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THI TIJ KIN NGHIEXUHIOIN VA DONCU DA TU TRU TIE NlJfCl NGOA C HO


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Document on Subject : "THI TIJ KIN NGHIEXUHIOIN VA DONCU DA TU TRU TIE NlJfCl NGOA C HO"— Transcript:

1 ^ THI/ TIJ - KIN NGHIEXUHI/OIN VA DONCU
^ THI/ TIJ - KIN NGHIEXUHI/OIN VA DONCU DA TU TRU TIE NlJfCl NGOA -C HO V THAC THQ CH TIN BA NIN•k Th H TH VA AN• Th NGUYE TH QUYN ANVien Kinii te chinh tri hgc, HQC vien Chinh tri quoc gia Ho Chi Minh • Tom tit: Tii nhiing phan m 2,500.2,000.1,500.1,000.500.0.Bi^ d 1 Ddn vo FD toa ca chi the trin d pha tril cii ne ldn tlgia doa 2007-201Donvi:tyUSD -^Nho ni/6 fiangphattner ^^Nhomni/d pha trie—• Nho nud chuyi do^^-Toanthegid200 200 200 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201Ngudn: UNCTA 2019 xan dau sa xua 6 t v dic v ta chinh Tunhie ki tiJ nS 2015 lupn vd FD d va caqud gi na c x hudn gid M tuc ti g3 1,ngh t US xudn cd 45 t US va na 201- dS l nha t chin khi^ ddn v6 FD sugii tre qu m toa cau Nguye nha chincu x huon na bS ngud ti vie mp s lupnld ca con t xuye qud gi cu M d quyedjn hd huon sa kh d lua cd eac thu thnh^ doan nghie dup Thupn vi6 v H vi^M thdn qu va nS 2017 Di6 na d ga rmp st su gia vd FD le de 73 a cha Audi^ chu tiin xa r ti nhiin na 1990Tron kh do FD d va ca nuo dan phitri^ la c x hiron tSn nhe ngoa tri ca nSti 200 de 201 d an hir6n cii khiinhoan ta chin toa ciu Na 2018 ci qudgi dan pha tri^ chi^ to 58 lupn vd ddt FD tre th gio v mp nii tron s ca qudgi nha da t nhie nhi ni 201 v 201 thud v khd ntrd dan phi trien c thla A Dp Tnm Qudc Hon Kong Singaporev Brazi (Xe big d 2y^K Thdhai, gi tr ca thuon v mu bi v sinha (M&A biS dpn Ue tu ti sa cupkhiin hoin ta chin toa ca ni 2008Bil d 2:1 nird nhS d^i tu FD nhie nha na 201 v 201Danvi:tyUSD 20 25 30Ngudn: UNCTA 2019 L LUA CHfN TRI-S 10/202 U THtrcTIJN-KINHNGHItBie d 3 Gi tr mu ba v sa nha M&A tre toa ca gia floan 2007-201Don \1: If USD 15010050 -11Jtziiij II3LJL I l200 200 200 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201Ngudn: Tdnghgp sdh$u tir

2 UNCTAD Nam2018,giitriM&Atingl9%sov6i201
UNCTAD Nam2018,giitriM&Atingl9%sov6i2017,damii ca thi b k ti na 2007 bo ci ci cont d qud gi ti^ tu ta dun Ip th cu mmv ch ph ti dun thi ciin nh v th thankhoa cao Ba ci ai UNCTA cur gh nhanmp pha b s thuon v M& dup thu hiebo ci cdn t d qud gi cii My Doan sM& rdn tan le 82 t US vi na 2018 chiye d hoa dpn mu ba tron liii vu dic v(tan 35 s vo 2017 le dg 4621 USD v khvu thi nha cu ne kin t (tin 65 s vd2017 uo tin 4 t USD) Di biet mu bi tisi he qua de boa dpn ta chin v bahigm di th v kh ga t nhie tan manhNgup lai M& tron lin vu sa xua c xhuon gia nh (gii 2% 3201 USD) Ciin v6s gi tan v tdn gi tr M&A