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Overview of Model Predictive Overview of Model Predictive

Overview of Model Predictive - PowerPoint Presentation

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Overview of Model Predictive - PPT Presentation

Control in Buildings Tony Kelman MPC Lab Berkeley Mechanical Engineering Email kelmanberkeleyedu TexPoint fonts used in EMF Read the TexPoint manual before you delete this box A ID: 675650

control model predictive time model control time predictive modeling buildings zone models inputs optimization mpc historical data thermal energy variables problem size

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Slide1

Overview of Model PredictiveControl in Buildings

Tony KelmanMPC Lab, Berkeley Mechanical EngineeringEmail: kelman@berkeley.edu

TexPoint fonts used in EMF.

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Outline

Model predictive

control

Basic idea and elements

Advantages, disadvantages

Modeling

and

MPC in

buildings

What works, what doesn’t

Generating models using historical data

Advanced control behavior

Experimental

projects

Success stories

Increased scope and capabilities over timeSlide3

System model – state evolution

vs

inputs and disturbances

Constraints on inputs or states – requirements, actuator limitsCost function – reference tracking, energy, comfortForecast trajectories of future disturbance inputs – weather, occupancy, utility ratesOptimization algorithm – fast enough to solve in real time

Use predictive knowledge for controlBasic componentsSystem modelConstraints on inputs or statesCost functionForecast trajectories of future disturbance inputsOptimization algorithmAdvantages: multivariable, model based, nonlinear, constraint satisfaction, incorporates predictionsDisadvantages: computational complexity, design effort of accurate modeling

Model Predictive ControlSlide4

Model Predictive Control

Initialize with current measurements at time tPredict response over horizon of p stepsSolve for best input sequence, apply first element u*(t)Repeat at time t+1 with new measurements (feedback)Slide5

Optimization Formulation

Predicted states

x

k

, inputs

uk, disturbances wkAt each time step, solve:Constrained finite time optimal control problemOptimization much faster if explicit structure of J, f, g (and derivatives) can be providedSlide6

Outline

Model predictive control

Basic idea and elements

Advantages, disadvantages

Modeling and MPC in buildings

What works, what doesn’tGenerating models using historical dataAdvanced control behaviorExperimental projectsSuccess storiesIncreased scope and capabilities over timeSlide7

Modeling for Building Energy Systems

Common practice is black-box simulation

DOE2,

EnergyPlus

, TRNSYS,

etcUseful for design, very difficult to use for controlDerivative-free optimization not very efficient or scalableNeed model structure for optimization and controlSimpler approach: reduced order modelingPhysics based model structureData driven parameter identificationCan adjust accuracy vs complexity tradeoff

Large scale real time optimization tractableSlide8

HVAC good target for energy savings by better control

Common configuration for commercial buildings:

VAV with reheat

Control inputs: supply fan, cooling coil, heating coils, zone dampers, air handling unit dampers

States: zone temperatures

HVAC Example SystemSlide9

Thermal Zone ModelSlide10

Network of bilinear systemsA(simple extension to multiple statesper zone, RC network analog)Simplest Useful Model Abstraction

Thermal zone model

Static nonlinearities

Equipment performance maps (chillers, cooling towers, pumps, fans, coils)

Equality and inequality constraints

Comfort range

Dynamic coupling: thermal zones, supply air & return air

Uncertain

load predictions

Human:

occupancy, thermal comfort, …

Environment

: ambient temperature, solar

radiation

, …Slide11

How to Generate Reduced Models

Several options to create model data

Direct physics based lumped parameters

Model reduction from high fidelity design tools

Use historical data for model identification

Identification results vs measured data, Bancroft librarySlide12

Using Data to Quantify Uncertainty

Ambient temperature

Load

SMPC

Prediction model

Historical load

realizationSlide13

Advanced Control Behavior

MPC is able to incorporate time-varying energy price and reduce peak power consumption

Time-varying price

Penalize peak power

A.

Kelman

, Y. Ma, A. Daly, F.

Borrelli

,

Predictive Control for Energy Efficient Buildings with Thermal Storage: Modeling, Stimulation, and Experiments,

IEEE Control System Magazine

, 32(1), page 44-64, February 2012.Slide14

Outline

Model predictive control

Basic idea and elements

Advantages, disadvantages

Modeling and MPC in buildings

What works, what doesn’tGenerating models using historical dataAdvanced control behaviorExperimental projectsSuccess storiesIncreased scope and capabilities over timeSlide15

UC Merced –, Merced, CA

4% Improvement LBNL+UTRC- Storage, Chiller Optimization Horizon 24hrs, Sampling 30min Problem Size: ~300 variables , ~1440 constraintsCERL Engineering Research Laboratory, Champaign, IL

15% improvement.

UTRC-

HVAC distribution – 5 zones Horizon 4hrs, Sampling 20 min, Problem Size: ~1600 variables , ~1400 constraintsNaval Station Great Lakes, North Chicago, Illinois UTRC- Conversion + Storage – 250 zones Problem Size: ~~20k variables , ~?? constraintsCITRIS Building (UC Berkeley) – Major issues Siemens - Generation + HVAC distribution -135 Zones Horizon 4hrs, Sampling 20 min, Problem Size: ~~10k variables , ~?? constraints

Brower Center (Slab Radiant), Berkeley, CA Architecture Department Models based on step tests experimentsWhite Oak, Silver Spring, MD

Honeywell

Microgrid

Optimization

Experimental Projects

Simplified models and BLOM tool critical

for real-time implementation of large MPC experimentsSlide16

Distributed ImplementationSlide17

Distributed Implementation

Supply FanCooling coil

damper

Heating coil

VAV damper

Zone temperatureCoordinatorDual variables