Follow up from LBNF Risk Review February 1 st thru 4 th 2015 SURF Team Option 1 Lower exhaust drift 2 In Domain 4 Outside Studied Area in domain 4 Would require another geotechnical program perhaps adding 1 year ID: 525818
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Slide1
LBNF Excavation Alternatives
Follow up from LBNF Risk ReviewFebruary 1st thru 4th, 2015
SURF TeamSlide2
Option 1
Lower exhaust drift
2
In Domain 4
Outside Studied Area, in domain 4 (?)
Would require another geotechnical program (perhaps adding ~ 1 year)
Lots of excavation overall and in phase
1
Phase 1 does not allow a second cryostat to be built, so filling of detector 1 is delayed until phase 2 is completeCombined exhaust may offer opportunity to combine cooling, but it will be dusty during excavationDifficult to fully isolate excavation and outfitting
Outside Studied AreaAntechamber should be longer
This is the same layout that you have seen before.Slide3
Option 1 Schedule/Cost
3
Total Cost: $
174M+$5M exhaust path = $179M
Duration to allow filling of detector 1: 37 months as shown. Could be compressed to 22 months if excavation of caverns 1 and 2 overlap
Total Duration: 60 months
Cost and schedule include antechambers and
septums (previous comparisons did not)This cost does not include the lower exhaust drift, which would add ~$5M to phase 1 (and overall) as drawn. It should not affect schedule.
Both of these are required to allow detector 1 to fillSlide4
Option 5With
septums and antechambers4
The septum and antechamber spaces can be rearranged in this layout with little impact on cost and schedule. For example, the antechamber could be in the middle.
While not shown, additional drifts would be included between antechambers and between the northern antechamber and the existing drift.
This is the same layout that you have seen before.Slide5
Option 5 Schedule/Cost
5
Total Cost: $157M
Phase 1 Duration: 20 months
Total Duration: 36 months
Cost and schedule include antechambers and
septums (previous comparisons did not)Slide6
Option 6 : “H” arrangement
CF Does not recommend this option
for several reasons:
The large intersections create stress concentrations that may not be possible in this rock mass
The
concept of installing walls at the full cavern width is not feasible for excavation isolations due to air blast
pressures without significantly reducing the efficiency of excavation
Ventilation is complicated both during construction and operation. Most heat is in the utility space, so we would like to exhaust from that space. Additional drifts above or below could help with this.
Because of items 2 and 3, all excavation would need to be completed in phase 1.Since CF does agree that a central utility space could have benefit, we offer two variations on the following slidesThis is the layout most recently proposed. The dominant new feature is a common antechamber area Slide7
Option 6 Schedule/Cost
For the reasons described on the previous slide, Option 6 has not been estimated. It is our belief, however, that this option cannot be efficiently constructed in phases as drawn, so the first and only phase would be on the scale of 3 years.
Note that it may be possible to excavate with isolation as envisioned, but the blasting techniques would be much slower and more expensive.
It
may
also be possible to excavate the large intersection as shown, but ground support would increase, increasing cost and schedule. A detailed 3d modeling of this would be required to deem whether it’s possible.
7Slide8
Option 5aParallel Central Utility Space
8
The southern cavern is outside the studied area, but we believe it may be close enough.
Since the CF and cryogenics are in a separate chamber, there is no conflict with cryostat & detector laydown
Option 5 modified by the Option 6 common antechamber concept. Slide9
Option 5a Schedule/Cost
9
Total Cost:
TBD
Duration to allow filling of detector 1: 17 months
Total
Duration: 28 monthsSlide10
Option 5bPerpendicular Central Utility Space
10
This alternative could allow for independent excavation of 4 caverns, but only with an
independent exhaust
drift (not shown)
The eastern caverns
extend into domain 4
The orientation of the central utility space is less favorable based on the
rock foliation orientation.Option 5 modified by the Option 6 common antechamber concept. Perhaps more closely tied with Option 1 Slide11
Option 5b Schedule/Cost
Option 5b has not been estimated as of this presentation. Complications with rock foliation orientation suggest that a cost and schedule based on our “normal” assumptions would be misleading.11Slide12
Comparison
Our charge was to evaluate options 1, 5, and 6. Option 6 has too many complications to be evaluated fully, but we thought that the common antechamber area was interesting enough that we decided to add options 5A and 5B to the evaluation.Jim Strait edited the list of requirements generated by
iEFIG
for
evaluations, classifying them as category 1 and 2. Jim suggested that only category 1 items be considered for comparison.
Of the category 1 requirements, we believe that 7 are considered equal across all options and are therefore not helpful in comparing options. Three others are considered to be closely interrelated, and therefore have been combined into 1.
