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Creating and Testing Social Policy: Creating and Testing Social Policy:

Creating and Testing Social Policy: - PowerPoint Presentation

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Creating and Testing Social Policy: - PPT Presentation

Evidence from SEED for Oklahoma Kids Research Yunju Nam Youngmi Kim Margaret Clancy Michael Sherraden and Robert Zager Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas November 1 2011 Child Development Accounts ID: 910580

account 529 policy seed 529 account seed policy child savings state accounts owned research development oklahoma 2011 cda plans

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Slide1

Creating and Testing Social Policy:Evidence from SEED for Oklahoma Kids Research

Yunju Nam, Youngmi Kim, Margaret Clancy,

Michael Sherraden, and Robert Zager

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

November 1

,

2011

Slide2

Child Development Accounts

Slide3

Child Development Accounts (CDAs)Child Development Accounts are saving and asset building accounts, initiated by public policy.Ideally, CDAs are lifelong (begin at birth), universal (available to all), and progressive (greater subsidies for the poorest children).

(for policy concept, see Sherraden, 1991)

Slide4

Asset Building for Development Often via EducationCDA policies are focused on asset building for child development, education, lifelong well-being.Saving behavior matters for CDAs, but this is not the primary focus.

Psychological and behavioral effects may include hope, control, future orientation, effort

(e.g., Elliott & Beverly, 2011).

By design, CDA policies can be very paternalistic, with automatic enrollment, restrictions on access until a certain age, and restrictions on use.

Slide5

Inclusive 529 College Savings Plans

Slide6

Inclusive 529 College Savings PlansSome state 529 plans are more progressive than others. A number of states have implemented inclusive policy strategies.Inclusive features make 529s more accessible to low- and moderate-income families.

Slide7

Most plans require small initial contributions (median is $25).

Eleven states provide matching contributions

for

low-to-moderate income families.

States

offer a limited selection of funds with different risk and return

characteristics.

The trend toward low fees

continues,

but not all plans are low cost .

529 Plan Potential for Inclusion

(for 529 policy assessment, see Clancy et al., 2004, 2006, 2011)

Slide8

Potential of 529 Plans for a Universal and Progressive CDA in the USEvery state has at least one 529 plan.Inclusive features that can be built into the policy—which would not happen via saving products in the market.

Centralized CDA administration facilitates outreach, a systematic database, and assessment.

Slide9

SEED for Oklahoma Kids (SEED OK)

Research Design and Early Results

Slide10

A Policy Test of CDAs:SEED for Oklahoma Kids (SEED OK)Policy and research initiative designed to test the idea of universal and progressive accounts, lifelong asset building

SEED research is multi-method: Experiment, Account Monitoring, and In-depth Interviews

Oklahoma selected for the SEED OK experiment through a competitive process

Slide11

An experiment with random sample of newborns from a statewide population

Oversamples of African Americans, Latinos, and American Indians

Random assignment to treatment group (n=1,358) and control group (n=1,346)

Integrated into an existing policy structure—the Oklahoma College Savings

Plan, or OK 529

SEED OK Research Design

Slide12

SEED OK Research Data

Type

Dates

Source

Birth records

April - Jun 2007 and

Aug - Oct 2007

Oklahoma State

Department of Health

Baseline survey

Aug 2007 - Apr 2008

RTI International

OK 529

account and savings records

Jan 2008 - June 2009

(quarterly through 2014)

Program Manager

(TIAA-CREF)

Slide13

Oklahoma College Savings Plan (OK 529)State-sponsored 529 savings programTax deduction and tax-free growth of earnings

Can be used for post-secondary education at:

Colleges and universities

Graduate and post-graduate schools

Community colleges

Certain proprietary and vocational schools

Slide14

SEED OK 529 Savings Plan AccountAuto-enrollment in the OK 529 for treatment group newbornsAccount owned by the state

Treatment child named as beneficiary

$1,000 initial deposit

Invested in the OK 529 Balanced Option

State-owned account can be used for post-secondary education until child reaches age 30

Slide15

Other Features of SEED OK Design

Savings match for income-eligible treatments on their deposits of up to $250 per year for 4 years (

2008 - 2011)

Follow-up telephone interviews with

all treatments and

controls

in 2011 and

possibly again later

In-depth interviews with

select SEED OK participants from Fall 2009 through Spring 2010

and possibly

again later

Slide16

SEED OK 529 AccountsSEED OK tracks three types of OK 529 accounts for the child: State-owned

Participant-owned (parent or caregiver)

Other private (relatives or friends)

As a policy concept, these can be viewed together as a single integrated 529 account.