qu m m6thuon v M& ciir tin lei C the bi ci nich ra qu m trun bin ni 201 l 12 tri§USD tin khoin 30 s vd 2017 S thuon vM& ld ho 31 US tin t 6 thuon vi ni201 le dg 8 thuan v ni 2018 ti trunva mp s ngin con ng^e nh phuon ti?truye thong thud v vi§ thdngThii ba, gi tr tdn s d i di t FD mdd phu hd nh d kig sa khiin hoin C ba vi co kh yguCud khiin hoan ta chin toa ci ni200 d li ch gi tr d a di t md giaman t 1.29 t US ni 200 xudn co 95Bie d 4 Gi tr di a da tu FD mo gia doa 2007-201Donvi:tyUSD 201 201 201 201Ngudn: UNCTAD 2019 Vi LUA CHlN TR - S 10/202 M t US ni 2009 sa d tigp tu da dpn chdg nay Tu nhien c th thiy sa ni 2012x hudn chin l tin nhe ngoa tri s sugia tuon dd man vi ni 201 - ud tinda 7011 USD l mii thi nhi k ti na201 dg nayThii tu, lai nhua th dug t vd FD giatrg ti c ca kh vuc"'Ni 2017 t I Ip nhui Ug vd FD chamii thi nhi ttong gia doa 2012-201 6tatcci kh vu ttgn th gioi Nhd ci qud gidan phi trign Don A ra Don Na A dun dav t l Ip nhua trg vd FDI da mii khoan11 gia doa t 2012-2015 Ni 201 v 2017t l na gii nh cun vo x hudn chun cutoa ciu li lup I 10,3 v 10,1% D vay ddoa ttong thd gia tdi vd FD tu c th gianh nhun kh vu D

3 on A v Ddn Na A (tton d C Vie Nam vi s l
on A v Ddn Na A (tton d C Vie Nam vi s l md die hada di t FD vo lg th v t l Ip nhui ttgn vd FD s vd ci kh vu co la tten th gidiThti nim, vi Iin vu di tu hoa dpn FDtoa ci tron thd gia vir qu ch yg tatrun va Im vu con nghie du ttgn dic vnhi cQn ngh v dic v con ngh thOn tin (chid 12,8 tdn s d a FD tten toa digioi) dic v doan nghie (10,5%) connghie de (8,6%) dic v ta chin (7,7%) thigbi di^n cu mi md cdn nghig (5,9%)truyenthdng(5,3%) Rien kh vu ASEAN calin vu th hu FD ttong thd gia qu c stha dd nhi dinhHoJi dpn FD c ca nuo ASEA ch thi xhudn chuyg di ti lin vu si xua san Imvu dic vu Na 201 dan di s tiiay ddman m v c ci di tu the d thuon maba buo v bi I d vup qu ta chin v saxua - vd l ha ngin c truyg thdn th hiiFD nhie nhat d tta thin ngan ngh diindi ttong vie hi di ci nh di t nudngoii Be can do mp s hoa dpn di t ndba kha ttong thd gia ti ni 201 ttd la dala cha so su khde R&D gii due thuon madie tii v da bie l con ngh ta chinh Dudti ddn cii cup Cic man cdn nghie 4.0di dup xe l mg x huon di t ph hppBan 1 t I I9 nhua tre vo FD the kh vu gia doa 201 - 201Don vi: t^ USD Kh virThf'Gicp&glaphatitiifiCdcquficgiadangph^trieChSufh £«:•,;-•. , Chi A .GdngA-v^fi&ngNamimmk 13yOduMjl-Latin v viin CaribiNlliktrihtfchuyfndo2018,6,10,1210,11,7,57,14,2017,69,12,10,11,6,5,13,2017,6,9,10,10,11,6,4,6,14,2016,5,8,7,9,I5,4,5,W 2017,^gl^gg8,15,9106,511,2016,5,8,69,10,5,3,lNgudn: UNCTAD 2018 L LUA CNiN TR - Si 10/202 ^ THU Tit - KIN NGHr|nhi huon to kha tha nhun than tu ciJkho hpc cOn ngh ciin nh pha trien data ngud nha lu ch s pha tri^ b6' viingBan 2 Ca ngan th hii FD nhi^ nhata kh vff ASEA gia doa 2014-201Na Ngan th hii FD nhic nhiIsa xe the thurtugia dan201 Dlutuccrs(S!h^t3nggiaothdng,nangliransa xua•R chfn^, iJllLclan

