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Social Statistics: Hypothesis Social Statistics: Hypothesis

Social Statistics: Hypothesis - PowerPoint Presentation

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Social Statistics: Hypothesis - PPT Presentation

The difference between a sample and a population Null and research hypotheses What is a good hypothesis This week 2 Hypothesis An educated guess Research questions hypothesis A good hypothesis translates a problem or research question into a form that is more amendable to testing ID: 641014

research hypothesis null difference hypothesis research difference null sample average children score test graders school good population assistance families offered amount doctors

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Presentation Transcript

Slide1

Social Statistics: Hypothesis Slide2

The difference between a sample and a population

Null and research hypothesesWhat is a good hypothesis

This week

2Slide3

Hypothesis

An educated guessResearch questions

 hypothesisA good hypothesis translates a problem or research question into a form that is more amendable to testing

Practical way: test your hypothesis in a sample and generalize it to the larger population

What is a hypothesis?

3Slide4

$$$

TimeSampling:

Sample vs. populationSampling errors measure how well a sample approximates the characteristics of a population.

Research and reality

4Slide5

A representative sample

Represent population as close as it canEnsuring the high similarity of both

Time and $$$

Sampling

5Slide6

State the hypothesis

Set decision criteria

Collect data and compute sample statistic

Make a decision (accept/reject)

The Steps of Hypothesis Testing

6Slide7

Assumes

no relationship between two variables that you are going to study

Such as there will be no difference in the average score of 9th

graders and the average score of 12

th graders on the ABC memory test.

There is no difference between white and black families in the amount of assistance offered to their children in school-related activities.

Null hypothesis

7Slide8

A starting point

In the absence of any other information  guess?

Benchmark against other outcomes

To compare with other observed outcomes to see if these differences are due to some other factors

Null hypothesis (

)

 

8Slide9

A definite statement that there is a relationship between variables

Null hypothesis  research hypothesis

There is no difference between white and black families in the amount of assistance offered to their children in school-related activities.

There is

a difference

between white and black families in the amount of assistance offered to their children in school-related activities.

Research hypothesis

(

)

 

9Slide10

Reflects the difference between groups, but the direction of the difference is not specified (such as more than or less than)

Nondirectional research hypothesis

10Slide11

Reflects the difference between groups, and the direction of the difference is specified.

The average score of 12th

graders is greater than the average score of 9th graders on the ABC memory test.

Either

H: X > Y or H: X < Y

Directional research hypothesis

11Slide12

Null hypothesis

Nondirectional

research

hypothesis

Directional

research hypothesisThere is no difference

between the score of the test and the time spending for assignments in the class.

There

is no difference between the consumption of ices cream and crime.

There

is no difference between reading more papers and writing good paper.

There is no differences for the kid’s reading behavior

and kid’s eating habit.

Exercises

12Slide13

Criteria

Stated in a declarative form and not as a questionPosits an expected relationship between variables

Reflects theory or literatureBe brief and to the point

Testable and measureable

Parents who enroll their children in after-school programs will miss fewer days of work in one year and will have a more positive attitude toward work than will parents who do not enroll their children in such programs.

Good hypothesis

13Slide14

It is know that, nationally, doctors working for health maintenance organizations (HMOs) average 13.5 years of experience in their specialties, with a standard deviation of 7.6 years. The executive director of an HMO in a Western state is interested in determining whether or not its doctors have less experience than the national average. A random sample of 150 doctors from HMOs shows a mean of only 10.9 years of experience.

Please state both the research and the null hypotheses for above situation.

Exercises

14Slide15

Take two empirical research articles, find

What is the null hypothesis

What is the research hypothesis

Create your own null and research hypothesis in your interested area.

Evaluate your hypothesis based on the criteria,

What are hypotheses for your group project? Please write a paragraph to summarize.

Exercises

15