Any control has complete access to open a 529 account in the SEED OK experiment.

Slide17

SEED OK Accounts and Incentives

Account Type

Treatment

Control

State-owned account

OK 529 account opened automatically with $1,000

No state-owned OK 529 account

Participant-owned account

OK 529 account opening encouraged

Time-limited $100 account opening incentive

Savings matched, if income eligible

OK 529 account may be opened

No information or incentives offered

Other private account

Family, friend, etc. can open account for child

No incentives

Family, friend, etc.

can open account for child

No incentives

Slide18

A Compromise to Test the PolicyThe CDA policy concept is a single, integrated account into which all deposits would flow.SEED OK uses an existing policy structure (OK 529), and so must use the current account structure.

In SEED OK, different deposits go into different 529 accounts, all with the child as the beneficiary.

This is cumbersome and imperfect—but allows us to test the policy concept.

Slide19

SEED OK Key Research Questions Can Child Development Accounts increase: 529 account holding,

saving by participants, and

total 529 assets?

Later, SEED OK can assess (4) child development and well-being.

(see Nam et al., 2011)

Slide20

529 Account Holding99.9% for treatments vs. 2.3% for controls, and 16.4% of participants have their own account Huge impacts―compare to:

62% take up of 529 account in MI SEED impact assessment, with $800 initial deposit, but requiring sign up

(Marks et al, 2009).

3.8% of OK households with children up to age 18 holding any OK 529 account

(State Treasurer, 2011).

Slide21

Participant SavingsAverage savings of $43 by treatments vs. $13 by controls in their private accounts:Effect size (saving amount), so far, is positive but quite modest.

We know from qualitative research that families have a hard time thinking about college savings with newborns (especially during a recession).

Nevertheless, positive impact on “seeding” college savings for people who might not otherwise save. We will see if they save more going forward.

Slide22

Asset BuildingMean 529 total assets are $1,080 for treatments vs. $40 for controls:Because asset building is a main SEED OK goal, this is strong and meaningful policy result.

To be sure, this outcome is structured and paternalistic—as all CDA policies are...but Social Security and 401(k) retirement plans are also structured and paternalistic.

Slide23

Overall Account Openingand Savings Impacts

State-owned account: close to 100% success of automatic account opening with $1,000 deposit for treatment participants (one out of 1,361 declined account)

Impacts of SEED OK on account opening and on deposit and saving amounts are statistically significant for the state-owned and participant-owned accounts, but not for other private accounts

Slide24

Summary and Conclusions:Child Development and Well-BeingThe long-term test will be whether CDAs eventually yield positive impacts on:parental attitudes and behaviors

child development in early years

child expectations for education

child educational performancechild health and other measures of well-being

Slide25

Summary and Conclusions:Toward an Inclusive CDA Policy?If a universal and progressive CDA policy is desirable (in the way that universal Social Security is desirable), then SEED OK has demonstrated policy feasibility by using the 529 policy system.If the critical policy test is positive impacts on education and other measures of well-being of children, then SEED OK is still in the early stages.

Wave 2 of the survey has just been completed.

Slide26

AcknowledgementsSEED OK:Policy Demonstration: Oklahoma Governor, Treasurer, and Department of Health; TIAA-CREFFunders: Ford Foundation, Charles Stewart Mott Foundation, Lumina Foundation for Education

Survey Research: RTI International

Slide27

http://csd.wustl.edu/

mclancy@wustl.edu 314-935-8178

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