4 c s va cha h tan^ v (da bif l ta chinhT
c s va cha h tan^ v (da bif l ta chinhThumt ma b^ bud v ba lThiidn ma bin buo v ba lTa chinSki xuaCha so siJ kho 'X. T^| don R& ..;-;^M Ngudn: Nhdm tic gii tdnghgp Tron tha gia tdi mo s nhi t ni r ddvo ho^ don FD nhi s xi d cii bd cankin t v mo di^ kie ta chin toa ca b thichit can thin thuon ma tan cirong mp sn^ kin t mo nd d b td thucm truo cic sd cii th tnron ti chinh x hudn ba hthuon mai ti dpn cu ne kin ti sd s sugii man m ch s hoa vo FD tron sud 5 nir qua UNCTA d doi tron trun bandon vd FD nhi^ kh nin s khdn th phuhd nh mon mudn Tu nhien mo s diesan v ci tie ch he qua din FD dd vokh vy Don Na A nhi gi tr thuon v mubi v si nhap gi tr ci d a da t mdhin nim t I hoi vd di t FDI hoi toic th ch phe chun t h vpn vi mp tho ktin truan ttong th hu FD ta kh vu naytron d c Vie Nam Di biet x huan da tva ci ngan ngh v Iin vu cun c nhie stha dd dud ti don cu cud Cac m^ncdn nghig 4.0 Da cun i dig ca lu y khtrie kha nhiin k ho^ch chig lup th hiiFD tron bd can mo dd vd ca qud gittong kh vu nd chun v Vie Na nd rieng2 X hu-om va dgn cii da ti try tieniro' ngoa ta Vie NaNi 1987 Lu^tDautunuo ngoi dup Qudhp thon qu tg tign d qua trpr ch vie mcii th hu di t nuo ngoii gd phi tic cyd Vig Na bi da xi di^ v hoi thie ngtin th ch ba da v di t kin doan vkui t th tnrdng Tron gia doa nay di tnud ngoa nd chun v dS t tru tie nu6ngoa (FD nd rien l ngud lu qua ttpng chdi t phi trign thu da Vie Na hO nh^va ne km t th gidi ti d du di nud vuoqu gia doa kh khan khiin hoang'®Ni 1990 lupn FD d va Vi^t Na ch da18 ttieu USD di dg ni 1997 nhdva sunindpn chun cii kh vu v con cup ca eacnhan chon cii Vig Nam vd FD d tin Ig2, t USD Sa kh su gia sa d in hir6ncii cud khiin hoin ti chin cha A don vdFD d bi di tin man tr la t ni 2003 vda mu 2,31 d l vi n

5 i 2006'^ Tu nhig vC ban FD cii Vig Na tt
i 2006'^ Tu nhig vC ban FD cii Vig Na ttong ^a doa 1986200 va thi ho nhig s vd ci nud khittong kh vu nh Thi La v Malaj^IaNi 2007 s kie Vie Na ttd thin thanvie chin thu cii T chii Thuon ma th gi6(WTO d ta r Ia son FD thi ha d v ttong nudc di big l ti ci nh di t Ha QudcHo K v Nha Bin C th li na 2008 VigNa th hu dup 1.17 d i vd tdn vd dink Ig dg 71,71 USD gi bin s vo FD luL LUA CHfN TR - S 10/202 iKhu cong nghiep Yen Phong, Bdc Ninh _ Anh: thoibaokinhdoanh vn k Cii gia doa 1988-200 la 77,81 USD Tunhign bud san na 200 v 2010, dud anhuon cii cud khun hoan kin t toi ciuddn vd FD va Vig Na b su gia dan kgGia doa ti 201 de nay FD a Vie Na dch tha c x hudn phu hd v ca thi? sakhiin hoing Da l kg qu da dug nh tign