A Terry Bahill Emeritus Professor of Systems Engineering University of Arizona terrysiearizonaedu 20172018 Bahill Reference Terry Bahill The Science of Baseball Modeling BatBall Collisions and the Flight of the Ball ID: 783582
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Slide1
The Science of BaseballThe Ball in Flight Model
A. Terry BahillEmeritus Professor ofSystems EngineeringUniversity of Arizonaterry@sie.arizona.edu©, 2017-2018, Bahill
Slide2Reference
Terry Bahill, The Science of Baseball: Modeling Bat-Ball Collisions and the Flight of the Ball, Springer Nature, NY, NY, 2018Chapter 7
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© 2017 Bahill3
Slide4Purpose
To derive equations for the forces that affect the flight of the ball: the force of gravity, the drag force and the lift force due to the Magnus effect (the force due to a spinning object moving in an airflow). To show how altitude, temperature, barometric pressure and relative humidity affect air density and consequently how air density affects the flight of the ball. A home run ball might go 26 feet farther in Denver than in San FranciscoCan a tennis ball be thrown farther that a baseball?
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5© 2012 Bahill
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Slide7Major league baseball, 2017
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Speed of the pitch at the pitcher’s release point
Pitch spin rate, absolute values
Number of pitches
Type of pitch
average, mph
standard deviation
average, m/s
average, rpm
std. dev.
4-seam fastball
93.6
2.3
41.8
2169
363
10,000
2-seam fastball
92.7
2.4
41.4
2148
321
3,000
Slider
85
3.1
38
745!
346
4,000
Changeup
85!
3.5
38
1714
419
2,000
Curveball
79
3.8
35
1286!
461
1,800
Slide8Gravity-induced and spin-induced drop
Pitch speed and type
Spin rate (rpm)
Duration of flight (msec)
Drop due to gravity (ft)
Spin-induced vertical drop (ft)
Total drop (ft)
95 mph fastball
-1200
404
2.63
-0.91
1.72
90 mph fastball
-1200
426
2.92
-0.98
1.94
85 mph slider
+1400
452
3.29
+0.74
4.03
80 mph curveball
+2000
480
3.71
+1.40
5.1175 mph curveball+20005134.24+1.465.70
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Slide9Simulated fastballs thrown with (top) a four-seam grip and (bottom) a two-seam grip. Videos of these simulated fastballs are available at
http://sysengr.engr.arizona.edu/baseball/index.html.10/14/2018
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10Pitch variation
Batters say that the ball hops, drops, curves, breaks, rises, sails or tails away.
The pitcher might tell you that he throws a fastball, screwball, curveball, drop curve, flat curve, slider, backup slider, change up, split fingered fastball, splitter, forkball, sinker, cutter, two-seam fastball or four-seam fastball. This sounds like a lot of variation.
However, no matter how the pitcher grips or throws the ball, once the ball is in the air its motion depends only on gravity, its velocity and its spin.
© 2012 Bahill
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11Velocity and spin
Once the ball is in the air, its motion depends only on gravity, velocity and spin, which are vectors with magnitude and direction.
*These pitch characteristics are described by a linear velocity vector and an
angular velocity vector,
each with magnitude and direction.
The magnitude of the linear velocity vector is called
pitch speed
and the magnitude of the angular velocity vector is called
spin rate.
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12Dave Baldwin said,
“If a major league baseball pitcher* describes the flight of one of his pitches; he usually illustrates the trajectory using his pitching hand, much like a kid or a pilot demonstrating the yaw, pitch and roll of an airplane.
The hand used as an analog in this way is a gestural example of a somatic metaphor.”
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13Angular right-hand rule
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14Coordinate right-hand rule
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15SaD Sid
*
Thumb → Spin axis
Index finger
→
D
irection of motion
Middle finger
→
S
pin
i
nduced
d
eflection
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Slide16Spin axis for common pitches
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For a right-handed pitcher
Slide17Left-handed pitcher
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Slide18Batter’s view of a slider thrown by a right-handed pitcher
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Slide19Forces acting on a spinning ball flying through the air
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Slide20Forces acting on the ball
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Slide23Magnus force
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Kutta-Joukowski Lift Theorem
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Slide25Second derivation
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An experimental equation for the lift force
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Type of launch
Initial Speed (mph)
Spin rate (rpm)
Spin Parameter, SP
*Reynolds Number, Re, times 10
-5
Fastball
93
2200
0.20
1.685
Slider
85
2000
0.20
1.540
Curveball
79
2300
0.25
1.431
Change-up
85
1700
0.17
1.540
Knuckle ball
65
30
0.00
1.178
Home run, initial value
98
2000
0.18
1.776
Home run. hitting ground
55
1760
0.28
0.996
Slow line drive
85
2500
0.25
1.540
Fast line drive
100
1800
0.16
1.812
Extreme pop-up
70
6000
0.74
1.268
NCAA softball pitch
65
1200
0.21
1.538
*The Reynolds number will be discussed in the next section.
