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Current and Future Evaluation Changes Current and Future Evaluation Changes

Current and Future Evaluation Changes - PowerPoint Presentation

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Current and Future Evaluation Changes - PPT Presentation

HO genotypes from Switzerland Genomic evaluation of Guernseys Mutations in HCD and in BH2 HCR edits and adjustments Breed base representation BBR for crossbreds April changes Breed check markers ID: 503965

lactation breed scs 100 breed lactation 100 scs snp ptaliv rate genetic crossbreds trait model base data liv evaluation

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Slide1

Current and Future Evaluation ChangesSlide2

HO genotypes from

SwitzerlandGenomic evaluation of GuernseysMutations in HCD and in BH2HCR edits and adjustmentsBreed base representation (BBR) for crossbreds

April changesSlide3

Breed check markers

Breed determining SNP introduced in 2010200 SNPs monomorphic in 1 breed and have fewer than 30% of animals homozygous for that allele in another breedInitially used to identify misidentified samplesLater, used to exclude crossbreds from genomic evaluation because purebred equations did not apply accuratelyCurrently, about

10,000

crossbreds excluded with cost of genotyping about

$400,000Slide4

Predicting breed as a “trait”

Reference population is purebred, proven bullsVariable to predict (Y) is breed of animalHolstein bulls are coded 100% HO, 0% JE, and 0% BS, for example

Animal Breed

Holstein percent

Jersey percent

Brown Swiss %

HO

100

0

0

JE

0

100

0

BS

0

0

100Slide5

Results from 2010 (Katie Olson)

Breed

/SNP set

43 K

3 K

600

Holstein

(N = 14,794)

100.0 ± 0.8100.4 ± 3.1100.2 ± 1.9Jersey(N = 919)99.6 ± 2.897.8± 6.398.9 ± 3.6Brown Swiss(N = 96)99.4 ± 2.198.9 ± 3.699.2 ± 5.1

Means and standard deviations

to predict

breed of the validation

(

young animals) data setSlide6

GPTA for crossbreds

(proposed)Compute traditional PTAs on all-breed base Calculate SNP effects using each pure breed’s genotypes, but on all-breed baseApply each breed’s SNP effects

(AY, BS, GU, HO, JE)

to the crossbred genotypes

Combine individual breed GPTAs weighted by genomic breed composition

Convert GPTAs to

within-breed baseSlide7

Reasons for disposal have been reported and stored in DHI records since

1970About 20% of cows die instead of being sold across all lactationsDeath loss per lactation average 7%, higher in later, lower in earlier lactationCow mortality / livabilitySlide8

PL measures cow’s ability to avoid dying

or being culledLIV measures cow’s ability to stay aliveLIV is a subset of PLCost = 1500 pounds * $.75 / pound + $50 disposal = $1200 / deathProductive Life (PL) vs. Livability (LIV)Slide9

Definition

:Reverse of mortality:0 = died this lactation100 = lived this lactationMultiply by average lactation/cow (2.8) so to put on lifetime scale LIV modelSlide10

Data

:92 million records on 32 million cowsMethodology:Same model and software as other major traitsSimilar edits as other traitsMulti-trait with overall culling per lactation, but lactation cull rate will not be reported

Heritability of

1.3

(Miller et al., 2008),

genetic

correlation with lactation PL of

.50LIV model (cont.)Slide11

Breed

Mean

Std Dev

Num. bulls

AY

0.5

2.0

246

BS

0.12.0692GU-0.33.5182HO-1.12.245,840JE-0.21.73,893MS0.71.964Means and Std Dev. of PTALIV (bulls born 1990 or later, minimum 50 daus, .50 rel for PTALIV) Slide12

Trait

HOJE

Milk

.09

-.08

Fat

.21

.01

Protein

.16-.01Prod. Life.70.54SCS-.28-.07Dau. Preg. Rate.40.54Cow Conc. Rate.40.33Heifer Conc. Rate.28.32Num. bulls45,8403,893Correlation of PTALIV with other trait PTAs (bulls born 1990 or later, minimum 50 daus, .50 rel for PTALIV) Slide13

LIV genetic trends 1970-2013 Slide14

Genetic trend in PTALIV - HOSlide15

Year

TraitsAdded

Data

Corr

Gain

1976

3

Protein

DHIA

.964%19945Productive life, SCSDHIA.8419%200018Size, udder, feet / legsBreeds.946%200321Pregnancy rate, calving ease (sire, dtr)DHIA / NAAB.982%200623Stillbirth (sire, dtr)NAAB.982%201425Heifer, cow conceptionDHIA.973%2016Cow deathDHIA> .99< 1%2016316 more health traitsZoetis.92 ??21% ??Added value from more traitsSlide16

Trait

Cases (%) / lactationHeritability(obs

/

thr

)

3

Cost ($)

/ case

Death

171.3 / 4.81,200Mastitis2233.7 / 6.9200Lameness203.7 / 6.3320Metritis102.9 / 5.9330Retained Placenta52.6 / 7.3250Displaced Abomasum21.5 / 8.1250Ketosis52.1 / 5.9200Health trait cases and costs?1Death data from USDA research2Other trait cases and cost from Zoetis data and advertisement3Observed scale and equivalent underlying (threshold model) heritabilitySlide17

Correlation

CANDFS

FRA

NLD

USA SCS, foreign MAST

.87

.87

.

87

.88USA SCS, foreign SCS.94.88.90.88Correlations of SCS and mastitisGenetic correlations estimated by Interbull, Apr 2016Genetic correlation (SCS,MAST) estimated by Zoetis = .45Slide18

Genotyped mates and ET progenySlide19

Single-step genomic equations

OK for JE, still not for HOTraits already recordedAge at first calf, gestation length, persistency, heat toleranceTraits requiring new dataFeed efficiency, health, etc.Sequence mutations plus markersFuture evaluation optionsSlide20

History of SNP Chips