ttinh ti'ch cue chi dpn hp nha qud t toadie v da man tha gi ci Hie din thuonma t^f d (FTA cu Vie Nam The bi ca ciiUNCTA v di t kh vu cha A Vie Na lqud gi du nha c ddn FD 6.6 vi ttong nudlig ty tin qu ci nim ttong d Nhi BanHi Qud v ASEA l b nh di t ld nhivi Vie Nam chid 67 tdn linm FDI tatrun chi yg vi cdn nghie ch bign ch taoThan ph H Ch Minh vo nhim die kie lo v v tr di ly l eii ng gia thuonqud tg c h thdn ke ca h tin phi tiien, c ngud nhi Iu cha lupn ca v ddn thdl trun ta kin t Io nhi c nude vi l diphuon da da ttong th hii FD vd 96 d iv ton vd din k I 6.745, trie USD chig17,5 tdn vd di tu Bin Duon xg thi havd 55 d i FDI tu nhie vd tdn vd di tl 2.835, t US (chie 7,6 tdn vd di tul£i xe thi b sa Bi Nin vd 3.623, t US(ehie 9,8 ton vd da tu)"^Vd vie k kg v thu hie ca Hie dinthuan ma t d (FTA son phuan v dphuang Vie Na s nga ein th hu dirpnhie vd FD ho nira Bo le ca man ludhig din thuan ma na khon ch l cahp dehun t tig ca thua lo ho vd nhiin thtruan qua ttpng nh Nhi Ban Ha Qudc ADp... m cd giu chiin t th hu ca n

6 h dat thup nho ti Me hie qu (Efficiencys
h dat thup nho ti Me hie qu (Efficiencyseeking bd ci nh da t na thuan hudnvig sa xui han ho hoa dic v a Vie Namti d xua kha san th tnrdn thi b v duaLVLUA CHfN TR!-S 10/202 ^ THU TIJ - KIN NGHlghuon ca u da v thu quan Tu nhien xhudn ni cOn man Ia nhun thic thii chboa dpn th hu FD d Vie Na kh chiin tpha dd ma vd s can ttanh tuon dd ga gidg ti ci nud dd ti ttong kh vu ma dict d FT v di bi si xua v dic v xuikhau Ho th niia mo trudn kin doan cuVie Na vi td ta nliig ri ca vo ci nhdi t nud ngoa nh vi d v khim phi Iv ci die kie kin doan cd chu nhi quanthig tin min bach ttich nhie gia trinh chph boa dpn km doan ea v nhi l khathu th ke hie qui D d6 do ho Chin phitiong thd gia to pha tigp tu ca thie mdtrudn di tu kin doanh ti d ta lg th canttanh th hii don vd FD ch Vig Nam^^'3 Cf h9 v thic thu- do vo Ba Nintron th hii FD thiti gia toTnro hdt Bi Nin e nhig lo th s san vv tr di I s vd ci di phuon khi ttong cnuoe L md tin thup vun don bin sdnHong Bi Nhi ni Uon ta gii kin t ttong dig H Np - Ha Phdn - Quan Nin v l eirng phi Don Bi cii thi d H Npi tigp giivo ci tmn ti kin t ld cii phi Bic Ddnthdi Tm ciin c h thdn gia tiiong thui lovo h thdn duon ca td H Np - Bi Ninh cituyg dudn he tinh qua ttpng v ni ri gisi ba qud t Nd Ba v can big Ha PhongBe can lg tiig v v tr di Iy tron tiidi gia qua Bi Nm cd lie tu ea thi0 moti-udng di tu di bie l v th ch v cos vgcha k thuatCh s nan lu can ttanh ci tin cii BiNm ttong nhun ni gi di lud da ti mirkh ttd Ign rieng gia doa ti 2009-2014 Tinxg han td v ra tdt Ni 2018 ch s PC ciiBi Nin cun d^ mii ca nhi k tii na 201vo 64, diem Mg s dig thin phi v c^nttanh bin ding dic v h ttp doan nghiep ch phi I v da ta la dgn c x hudntin din di l mp ttong nhirn die cOnttong th hii FD cii Tinh Vd v tr di l vmd