Of the remaining requirements, 7 represent a fundamental distinction between options. The other 4 are items that require more or less design work/cost to achieve, but the core requirement can be met in any case.
The following slides attempt to summarize the “engineers” analysis of options 1, 5, 5A, 5B, and 6 using the methodology described above.
12Slide13
Category 1 items that are the same for all options
13Slide14
Category 1 items with differences between options
14The 7 criteria that represent a fundamental difference between options are highlighted in yellow and simplified and ranked on the next slide. The
other
4
are items that require more or less design work/cost to achieve, but the core requirement can be
met equally
in any case. All requirements CAN be met with any option.Slide15
Ranking and cost/schedule summary
15Criteria should be “weighted” based on
importance.
Rankings are
based on the assumptions we’ve been using for layouts and phasing.
Examples
:
Analysis to date has focused on quickest 10 kT. If the focus were on quickest 40 kT, we could approach excavation differently to make any option faster (parallel vs. serial excavation). This
could change the rank of the second row. If stress distribution is more important than fitting within the geotechnical studied area, we could spread out options and change the ranking in that row.Slide16
Comparison Schedule
16
Time during which interference would exist between excavation and all other activities
(efficiency decrease, potential damage) Slide17
Option 5 with detector construction
17Slide18
Comments CERN and FNAL Cryogenic Engineers(Johan Bremer, David Montanari, Barry Norris, Mark
Adamwoski)From the cryogenics point of view, we do not see large differences between the various options (1, 5, 5a, 5b, 6). Any potential difference is in the noise of the current estimates.
In any scenario, there will be multiple activities in parallel:
Construction of cryostat.
Construction of cryogenic system (details below).
Excavation of cavern.
The following shall be ready when the first cryostat module is ready for cool down (perhaps this could be added as requirement for CF considerations?):
Central facilities (electricity, cooling, etc.) for the common cryogenics and local cryogenics of cryostat n. 1.
Common cryogenics (at least for Cryostat n. 1) Cold Box(es), etc.Local cryogenics for Cryostat n. 1 LAr purification, condenser, etc.As long as the work can be done safely and in parallel as needed, we believe that we can work with any of these layouts.As already pointed out by CF, we also would like to underline that, in addition to multiple construction activities going on at the same time (construction of cryostat, construction of cryogenic system, excavation of subsequent caverns), there might be the need to handle a lot of equipment up/down the Ross shaft at the same time as well: parts for the installation of cryogenic equipment and cryostat, and waste rock removed by the excavation process. Installation sequences should be studied, but all layouts will be affected in the same way.
We believe that the choice of the cavern layouts comes down to cost/schedule and CF and ODH considerations.
18Slide19
CF Concerns
All previous cost discussion has been based on unimpeded access for excavation. If excavation is slowed due to vibration control and/or scheduling blasts, the costs could rise significantly.The standard evacuation distance during blasting is 2000 feet (610m). Alternatively, blasts could be restricted to shift change times. Either way, either excavation or experiment construction schedule will be affected.
It is not possible to install cryogen piping in the Ross Shaft while excavating, nor prior to Ross Rehab completion. Installation of this piping is expected to take on the order of 6 months. This will impact critical path if excavation is phased with no delays.
If a “hiatus” is introduced between phases to allow for this, it will add cost.
For any phased excavation option, sharing the mucking ramp with deliveries of experiment equipment may be a problem. We have not addressed this.
A better understanding of the cryostat/detector installation sequence is needed. If the number of deliveries per day is low we may be able to deliver materials to the base of the pit using the lower mucking drift. If materials can be installed from the upper elevation, using the mucking drift or a dedicated installation drift is not required.
If excavation duration is too long (beyond 2024), the proposed rock disposal site may not be able to accept all waste rock.
19Slide20
Backup
These are slides that you’ve seen before, included for reference if needed.20Slide21
Alternative Excavation Comparison
1. Ross 10
kT’s
2. Parallel 10
kT’s
3. 10 + 30
kT4. Single 40 kT
5. Two 20 kTTotal Cavern Excavated Volume162,000 m3162,000 m3162,000 m3162,000 m
3162,000 m3Total Drifts
Excavated Volume86,800 m3
88,300 m
3
84,500 m
3
58,800 m
3
84,200 m
3
Distance from Ross Shaft to Common
Space (first cavern)
240m
510m
240m
240m
240m
Distance between Common Space and furthest cavern
200m
570m
220m
0m
200m
Conflict
with operation) (Rank)
2
1
3
3
2
Clean/Dirty Interface (Rank)
3
3
2
1
2
Egress (Rank)
4
2
2
1
2
Excavation
cost of phase 1 (
No escalation , EDIA, MR
)
$80M
$46M
$79M
$121M
$96M
Total
Excavation
Cost
(
No escalation
, EDIA, MR
)
$140M
$134M
$134M
$121M
$135M
Excavation
Schedule to 10
kT
19 mo
18 mo
14 mo
30 mo
17 mo
Total
Excavation
Schedule
48
mo
49 mo
46 mo
30 mo
30 mo
21
The schedules for caverns larger than 10
kT
assume excavation from both ends. 10
kT
caverns are assumed too short to allow this efficiently.