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Experimental data give
Remember we started with
So put the above lift coefficient into this equation and we get
Slide28Drag force
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Slide30Home run, my model
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Slide32Sensitivity analysis
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Parameters
Nominal values
Nominal values increased by +1%
Altered range, ft
Change in range, ft
Sensitivity values
Range, ft
384.87
Batted-ball speed, mph
91.9
92.819
389.56
4.69
469
Ball diameter, in.
2.90
2.9336
382.59
-2.28
-228
Drag coefficient, C
d
0.4
0.404
383.16
-1.71
-171
Ball weight, oz
5.125
5.1763
386.18
1.31
131
Air density, r, kg/m
3
1.0582
1.0688
383.65
-1.22
-122
CM
1.2
1.212
385.37
0.50
50
Ball spin, rpm
-2000
-2020
385.37
0.50
50
Ball spin, rpm
-2000
-1980
384.37
-0.50
-50
Launch angle, degrees
34
34.34
384.39
-0.48
-48
Launch height, feet
3
3.03
384.90
0.03
3
Slide33Interactions
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On the left side, when the launch angle increases, the range goes up. These curves do not have the same shape. The curve for the2000 rpm spin rate has a steeper drop on the right side. This is the effect of the interaction. The difference in spacing of the lines is not the effect of the interaction. That is merely the dependence of the batted-ball speed on spin rate.
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When the ball’s spin axis is not horizontal, the Magnus force should be decomposed into a force lifting the ball up and a lateral force pushing it sideways.
where VaSa is the
angle from the
V
ertical
a
xis to the
S
pin
a
xis.
The magnitude of the lateral force is
Slide36Effect of angle SaD
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SaD
is the angle from the
S
pin
a
xis
to the
D
irection of motion
Slide37Gravity-induced and spin-induced drop
Pitch speed and type
Spin rate (rpm)
Duration of flight (msec)
Drop due to gravity (ft)
Spin-induced vertical drop (ft)
Total drop (ft)
95 mph fastball
-1200
404
2.63
-0.91
1.72
90 mph fastball
-1200
426
2.92
-0.98
1.94
85 mph slider
+1400
452
3.29
+0.74
4.03
80 mph curveball
+2000
480
3.71
+1.40
5.1175 mph curveball+20005134.24+1.465.70
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Slide38Effects of Air Density on a Spinning Ball in Flight
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Slide39Air densityAir density is inversely related to
altitude temperature humidity Air density is directly related to barometric pressure 10/14/2018
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Slide40Humid air is lighter than normal air
“Boy it’s humid. Feel how heavy the air is.”
Each cubic meter of air contains the same number of molecules, about 1025
.Air is composed of nitrogen and oxygen, with atomic weights of 14 and 16, respectively.
Both of these gasses are diatomic, N
2
and O
2
, yielding molecular weights of 28 and 32
Introduce water vapor, H
2
O, molecular weight of 18.
The nitrogen and oxygen molecules with molecular weights of 28 and 32 will be displaced by water with a molecular weight of 18.
Thus, humid air is less dense than regular air.
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Slide41Altitude (feet above sea level)
Temp (°F)
Relative Humidity (percent)
Baro. pressure (inch Hg)
Air density (kg/m3)
Air density, percent change from midlevel
Low altitude
0
85
50
29.92
1.16
9.4
Low temperature
2600
70
50
29.92
1.09
2.9
Low humidity
2600
85
10
29.92
1.06
0.7
Low barometric pressure
2600
855029.331.04-2.0Lowest density
5200
100
90
29.33
0.91
-14.0
Midlevel
2600
85
50
29.92
1.06
0.0
Highest density
0
70
10
30.51
1.22
15.5
High barometric pressure
2600
85
50
30.51
1.08
2.0
High humidity
2600
85
90
29.92
1.05
-0.7
High temperature
2600
100
50
29.92
1.03
-2.9
High altitude
5200
85
50
29.92
0.97
-8.6
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Slide42Ramberg’s simple equation
Air density = = 1.045 + 0.01045{- 0.0035 (Altitude - 2600) - 0.2422 (Temperature - 85)
- 0.0480 (Relative Humidity - 50)
+ 3.4223 (Barometric Pressure - 29.92)} Air density
is in kg/m
3
,
Altitude
is in feet,
Temperature
is in degrees Fahrenheit,
Relative Humidity
is in percent and
Barometric Pressure
is in inches of Hg.
