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Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade

Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade - PowerPoint Presentation

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Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade - PPT Presentation

Sam J G Cooper a Jonathan B Norman a Palash Kamruzzaman b Geoff P Hammond a University of Bath Bath UK University of South Wales Pontypridd UK sjgcooperbathedu Sustainable lifestyles livelihoods and the circular ID: 801671

economy circular june 2017 circular economy 2017 june 29th livelihoods lifestyles sustainable 27th regions regional impact sectors transition global

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Slide1

Scope for the circular economy to affect GHG and employment embodied in trade

Sam J G

Cooper

a

, Jonathan B Normana, Palash Kamruzzamanb, Geoff P HammondaUniversity of Bath, Bath UKUniversity of South Wales, Pontypridd, UKsjgcooper@bath.edu

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy27th – 29th June 2017

EPRSC grant: EP/N022645/1

Slide2

Background

1. The effects of circular economy approaches are felt outside the region adopting them:

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017Cooper, S. J. G., Giesekam, J., Hammond, G. P., Norman, J. B., Owen, A., Rogers, J. G., & Scott, K. (2017). Thermodynamic insights and assessment of the “circular economy.” Journal of Cleaner Production. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.06.169

Slide3

Background

2. Different regions have different relationships between impacts based on consumption or production

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

3. Exporting goods and services is responsible for emissions but also value creation

Slide4

How might macro-scale effects vary?

Modelling approximation: circular economy approaches replace the need for raw material inputs with alternatives. E.g. refurbishment, material efficiency, reuse, recycling etc.

Supply chain effects assessment based on Multi-regional input-output analysis

Linear, aggregated model

Which regions might be affected?Which regions and sectors cause effects?

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017Eora dataset, worldmrio.comLenzen, M., Kanemoto, K., Moran, D., Geschke, A. Mapping the Structure of the World Economy (2012). Env. Sci. Tech. 46(15) pp 8374-8381. DOI:10.1021/es300171xManfred Lenzen , Daniel Moran , Keiichiro Kanemoto & Arne Geschke (2013) Building Eora: A Global Multi-regional Input-Output Database at High Country and Sector Reso lution, Economic Systems Research, 25:1, 20-49, DOI:10.1080/09535314.2013.769938

Slide5

Global impact per % of global transition

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide6

Regional impact per % of global transition

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide7

Regional impact per % regional transition

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide8

Global impact per % regional transition

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide9

Sectors – impact per % transition

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide10

Sectors – impact per $ moved

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide11

Conclusions

Effect of others adopting it may force adaptation.

Disruption potentially highest for low-income regions, but also greatest scope for benefit

Nations adopting CE approaches generally benefit.

Even if sectoral profit ratios unaffectedGenerally, high-income regions see less employment churn for given level of change.Potential savings per $ vary but can be high.Further research – case studies considering actual challenges in transition.

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular economy 27th – 29th June 2017

Slide12

All sectors and regions

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide13

All sectors and regions

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017

Slide14

All sectors and regions

Sustainable lifestyles, livelihoods and the circular

economy 27th

– 29th June 2017