7 tnron kin doan tieh cu nh vay BSBan 3 To
tnron kin doan tieh cu nh vay BSBan 3 Ton hff ki qu ch s PC tin Ba Nin gia doa 200 -201Gi nha th tnr^Tie ca da da min bacCh ph thd (jia ph lihon chfn thdCan tran bin ^nTin nan ddnD|ch«iihotidDOa ta la don ch pha lPC han7,26,06,06,24, . 6,556.417,17;15,66,66,n/ i 5,95,358,98,6sm-i 7,mam 6,7J5,559,519,16,4&7,0^ 7,05,03,95,917,2S4 i 6,37S8"5,88,8I5I5,87i88-7,7,0 7,75,815,75,65,49,15,86,07,76,7.6,2lll7,2 7,3iW 4,5 1 6,6 5,43,5,53,162,213,66,018,16,35,506,75,260,918,5,84,2ij6,85359,918,2 |7,25*5, -4,/5,37,1US ;60,31. 1 5,9WHS817,5S0964J17«7,25,35,9mm 7,664,51S.\gu6n: PC I d/ piiimng201)6-2018 LfLUA CHlN TRI-S 10/202 M Nm lud ni ttong nhiin dig sin v thhu di t FD ttong c nud thd gia quaTu nhign Bi Nm ciin ga pha s canttanh mgn m vd mg s di phuon khittong th hu vd FDI di bie l 6 kh vu phiBi e H Npi Quan Nmh Hi Phon v VinPhiic Ni 2018 Quan Nm di di v ch sPC ttong c nuo vo 70,3 digm ttong kh doH Ng v Vin Phu la lup gii v tr s 9 v 1vd 65,4 v 64,5 diem Bi Nm vd 64. dieml dig sdPC ca nha eii Tin k ti na 201nhun ch xe thi 1 ttong c nuoe Xe hgnPC ni d th hig r tinh hin th hu FDthu t cii ci di phuongBig d 8 v s lupn d a FD mo v s vddin k ttgn di ba Bi Nin gia doa 20092018 C th thiy s lugn d i di t mo c xhirdn ting ti ga 5 d\ i ni 200 de ga20 d i ni 2017 nhun la c x hirdn sugii ttongnim 2018 Ves vd dan ky sa giadoa tin he tu ti 200 dg 2014 ni 201 slie ni gii si dg 23 trig US (ch bin 1/s vd ni 2014) sa d tin nh va na 201v tigp tiic du tr x huon gia ti ni 2017Nh chung si su gia don vd FD da t cuBi Nm t 201 dg na l mg hie tugn hoitoa ttii ngup vd x hudn Me tu tin cudon vd FD tten c nuoe Thu t na ch tiiiy, Bi Nin dan c di hie "hu hai ttong cugcan ttanh th hu FD s vo nhiin di phironkhac Vie ea cic md trudn da t de lanhig kg qu

8 tie cue nhun nhi chung td dtha dd cd ch
tie cue nhun nhi chung td dtha dd cd cham dd ho Bi Nhi ca n luho nir d bi ki vo ci tinh thin ph khittong kh vu no rigng v tten c nuo no chungNgoi ra ci nh da t nud ngoa dan c xhudn qua ti ba de ci lin vu ngoa sixui nh con ngh thdn tin die v doannghiep truyg thdng ti chin ha bi dOn sinKh vu si xui nhi FD ttong c nud tu vichie t ttong ca nhi son c x huan su man ttong nhiin ni gi da dud tidgn cii cup Cic man cdn nghie 4.0 Tronkh do ca lin vu di t ch yg cu Bi NinBie d 5 S d a FD md v s vo dan k tre di ba tin Ba Ningia doa 2009-201rrf160140100Na Na Na Na Na Na200 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201I • Sodira — S vo dan kNgudn: Nhdm tac gia tdnght^ I LUA CHlN TRj-S 10/202 ^ THUCTIJ - KIN NGHfll cdn nghig ch bign ch ta v dig tu ngoara phi ld l ci d i v tinh, d a ph ttg sixui ch ci