3200 Target Voters in Target Areas June 18 2017 17195 Gene Ulm Partner Methodology Public Opinion Strategies presents the key findings from a select survey of 3200 voters in 8 states ID: 739490
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Slide1
Swing State Clean Energy Survey
3,200 Target Voters in Target AreasJune 1-8, 2017
#17195
Gene UlmPartnerSlide2
Methodology
Public Opinion Strategies
presents the key findings from a select survey of 3,200 voters in 8 states. This survey does not include Democratic base voters in districts in CA, IL, NY, PA, and TX. The survey was conducted June 1-8, 2017 and has a margin of error of ±1.73%.
Gene Ulm was the pollster and primary researcher on the project. Caitlin Reed was the project director.2Slide3
Trump Issue
Independents approve of Trump on economy and national security, but not on clean energy
Now, thinking about specific issues that have been in the news lately, please let me know if you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump is doing on each specific issue.
The Economy & JobsClean Energy^^Education
National Security and Terrorism
The Environment^
Health Care
^Split Sample A, N =1,608
^^Split Sample B, N=1,592
+31
+24
-8
-5
-7
-6
Ind
Undecided
Soft Dem
Soft GOP
Strong GOP
+16
+23
-32
+58
+91
+7 +15-42+48+88-33-28-70+4+66-26-24-63+0+63-30-31-81+8+71-29-24-66-4+65
Slide4
Strgly
Supp
Supp
Opp
GOP
40%
80%
16%
Dem
85%
98%
2%
Ind
64%
86%
10%
Undecided
63%
89%
7%
Moderate
67%
91%
6%
Trump Voter39%77%18%Clinton Voter85%97%2%Do you support or oppose taking action to accelerate the development and use of clean energy in the United States?Clean EnergyTotal SupportTotal Oppose Accelerating clean energy is supported by 86% of Independents and 77% of Trump Voters 85%11%Slide5
Ranked by % Much More Likely to vote for a
Republican candidate for Congress who:Voters are more likely to vote for a candidate who believes we should invest in clean energy to reduce dependency on foreign oil.
Believes we should do more to invest in clean energy here in America and reduce our county’s dependence on foreign oil from hostile states in the Middle East. Our
ability to avoid future wars will depend on our ability to be energy dominant.Worked across the aisle with Democrats to pass clean energy legislation that will lead to more affordable energy bills and cleaner energy for the average American family.
I
s
willing to stand up to their own party in support of
clean energy
, putting
the
needs of their community
first.
Supports accelerating
the clean energy industry to
bring more jobs into
their district; stimulating the economy,
boosting manufacturing, and expanding middle‐class job
opportunities
at home.
Is a different kind of Republican who is willing to stand
up to the special interest groups when it comes to making sure we have clean energy, clean air, and clean water.
Voted
for legislation that will reduce the cost of clean energy right here in America, lowering your monthly energy bills.Slide6
Initial Generic Ballot
Generic ballot preference before and after the GOP clean energy messaging moved +25% to GOP.
+25
+22
Net
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy MessagingSlide7
Where did this ballot movement come from?
Dem > GOP
Dem > Undecided
Undecided > GOP5%8%
11%
Total Movers Away
from Dem and Und
24%
Party ID
Republican (<1%)
Independent (3%)
Democrat (2%)
Party ID
Republican (<1%)
Independent (5%)
Democrat (3%)
Party ID
Republican (4%)
Independent (7%)
Democrat (<1%)
Party ID
Republican (4%)
Independent (15%)
Democrat (5%)Slide8
Initial Generic Ballot by Region
V
oters in NV, MI, and AZ moved over 30 points towards a Republican who supports clean energy
+30
+32
+25
+31
Net
+33
+44
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy MessagingSlide9
+30
+10
+27+24
Net
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Swing and GOP voters (no hard Dems) in CA and TX
moved
10-39
points
for
a
clean energy Republican
+39
+22
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy MessagingSlide10
+22
Net
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Swing and GOP voters (no hard Dems) in NY moved
19-24
points
towards
a
clean energy Republican
+25
+19
+20
+24
+34
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy MessagingSlide11
Initial Generic Ballot by Congressional District
Swing and GOP voters (no
h
ard Ds) in IL
&
PA moved 23-37
points
towards a clean energy Republican
+26
+24
+23
+37
Net
+33
+36
Generic Ballot After Republican Clean Energy MessagingSlide12
Survey Breakdown
4
0%
Party IDIdeology