions drawn from the estimates. Nonsampling error encompasses all other factors that c ontribute to the total erro r of a sample survey estimate. This type of error can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, mistakes in the recording and coding of data, and other errors of collection, respons e, coverage, or proce ssing. Although nonsampling error is not measured directly, the Census Bureau employs quality control procedures throughout the process to minimize this type of error. Statement Regarding COVID - 19 Impact The Census Bureau continues to monitor response and data quality and has determined that estimates in this release meet publication standards. For more information, see COVID - 19 F AQs. Weather Information For information on the impact of weather events on the compilation of this report, please see the Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) on our website at: www.censu s.gov/retail/marts_weather_faqs.html � RESOURCES The Rest of the Consumer Spending Story Retail and services together represent what’s commonly referred to as consumer spending. Quarterly  Services Survey (QSS) revenue comprises roughly 2/3 of the personal consumption expenditures component of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measured by t he Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The second quarter 2021 Advance Quarterly Services Report will be available on August 19, 2021 at 10:00 AM. Learn about historical revenue trends for certain industries going back 15 years and other data, such as in - pa tient days and discharges for hospitals, by visiting https://www.census.gov/services/index.html &#x

5 0000; Data Inquiries Media Inqui
0000; Data Inquiries Media Inquiries Economic Indicator s Division, Retail Indicator Branch Public Information Office 301 - 763 - 2713 301 - 763 - 3030 eid.retail.indicator.branch@census.gov pio@census.gov API The Census Bureau’s applica tion programming interface lets developers create custom apps to rea ch new users and makes key demographic, socio - economic and housing statistics more accessible than ever before. www.census.gov/developers/ � FRED Mobile App Receive the latest updates on the nation’s key economic indicators by downloading  the FRED App https://fred.stlouisfed.org/fred - mobile/ � for both Apple and Android de vices. FRED, the signature database of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, now incorporates the Census Bureau’s 13 economic indicators. ### * The 90 perc ent confidence interval include s zero. T here is in sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero . code%Chg.Jul.Jun.MayJul.Jun.Jul.Jun.MayJul.Jun.20212020(a)(p)(r)(a)(p)(r)(r)(r) … 4,181,07921.9636,980634,630643,099549,416532,678617,719624,731620,119533,522526,187…3,268,78018.9502,640497,470500,389433,183418,450490,987492,817485,272423,979415,613……………3,858,78 0 21.1583,28 7 583,34 7 592,919510,54 0 496,36 4 568,232576,39 6 573,483497,52 6 491,89 6 ……………………….2,946,48 1 17.6448,94 7 446,18 7 450,209394,30 7 382,13 6 441,50 0 444,482438,63 6 387,983381,322…..…………………………….………..3,723,63 1 20.9560,28 6 562,209570,641494,905481,205545,502553,73 0 550,781481,35 8 475,723GAFO4………………………....……...……...…………..………..…… … (*)(*)(*)123,907126,686106,664102,574(*)127,443125,386107,059105,746441Motor … 912,29 9 34.0134,34 0 137,16 0 142,71 0 116,233114,22 8 126,73 2 131,91 4 134,84 7 109,543110,57 4 4411,441 2 .847,93535.7124,51 0 127,43 7 133,232107,082104,941117,352122,65 4 125,45 4 100,92 6 101,68 7 44111Newcardealers……………….……… . (*)(*)(*)100,009105,86 8 84,69181,593(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA) … (*)(*)(*)9,7239,4789,1519,287(*)9,26 0 9,3938,6178,887442Furniture … 81,75 4 38.512,28211,93 6 12,15110,6259,99311,94712,02 0 1