This linear equation explains 99.3 percent of the variation of air density across the 81 data points*.
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© 2012 Bahill
Slide44Ramberg’s least squares analysis
Altitude explains 80% of the variability Temperature explains 13% Barometric pressure accounts for 4%Relative humidity accounts for 3%10/14/2018
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Slide45Air density at some typical baseball stadiums
Altitude (feet above sea level)
Temperature
(
°F
)
average daily maximum in July
Relative humidity, on an average July afternoon
Average barometric pressure in July (inch of Hg)
Air density (kg/m
3
)
Denver
5190
88
34 %
29.98
0.96
Phoenix
1086
*
104
20 %
29.81
1.07
Houston
45
94
63 %
29.97
1.11Minneapolis8158359 %29.961.11Seattle107549 %30.041.18San Francisco
0
68
65 %
29.99
1.19
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The red arrows compare Phoenix to San Francisco for home run distance
Slide46Batted-ball range varies inversely with air density*
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Air Density (kg/m
3
)
Range (feet)
0.9
408
1.0
392
1.1
377
1.2
363
Denver
Phoenix
San Francisco
Slide47Range as a function of air density
Air Density (kg/m3)
Range (ft)
Home run
Pop up
Line drive
1.3
372
59
266
1.2
382
67
268
1.1
394
75
269
1.0
406
84
271
0.9
418
94
272
0.8
432
104
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Slide48Pitch variations with air density
Air Density (kg/m
3
)
Fastball released at 93 mph
Curveball released at 79 mph
Speed at the plate (mph)
Height above the plate (ft)
Speed at the plate (mph)
Height above the plate (ft)
1.3
83.5
3.18
71.3
1.84
1.2
84.2
3.08
71.9
1.97
1.1
84.9
2.98
72.5
2.1
1.0
85.7
2.93
73.1
2.240.986.52.8673.72.39
0.8
87.3
2.81
74.6
2.52
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Slide49A tale of two cities
City
Altitude (feet above sea level)
Average daily high temperature (°F)
Average relative humidity
Average barometric pressure (inch of Hg)
Average air density (kg/m
3
)
Denver
5190
88
34 %
29.98
0.96
San Francisco
0
68
65 %
29.99
1.19
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City
Air density (kg/m
3
)
Computed range in feet for a home run ball
Computed range in meters for a home run ball
Denver0.96423
129
San Francisco
1.19
399
122
Slide50Variable
Value in SI units
Value in US customary units
Default state
Midlevel
Midlevel
Altitude
792 m
2600
ft
Temperature
29.4 °C
85°F
Relative Humidity
50 %
50 %
Barometric pressure
760 mm Hg
29.92 inch Hg
Air density
Dynamic viscosity of air
Kinematic viscosity of air
Diameter of a baseball
0.07366 m
2.9 in
Mass of a baseball
0.145 kg
5.125 oz
Launch speed
43 m/s
97 mph
Launch angle
34 degrees
34 degrees
Launch spin
-209 rad/s
-2000 rpm
Reynolds number
Spin parameter
Magnus coefficient
1.2
Drag Coefficient
0.4
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Slide51Which can be thrown farther a baseball or a tennis ball?
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Slide54Lift and drag coefficients
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Parameter
Baseball, nominal values
Baseball, mass increased by 10%
Baseball, mass +10% and reduced launch velocity
Tennis ball
Softball
Bocce ball
Women’s shot put
ball weight, oz
5.125
5.637
5.637
2.03
6.75
32.45
141
ball mass, kg
0.15
0.16
0.16
0.06
0.19
0.92
4.00
launch speed, mph
95
95
93
105855530.81
launch speed, m/s
42.5
42.5
41.6
46.9
38.0
24.6
13.8
ball diameter, in
2.90
2.90
2.90
2.51
3.84
4.21
4.04
ball diameter, m
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.06
0.10
0.11
0.10
drag coefficient
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.56
0.4
0.4
0.4
air density
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
0.002
air density
1.045
1.045
1.045
1.045
1.045
1.045
1.045
lift coefficient
0.7
0.7
0.7
1
0.75
0.8
0.8
ball spin, rpm
-2000
-2000
-2000
-2200
-1800
-1200
-12
ball spin, rad/s
-209
-209
-209
-209
-157
-63
-0.6
launch angle, degrees
34
34
34
34
34
34
43
launch height, feet
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
launch height, m
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
flight duration, seconds
5.26
5.24
5.15
5.49
5.13
3.02
2.06
range, ft
372
384
374
250
297
186
68
range, m
113
117
114
76
90
57
20.67
Slide56Summary lines from previous table
Parameter
Baseball
Heavy baseball
Tennis ball
Softball
Bocce ball
Women’s shot put
Launch speed, mph
95
93
105
85
55
31
Range, feet
372
374
250
297
186
68
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A baseball can be thrown farther than a tennis ball.