ta doin Bi Nin chi tiuar "Titrun va ci ngin ngh chin la die tii, chtao ch bie hirdn td mu tieu hin tiianh tnmti die tii eii c nuo v kh virc"'^ Lin vudig ti vig thdn vo suxua hie cu nhig "dnldn tten th gid nh Samsung MicrosoftCanon Nokia.. d de Ia nhie ke qu tic cuch kin t di phuong l mO ttong nhiin ygt qua ttpng nha du Bi Nm t mp tinthui non tt6 thin mp tin con nghie ttong tha gia qua Tu nhign vd x hirdn chuygdic ngin ngh da t cu FD ttgn th gio vVie Na hig nay chi tnron ni ng vi tigp tu dup du tii, nhie kh nin s ttdthanh mplir can ga bi lo ttong vie ke gp v th huFD mo cii tinh Gia doa tigp theo Bi Ninca sd dig chin din hudn chig lug v thhii FDI dy tten ca yg t md v chi Iugndic v v chuo eun iing vd s tha gi ciichin quyg di phuon ttong ci ca kgt vttich nhie x hdi Ngoa ra ca da man heke kin t ttong nud v kh vu FDI tin cudnchuyg gia cdn nghe nan ca chi luan vd di t FDI tieh eu phi trig con h tan v bd duon ngud la dpn chi ca cun ca

9 ch ca kh con n^ep Cnh v^y Bi Nm mo c th
ch ca kh con n^ep Cnh v^y Bi Nm mo c th kha thi td dnhiin tigm nan m FD man lai ddn tho tidun nhiin c hp cu x huan chuye dicdon vd qud t ttgn c sdphi hu td d nhirnIg th cu di phuon • {1 UNCn'AD ^eaninves&nentreporr20J6ForeigDirec investmen an MSME Linkages, 2016https://unctad.org/en/PubIicationsLibrary/unctad_asean_air2016dl.pdf(2 Tran Tran Bic Ninh din ddu vi thu hut FDI trong quy I, 2019 http://kinhtevadubao.vn/chitiet/92-13755-bac-ninh-dan-dau-ve-thu-hut-fdi-ttong-quy-i.htmI. (3 VCCI USAID Chlson^gluc canh tranh cip tinh cua Viet Nam nam 2018, 2019, http://pci2018.pcivietnam.vn/upIoads/2019/BaoCaoPCI2018_VIE.pdf(4 UNCTAD World investment report 2018, Investment and new industrial policies, 20188_.en.pdf. (5 B k hoac v di tir Du thio Chiin luge va dinh hudng chiin luge thu hut FDI thi he mdi, gai doan 2018-2030,3-2018. (8 Nguyg Ch Dflng Tim nhin mdi, cohdi mdi cho dau tu nudc ngoai tai Viit Nam, "3 na thhu da t nuo ngoa ta Vig Na Ti nhi v chO md ttong k nguye moi" B K hoac v dittr, 2018 tt4-10. (7 Tdn cu thdn kg Da tu true tiip nudc ngoai duoc cip giiy phep nSm 2019 phan theo dja phuang. https://www.gso.gov.vn/SLTK/SeIectionaspx?rxi = 8fl61760-9ba0-4c6d-8898fdefla92c072&px^db=04.+%c4%90%el%ba%a7u+tc6%bO&px_type=PX&px_language=vi&px_tableid=4.+%c4%90%el%ba%a7u+t%c6%bO%5cV04.17.p(8 Cu di t nuo ngoii Im hin th hu d^ nnuac ngoai nim 2018, https://dautunuocngoai. gov. vn/TinBai/6108/Tmh-hinh-thu-hut-Dau- tu-nuoc-ngoai-nam-2018. (9 S k hoac v da t tin Bi Ninh Bio cio tinh hinh diu tu trgc tiip nu6c ngoai cic nSm tir 2009-2018. (10 Nguyg Phucm Bic Khu vgc FDI tao nin nhOng diSu ndi bat cOa Bic Ninh. https: /baodauthaavn/khu-vuc-fdi-tao-nen-nhung-dieu-noi-batcua-bac-ninh-post58912.hanl 2018LYLUANCHfNHTRI-SolO