CHALLENGES PRESSURE AND CONCERNS Muylono R Prabowo INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOG Y CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHISIC S Macao 15 April 2013 BMKG EducampTraning BMKG Inspe ctorate ID: 815114
Download The PPT/PDF document "CURRENT WARNING SYSTEMS:" is the property of its rightful owner. Permission is granted to download and print the materials on this web site for personal, non-commercial use only, and to display it on your personal computer provided you do not modify the materials and that you retain all copyright notices contained in the materials. By downloading content from our website, you accept the terms of this agreement.
Slide1
CURRENT WARNING SYSTEMS: CHALLENGES, PRESSURE, AND CONCERNS
Muylono R. PrabowoINDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHISICSMacao, 15 April 2013
BMKG
Slide2Educ&Traning
BMKG
Inspe
ctorate
Instr.&Calibration
Ina-MCEWS
Ina-TEWS
Dep. 1&2
SUBSTANTIVE
PROGRAM
MAIN PROGRAM OF BMKG
Dep. 3
Dep. 4
DG&Ex.Sec
.
Supporrting.Fac
.
TECHNICAL
PROGRAM
SUPPORTING
PROGRAM
Database
Dissemination
Telecommunication
R&D
2
Slide3OPERATIONAL OF METEOROLOGY AT BMKG
Model Prediction PCInternational Data ExchangeUpper AirObservationRadarObservationOcean ObservationSpace-based
Observation
Surface Observation
Observations
Data Collection
Products
Warnings
Advisories
TC Forecast
Weather Forecast
One Week Forecast
Aeronautical Met. Information
Marine Met. Information
Analysis
, Forecast,
Services
Information Issuance
Issuance of Products
at Met.
Sta
and HQ
Collection and Dissemination of Meteorological Data
Computer System
for Meteorological Services
3
Slide4- Daily Weather ForecastExtreme weather warning- Aerodrome forecast Flight-Route forecast SIGMET
- Max & Significant Wave & Swell forecast- Surface current- 10-meter wind forecastHotspot/FirespotFire Weather Index- Smoke dispersion/Trajectory Ministry of Transport Ministry of Agriculture Ministry of Health
Ministry of Defense
Disaster Management
Agency (Nat’l & Regional)
Tourisms
Marine stakeholders
Fisheries
P
ublic
works/construction
Bulog
Mass
Media Universit
ies R
esearch Institutions
Public Weather
Services
AeronauticalWeather Services
MarineWeather Services
Fire Weather (FDRS)
TropicalCyclone
- TC Track forecast
- TC’s Impacted Area forecast
Fax,Email
,
Web
,
Tel
p.
& SMS
PRODUCTS :
USERS :
BMKG’S METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND USERS
PRODUCTS :
4
Slide5DISSEMINATION OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLIC
BMKG HOROUTINE PRODUCTBMKG REG.OFF.National Scale ForecastProvincial Scale Forecast
WEB
E-MAIL
TELP
FAX
National Level:
NDMA
Natnl.SAR
Police
Min. Transportation
Min. Public Work
Mass Media
…
-
Daily Weather Forecast
-
Three day Weather Outlook
Potential of Flood (Daily)
-
Potential of Forest Fire (Daily)
-
Max&Sig
. Wave Forecast
-
Information of Tropical Cyclone
- Daily Weather Forecast
- Three day Weather Outlook
Potential of Flood (Daily)
-
Max&Sig
. Wave Forecast
Provincial Level:
PDMA
SAR Offices
Prv
. Police
Port
Admn
.
Prv
. Public Work
Mass Media
…
BMKG
HO
BMKG REG.OFF.
Early Warning of Extreme Weather
S M S
National Level:
Min.Coord.Walfare
NDMA
PDMA
Crisis Centre DKI
Army/ Police
Mass Media
…
Provincial Level:
Gavernors
Mayors
Army/ Police
Mass Media
…
EARLY WARNING PRODUCT
Slide6DISSEMINATION OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLICFaximileBMKG’s STATIONS
Phone ServicesWebsite Public Area Weather DisplayEmail
6
TV Station
Social Media
Slide7BMKGNDMA
MIN.COMM. & INFOPEOPLE / USERSINTERNETCELL. OPERATORSIRINELOCAL AUTORITIESPOLRI
MASS MEDIA
MULTI MODE OF INFORMATION DISSEMINATION
7
2303/
BMKG HO
Slide8AKSES LAYANAN INFORMASI CUACA DAN PERINGATAN DINI CUACA EKSTRIMTelepon: 021-6546315 / 08111107264Website: http://www.bmkg.go.idEmail: infomet2000@gmail.com ;
cuaca.ekstrim@bmkg.go.idBMKG
Slide9PRODUCTS OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLICBMKG
Slide10PRODUCTS OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR PUBLICNo
PRODUCTFrequency of Issuance 1 6 Hourly Weather Forecast
4
times/day
2
1
2 Hour
ly
Weather
Forecast
2 times/day
3
Daily Weather
Forecast
1 times/day
4
3 Da
ily
Weather
Outlook
2 times/week
5
Week
ly
Weather
Outlook
4 times/month
6
Weather
Information
for Touris
t Resorts
2 times/week
7
Speci
fic
Weather Information
for
commercial purpose (e.g insurance)
On request
8
Speci
fic
Weather Information
for other
Government
I
nstitution
s
On request
9
Forest fire Weather Information
1 times/day
10
Early Warning