Note that there are no antechambers,
septums
, concrete pit lining or steel structure, but
this comparison has equal assumptions in all options. Options 1 and 5 have been changed in the main body of this presentation.Slide22
Septum/Antechamber Discussion
Antechamber space costs ~$90,000/m ($363/m3)Septum space costs ~$162,000/m ($223/m3), but also provides 4-5 stories of space.Discussions with the cryo group have suggested two possible solutions:
In any situation, CF requires 25m in an antechamber for electrical transformers and switchgear, chillers, air handlers, etc..
With 15m
septums
in each cavern, two caverns would have 25m antechambers for cryo equipment (50m total) and any additional caverns would have no cryo space in antechambers (25m total).
Note that whether a septum is supporting one or two cryostats, it remains 15m for this discussion. A single cryostat scenario may be able to reduce that by ~5m.
Without septums, two caverns would have 61.5m for cryo equipment (86.5m total), and any additional caverns would have 36.5m for cryo equipment (61.5m total).
Each septum wall adds $1.2M. If the cryostats are steel supported, concrete walls may not be needed, so this cost isn’t considered here.Each septum steel structure adds $2M. It is not clear whether walls or steel structure are needed in antechambers, so this cost is not considered here.22
4 Caverns w/septum
4 Caverns w/o septum
2 Caverns w/septum
2 Caverns w/o septum
1 Cavern w/septum
1 Cavern w/o septum
Total septum length
60
0
30
0
45
0
Total Antechamber length
150
296
100
173
75
133
Cost
$23,000,000
$27,000,000
$14,000,000
$16,000,000
$14,000,000
$12,000,000 Slide23
Septum, Antechamber Assumption Backup
4 cavern Scenario with septum: (4) 15m septums = 60M, (2) 50m antechambers + (2) 25m antechambers = 150m4 cavern scenario without septum: (2) 86.5m antechambers + (2) 61.5m antechambers = 296m2 cavern scenario with septum: (2) 15m septums = 30m, (2) 50m antechambers = 100m
2 cavern scenario without septum: (2) 86.5m antechambers = 170m
1 cavern scenario with
septums
: (3) 15m
septums = 45m, (2) 25m cryo equipment spaces plus 25m CF space = 75mWith a septum, the lay down space goes away.
1 cavern scenario without septums: (2) 46.5m cryo equipment spaces plus (1) 15m laydown space plus (1) 25m CF space = 133m
23Slide24
Cryo Equipment Layout
24
This equipment and
laydown
area moves to the septum if a septum is usedSlide25
CF Equipment Layout (25m)
25
Chillers
Electrical Room
Standby Generator
Standby Generator Fuel
Chilled Water Pumps and DistributionSlide26
Other costs
The table above is based on the following simplified assumptionsEach cavern adds ~$4M infrastructure cost for power, HVAC, fire protection, etc. somewhat independent of sizeEach meter of drift length costs ~$1,600 for lighting, pipes, supports, etc. (for access drifts; ramps are much less). This has a minor effect. Note that this does not account for cryogen systems.
Each month of excavation costs ~$250,000 for Construction management
Antechamber and septum costs are from the previous slide
26
1. Ross 10
kT’s
2. Parallel 10
kT’s3. 10 + 30 kT4. Single 40 kT
5. Two 20 kTAnticipated Infrastructure Cost Impact
+$12M+$13M
+$4M
Reference
+$4M
Anticipated CM Cost Addition Total
+$4.5M
+$4.75M
+$4M
Reference
+$0M
If
only
antechambers are used
+$15M
+$15M
+$4M
Reference
+$4M
If
septums
are also used
+$8M
+$8M
+$0M
Reference
+$0M
Maximum
total impact for costs other than excavation
+$31.5M
+$32.75M
+$12M
Reference
+$8M
Excavation
Cost
(from previous slide)
+$19M
+$13M
+$13M
Reference
+$14M
Maximum Total CF Impact
+$51M
+$46M
+$25M
Reference
+$22M