A heavy baseball can be thrown slightly farther than a regular baseball.
But how is that possible?
Slide57Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball?
The sensitivity analysis suggested that a heavier ball would go farther10/14/2018
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Slide58Sensitivity analysis
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Parameters
Nominal values
Nominal values increased by +1%
Altered range, ft
Change in range, ft
Sensitivity values
Range, ft
384.87
Batted-ball speed, mph
91.9
92.819
389.56
4.69
469
Ball diameter, in.
2.90
2.9336
382.59
-2.28
-228
Drag coefficient, C
d
0.4
0.404
383.16
-1.71
-171
Ball weight, oz
5.125
5.1763
386.18
1.31
131
Air density, r, kg/m
3
1.0582
1.0688
383.65
-1.22
-122
Magnus
coefficient
1.2
1.212
385.37
0.50
50
Ball spin, rpm
-2000
-2020
385.37
0.50
50
Ball spin, rpm
-2000
-1980
384.37
-0.50
-50
Launch angle, degrees
34
34.34
384.39
-0.48
-48
Launch height, feet
3
3.03
384.90
0.03
3
Slide59Technical note:
The numbers in this book should not be compared between tables, because the tables have different purposes. Therefore, they may have used different versions of the model and different parameters.
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Slide60The nominal range of the home run ball in Table 7.6 is
385 feet: the air density was 1.0582 kg/m3, the drag coefficient was 0.4 and the Magnus coefficient was 1.2. Table 7.11 gave the nominal range for six different air densities: 0.8, 0.9, 1.0, 1.1 and 1.2 kg/m3. Table 7.14 gave the nominal range for two air densities: 0.96 and 1.19 kg/
m3. The nominal range of the home run ball in Table 7.16 is 372
feet, but that is for an air density of 1.045 kg/m3, a drag coefficient 0.38 and a Magnus coefficient of 0.7.
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Slide61Numerical values are not as important as the comparisons that are made using the numerical values in the tables.
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Slide62Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball?2
If the balls were launched with the same velocity, then the heavier ball must have been given more energy. Therefore, it will have more momentum and it will take more force and time to slow it down. 10/14/2018
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Slide63Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball?3
The only terms in our equations that depend on mass are the acceleration terms. At the beginning of motion, the ball with the bigger mass has smaller accelerations:Both of these will be smaller for the heavier ball. Which means that the horizontal and vertical velocities will not slow down as fast. This will make the heavier ball go farther.
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Slide64Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball?4
Physics says …In the simulation, we increased the mass of the baseball by 10% and we kept the launch speed the same. The heavier ball traveled 384 instead of 372 feet. 10/14/2018
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Slide65Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball? 5
Physiology says …The force-velocity relationship of muscle says that our muscles will produce a lower velocity for a heavier load than for a lighter load. The 10% heavier baseball will be launched at 93 mph instead of 95 mph. This reduced launch velocity will reduce the range from 384 to 374 feet.
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Slide66Which can be thrown farther a heavy ball or a light ball?6
Increasing the baseball’s mass by 10% increased the range by 12 feet. However, the subsequent reduction in launch velocity caused by the force-velocity relationship of muscle decreased the range by 10 feet. Therefore, if a human is throwing balls of about the same mass, then the heavier ball might go slightly farther.
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Slide67Summary
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Slide69Air densityAir density
= = 1.045 + 0.01045{- 0.0035 (Altitude - 2600) - 0.2422 (Temperature - 85)
- 0.0480 (Relative Humidity - 50)
+ 3.4223 (Barometric Pressure - 29.92)}
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Slide71Air density in some typical baseball stadiums
Altitude (feet above sea level)
Temperature
(
°F
)
average daily maximum in July
Relative humidity, on an average July afternoon
Average barometric pressure in July (inch of Hg)
Air density (kg/m
3
)
Denver
5190
88
34 %
29.98
0.96
Phoenix
1086
*
104
20 %
29.81
1.07
Houston
45
94
63 %
29.97
1.11Minneapolis8158359 %29.961.11Seattle107549 %30.041.18San Francisco
0
68
65 %
29.99
1.19
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The red arrows compare Phoenix to San Francisco for home run distance
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Air Density (kg/m
3
)
Range (feet)
0.9
408
1.0
392
1.1
377
1.2
363
Denver
Phoenix
San Francisco
Slide73FinallyA baseball can be thrown farther than a tennis ball.
If a human is throwing balls of about the same mass, then the heavier ball might go slightly farther.10/14/2018
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Slide7510/14/2018
75Seminar materials
Balls skewered on boltsa baseball
a bat
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