of Significant Weather
If applicable
Slide11JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide12PROVINCE WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide13JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide14THREE DAYS WEATHER OUTLOOK(TWO TIMES/WEEK)
Slide15ONE WEEK WEATHER OUTLOOK(TWO TIMES/WEEK)
Slide16POTENTIAL OF FOREST FIRE (DAILY)
Slide17POTENTIAL OF FLOOD FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide18Prakiraan Curah Hujan Peluang Hujan Sedang :Sumatera bagian utaraBeberapa tempat di Pesisir Barat Sumatera bagian selatanKalimantan bagian barat dan tengahSulawesi bagian utara dan tengah
Maluku bagian utara dan tengahPapua bagian barat dan tengahBali dan NTBJawa bagian tengah dan timurTanggal 13 April 2013 jam 07.00 WIBPeluang Hujan Lebat Beberapa tempat di Sumatera bagian utaraBeberapa tempat Sulawesi bagian tengahBeberapa tempat di Maluku bagian utara dan tengahBeberapa tempat di Papua bagian tengahBeberapa tempat di Bali dan NTBBeberapa tempat di Jawa bagian tengah dan timur
BMKG
Peluang Hujan
Ringan
:
Sumatera bagian utara dan selatan
Pesisir Barat Sumatera bagian selatan
Pesisir Timur Sumatera bagian tengah dan selatan
Kalimantan bagian barat, tengah dan selatan
Sebagian besar Sulawesi
Sebagian besar Maluku
Papua bagian barat, utara dan tengah
Bali dan Nusa Tenggara
Sebagian besar Jawa
PRAKIRAAN CUACA DAN ANGIN INDONESIA
BERLAKU 1
3
APRIL 2013 PUKUL 07.00 - 19.00 WIB
Prakiraan
Angin
Tanggal
13 April 2013 jam 07.00 WIB
Badan Meteorologi
Klimatologi
dan Geofisika
Kecepatan angin ≥ 15 knot
(≥ 27 km/jam) :
Samudera Hindia sebelah Barat Sumatera hingga Selatan NTT Laut Andaman Laut Cina Selatan Samudra Pasifik Timur Filipina
Angin di wilayah Indonesia secara umum bertiup dari arah Tenggara – Barat Daya, kecuali wilayah Sulawesi bagian Tengah, Tenggara dan Selatan, Bali dan Nusa Tenggara serta Jawa bagian Tengah dan Timur dari Timur Laut – Timur dengan kecepatan angin umumnya berkisar antara 05 – 15 knots (09 – 27 km/jam).
12 HOURS WEATHER FORECAST
(
TWICE A DAY
)
Slide19WINDWAVE FORECAST(SEVEN DAYS IN ADVANCE)
Slide20CHALLENGES, PRESSURE, AND CHALLENGESBMKG
Slide21GEOGRAPHICAL CONDITIONTropical Area, Warm and humid70% area is water,Sea-land interaction Ring of fire, Earthquake and volcanoesScale of disaster Temporal and spatial scalesBMKG
Slide22Observation Network
Slide23Map of Seismisity
Slide24Statistic of Disaster in Indonesia24
Slide25DISASTER/ TRIGERWARNING DOCUMENTPERIODE OF OCCURANCE
(NORMAL)WARNING By BMKGPREP. TIMEFlood/ Heavy RainfallMap of Potential of Flood(3 Months in advence)DEC – JAN – FEBOCTOBERNOVEMBERLandslide/ Heavy RainfallMap of Potential of Landslide(Agency of Geolog
y–ESDM)
Mini Twister
/
Heavy Wind
Map of
Cloud (
Cb
) distribution from Weather Radar
(2
hours in advance
) – BMKG
A
U
GUST
– SEPTJULY
JULYHigh Wave/ Heavy Wind
Map of
Potential of High Wave
(7 days in advance)
Forest Fire
/ Drought (Less rainfall
)Map of
Potential of Forest Fire (2
days in advance)MAR – AUGUST
MAR – MEYMAR – JUN
Earthquake (Tectonic)Location and magnitude of earthquake
ALL YEAR LONG
Earthquake (Vulcanic)
Location and magnitude of earthquake
Tsunami
Information of Potential of Tsunami
DISASTER
WARNING
CALENDER AND PREPAREDNESS
BMKG
25
BMKG
BMKG
Slide26INTERNAL FACTORObservation Network, Data completeness, Human Resources, Technology, Communication, Model/Accuracy, Timeliness, Research areas, FundingBMKG
Slide27EXTERNAL FACTORProviders, Available through internet, Various user needs, Public understanding, Low enforcement, Cooperation, Evaluation, AccessibilityBMKG
Slide2828AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS (BMKG)JL. ANGKASA I NO. 2 KEMAYORAN
JAKARTA PUSAT – INDONESIA 10720TEL: +6221-4246321, +6221-6546315 (WEATHER) , +6221-6546316 (EARTHQUAKE) FAX.: +6221-4246703http://www.bmkg.go.idTHANK YOU ...
Slide29AREA RESPONSIBILITY OF JAKARTA - TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTER
Slide30Badai Tropis “DURGA”Badai Tropis “ROSIE”Citra Satelit Cuaca 23 April 2008 – 07.00 WIB
Slide31Badai Tropis “DURGA”DAMPAK BADAI ”DURGA” TERHADAP CUACA DI INDONESIA :Potensi hujan sedang - lebat dan angin kencang (kec. 36 km/jam) di sekitar Pesisir Barat Sumatera bagian Selatan dan Pesisir Selatan Jawa bagian Barat.
Slide32JAKARTA WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide33PROVINCIAL WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide34CAPITAL CITIES WEATHER FORECAST(DAILY)
Slide35THREE DAYS WEATHER OUTLOOK(TWO TIMES/WEEK)
Slide36ONE WEEK WEATHER OUTLOOK(TWICE A WEEK
)