6 2,28 6 10,33 6 10,10 4 4421 . (*)(*)(*)6
2,28 6 10,33 6 10,10 4 4421 . (*)(*)(*)6,4756,7965,9575,73 0 (NA)(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA) … (*)(*)(*)(S)(S)4,6684,263(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA)443Electronics … 52,23 0 34.88,0917,9907,59 4 6,5555,6088,6268,6018,2286,9816,00 4 444Building … 285,34316.441,53345,42 8 46,92 0 39,43 0 42,09238,61539,08539,64 8 35,93336,36 6 4441Buildingmat.&sup.dealers……… … (*)(*)(*)39,53 4 40,12934,87 0 36,397(*)34,05234,80 4 31,24 6 31,54 0 445Foodstores…………….………510,22 2 1.777,23174,78 8 76,38375,08571,79974,40974,97174,34972,71772,511 … 455,4220.768,69 0 66,43168,01566,89263,97366,36766,63166,09 8 64,94 4 ……………(*)(*)(*)6,05 0 6,08 4 6,1065,78 0 (*)6,0265,9765,7015,757446Health … 217,55 2 10.232,04 6 32,37 0 31,16929,57328,27932,56732,53331,13 8 29,81128,33 6 44611Pharmacies&drugstores…………… … (*)(*)(*)27,30926,37725,46 0 24,655(*)27,72526,35125,69124,95 4 447Gasoline … 322,29 9 31.653,69351,28350,18 0 38,87 6 36,31 4 49,48748,33546,63 6 35,99 6 448Clothing … 157,84 9 70.025,93 0 25,33 8 26,50317,77916,44225,83926,52725,58 6 18,02 4 17,36144811Men'sclothingstores………………… … (*)(*)(*)652713405303(*)676642453313………..……(*)(*)(*)3,2823,3812,3732,027(*)3,3123,1752,3832,07 0 4481 4 Familyclothingstores………………… … (*)(*)(*)10,17 0 10,3117,0776,955(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA)(NA) … (*)(*)(*)3,3333,5872,7222,692(*)3,49 0 3,4592,62 0 451Sporting l ………………59,79739.09,1729,3068,9128,0118,3909,2279,4109,5838,1088,552452General … 454,86 6 10.569,29 8 67,01 4 69,33 0 61,67 4 60,50168,48 0 68,55167,39 4 61,72962,02 4 4521Departmentstores………………….… … 71,20 4 21.011,62511,25311,25 4 9,38 4 9,04712,07 0 12,11211,45 6 9,71 4 9,75 0 4529Othergeneralmerch.stores…...… … (*)(*)(*)55,76158,07 6 52,29 0 51,45 4 (*)56,43955,93 8 52,01552,27 4    supercenters………………….………..(*)(*)(*)47,79749,52 6 44,70 6 43,615(*)48,42747,62144,43944,32 4 45299Alloth.gen.merch.stores……… … (*)(*)(*)7,96 4 8,55 0 7,58 4 7,839(*)8,0128,3177,5767,95 0 453Miscellaneous … 92,39 8 30.214,65 4 14,44 0 14,36711,99211,54 4 14,17213,69213,16911,54 4 11,00 0 454Nonstore . 577,02 2 16.982,01 6 85,15 6 84,42279,07276,01585,40188,09187,91780,63 6 78,60 0 4541Elect.shopping&m/ohouses….… … (*)(*)(*)77,17576,29372,12369,95 4 (*)79,235

7 79,14273,07371,895722Food 8 30.576,69 4
79,14273,07371,895722Food 8 30.576,69 4 72,42172,45 8 54,51151,47372,21771,00169,33 8 52,16 4 50,46 4 (*)Advanceestimatesarenotavailableforthiskindofbusiness.(S)Estimatedoesnotmeetpublicationstandardsbecauseofhighsamplingvariability(coefficientofvariationisgreaterthan30%),poorresponsequality(totalquantityresponserateislessthan50%),orotherconcernsabouttheestimate'squality.(1)ForafulldescriptionoftheNAICScodesusedinthistable,see&#xhttp;&#xs://;&#xwww.;Îns;&#xus.g;&#xov/n; ics;&#x/000; AdvanceJun.PreliminarythroughNAICSfrom2021May2021Jul.2020May2021Jun.2020throughthrough(p)(r)(r)(r)Apr.2021Jul. … 1.115.80.718.72.820.6 . 0.415.81.618.63.520.1 … 1.414.20.517.22.419.0 & gasolinestations)……………………….…… … . 1.513.30.516.41.417.7441Motor … 3.915.72.219.30.222.6 … 4.316.32.220.60.223.8442Furniture … 0.615.62.219.00.530.5 … 0.323.64.543.36.647.5444Building1.27.51.47.55.08.4445Food … 0.72.30.83.42.32.2 . 0.42.20.83.02.61.8446Health … 0.19.24.514.82.514.0447Gasoline……………………..…………2.437.53.641.07.444.6448Clothing … 2.643.43.752.811.678.1451Sporting … 1.913.81.810.01.820.9452General … 0.110.91.710.50.410.6 . 0.324.35.724.29.825.6453Miscellaneous … 3.522.84.024.53.230.5454Nonstore … 3.15.90.212.10.38.6722Food . 1.738.42.440.714.749.4 . Source:U.S.CensusBureau,AdvanceMonthlyRetailTradeSurvey,August17,2021.Table3providesestimatedmeasuresofsamplingvariability.Additionalinformationonconfidentialityprotection,samplingerror,nonsamplingerror, . KindofBusinessPercentChange1(EstimatesareshownaspercentsandarebasedondatafromtheAdvanceMonthlyRetailTradeSurvey,MonthlyRetailTradeSurvey, CodeKindMo.PreviousQtr.CurrenttototoAverageabsoluteMo.CurrentQtr.Mo.Yr.revisionrevision … 0.70.30.20.40.30.3 … 0.90.20.20.40.20.3 … 0.70.30.20.50.20.4 … 0.90.30.20.40.20.3 … 0.60.30.20.40.20.4441Motor … 1.40.80.61.30.40.7 … 2.91.00.81.60.41.0443Electronics … 1.60.70.61.10.21.7444Buildingdealers…………………………………2.10.80.61.40.20.7445Food … 0.70.20.20.70.10.2 … 2.90.80.51.60.10.6447Gasoline … 1.20.40.40.90.30.5448Clothing … 2.90.91.11.60.91.1451Sporting………………..2.90.80.91.90.61.1452General … 1.00.10.10.30.60.4 … 4.42.91.84.70.90.9 … 1.60.40.41.00.11.5 … 3.51.00.71.70.60.4