BREXIT Confidence Monthly Tracker December 2018 Methodology On the first weekend of each month ORB International polls a nationally representative sample of n2000 adults aged 18 throughout England Scotland Wales and Northern Ireland The core tracking questions are ID: 771913
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BREXIT Confidence – Monthly Tracker December 2018
Methodology On the first weekend of each month ORB International polls a nationally representative sample of n=2,000 adults aged 18+ throughout England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. The core tracking questions are :- Q Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations?Q How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiation - Britain will be economically better off post Brexit - Post Brexit, I think I personally will be financially better off (NEW for December 2018) - Having greater control over immigration is more important that having access to free trade with the EU / Having access to free trade is more important than having greater control over immigration* * 50% of the sample were shown the first statement : 50% of the sample were shown the second statement The statistical margin of error at the 95% confidence level is + 2.2%
% APPROVE % DISAPPROVE Approval of BREXIT Negotiations Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? (n=2,000 per month online) Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill KEY DATES 31 st JAN Article 50 Triggered Brexit negotiations officially begin £50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Chequers deal/Johnson & Davis resign 9 th JUL 3 rd OCT May’s Tory Conference Speech One year to go 29 th MAR 19 th JUN 29 th NOV 8 th DEC 29 th MAR 17 th- Oct
% AGREE% DISAGREE% DON’T KNOW Confident PM will get the right deal How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I think the Prime Minister will get the right deal for Britain in the Brexit negotiations (n=2,000 per month online) Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill KEY DATES 31 st JAN Article 50 Triggered Brexit negotiations officially begin £50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Chequers deal/Johnson & Davis resign 9 th JUL 3 rd OCT May’s Tory Conference Speech One year to go 29 th MAR 19 th JUN 29 th NOV 8 th DEC 29 th MAR 17 th - Oct
We will be economically better off % AGREE % DISAGREE % DON’T KNOW How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will be economically better off post Brexit (n=2,000 per month online) Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill KEY DATES 31 st JAN Article 50 Triggered Brexit negotiations officially begin £50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Chequers deal/Johnson & Davis resign 9 th JUL 3 rd OCT May’s Tory Conference Speech One year to go 29 th MAR 19 th JUN 29 th NOV 8 th DEC 29 th MAR 17 th - Oct
Post Brexit, I think I personally will be financially better off NET: AGREE NET: DISAGREE DON’T KNOW How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Britain will have more control over immigration post Brexit (n=2,000 online) 48% 21%
Controlling Immigration more important than Access to Free Trade? % AGREE % DISAGREE % DON’T KNOW How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Having greater control over immigration is more important than having access to free trade with the EU/Having access to free trade with the EU is more important than having greater control over immigration. (ROTATED STATEMENT n=2,000 per month online) Parliament introduces notification of Withdrawal Bill KEY DATES 31 st JAN Article 50 Triggered Brexit negotiations officially begin £50bn Divorce announced UK-EU interim deal announced Chequers deal/Johnson & Davis resign 9 th JUL 3 rd OCT May’s Tory Conference Speech One year to go 29 th MAR 19 th JUN 29 th NOV 8 th DEC 29 th MAR 17 th - Oct