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A population approach to hemophilia pharmacokinetics. WAPPS: a web-service for A population approach to hemophilia pharmacokinetics. WAPPS: a web-service for

A population approach to hemophilia pharmacokinetics. WAPPS: a web-service for - PowerPoint Presentation

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A population approach to hemophilia pharmacokinetics. WAPPS: a web-service for - PPT Presentation

bayesian post hoc estimation Alfonso Iorio Abstract Symposium AS 122 Wednesday June 24 2015 1655 Room 701 Shareholder No ne Grant Research Support Funds managed via Institution ID: 785385

patient data ppk population data patient population ppk wapps individual single drug estimation cri factor sparse hrs time measure

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Slide1

A population approach to hemophilia pharmacokinetics. WAPPS: a web-service for bayesian post hoc estimation

Alfonso Iorio

Abstract Symposium AS 122

Wednesday

June

24

2015,

16:55

Room

701

Slide2

Shareholder

No

neGrant / Research SupportFunds managed via Institution(Bayer, Baxter, BioGen, NovoNordisk, Octapharma)ConsultantFunds managed via Institution(Pfizer, Bayer, Biogen)EmployeeMcMaster UniversityPaid InstructorNoneSpeaker bureauNoneOtherPI of the WAPPS projectChair of the Data&Demographics Committee WFH,CFGD RG Cochrane Collaboration Editor

Disclosures for A. Iorio

Slide3

BacKGround

Slide4

Factor levels and bleeding

Clinical

severity of haemophilia A: Does the classification of the 1950s still stand?den Uijl IEM, Mauser Bunschoten EP, Roosendaal G, et al. Haemophilia 2011;17:849–53.

Slide5

Factor levels and bleeding

Collins

PW, et al.J Thromb Haemost 2010;8:269–75.

Slide6

PHARMACOKINETIC CHARACTERISTICS OF FACTOR VIII AND IX CONCENTRATES –

A

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW 75 articles 2050 patients included in PK analyses.38 on factor VIII concentratesHL(hr) forwild type 7.8 to 19.2,BDD 7.5 to 17.9prolonged HL 11.5 to 23.1 25 on factor IX concentrates.HL(hr) forwild type 12.9 to 36.0 ,prolonged HL 53.5 to 110.4Xi M, Navarro-Ruan T, Mammen S, Blanchette V, Hermans C, Morfini M, Collins P, Fischer K, Neufeld EJ, Young G, Kavakli K, Radossi P, Dunn A, Thabane L, Iorio A for the WAPPS study group - PO262-MON.

Slide7

A story of two tails..

Individual case

Estimated terminal t1/2 (hr)Unpublished data, 1 single molecule

Slide8

AIM

Slide9

implement a population PK engine for all FVIII / FIX concentrates and make it available onlineprovide support to PK estimation in hemophilia based on flexible reduced set of data point (2-3 post infusion samples)

AIM of the project

Slide10

Concentration in blood is a biomarker for concentration at site of actionAre we able to measure PK?PK parameters are not directly measured

While you can measure

Cthrough in blood directly, you can’t measure Clearance and VolumePK ESTIMATION

Slide11

Population pharmacokinetic

Is it reliable, precise, accurate?

PEAK & TROUGHPRECISION, ACCURACY11 data points classic PK

Slide12

Population pharmacokinetic

Slide13

Population pharmacokinetic

Slide14

Population pharmacokinetic

Slide15

Population PK

Two main applications:

Drug oriented (derivation phase)Estimating the PK properties of a drug using sparse data from a population of subjectsPatient oriented (estimation phase)Estimating the PK in one individual using sparse data from the subject and a population model

Slide16

Materials and Methods

Slide17

Funding support

Slide18

Trial registration

Slide19

The WAPPS core team

PI:

Iorio, Alfonso and Hermans, CedricAdvisory Committee: Blanchette, Victor; Collins, Peter; Morfini, Massimo; Project coordinator: Navarro, TamaraInformation Technology: Cotoi, Chris; Hobson, Nicholas; McKibbon, Ann;Pharmacokinetics: Edginton, Andrea;Statistics: Foster, Gary; Thabane, Lehana; Consultant: Bauer, Rob (Consultant at ICON)Literature service, data entry: Xi, Mengchen; Mammen, Sunil; Yang, Basil;User testing: Bargash, Islam

Slide20

Estimating PK for single individuals on the base of 2-4 samples

Web-application

Single patient reportSingle patient data

Slide21

Estimating PK for single individuals on the base of 2-4 samples

Web-application

Single patient reportSingle patient dataOnline PPK engine(NONMEM)

Slide22

Estimating PK for single individuals on the base of 2-4 samples

Web-application

Single patient reportSingle patient dataOnline PPK engine(NONMEM)Control files for bayesian individual estimationADVATEKOGENATEBENEFIXALPROLIXELOCTATEOthers..Brand specific Source individual PK dataOffline PPK modelingBrand specific PPK models

Slide23

Web-application

Single patient report

Single patient dataOnline PPK engine(NONMEM)Control files for bayesian individual estimationADVATEKOGENATEBENEFIXALPROLIXELOCTATEOthers..Brand specific Source individual PK dataOffline PPK modelingBrand specific PPK modelspatientspatientspatients

Slide24

The WAPPS network

Slide25

The network

Active centers

US Guy YoungTU Kaan Kavakli US Ellis J. NeufeldCA Shannon JacksonIT Paolo RadossiCA Paula JamesCE Jan BlatnyCA Jerry TeitelVZ Arlette Ruiz-SàezNL Kathleen FischerUS Amy DunnCA Victor BlanchetteD Rainer Kobelt In processCA Alan TinmouthCA MacGregor SteeleUK Savita RangarajanSA Johnny MahlanguIT Alberto TosettoD Cristoph BidlingmaierIT Giancarlo CastamanSL Barbara Faganel KotnikUS Craig Kessler 47 more attended the introductory webinar

Slide26

Disclaimer:

This is a research service under development, not yet validated for clinical practice use. Any use of the results of the population pharmacokinetic estimation in the care of individual patients is not recommended and cannot be considered part of the service in this phase. The local investigator is solely responsible for any such use.

Reporting

Slide27

Published models

Drug

RefsCompAdvateBjorkmann, Eur J Clin Pharm, 2009;Blood, 2013; JTH 20102AlprolixDiao, Clin Pharmacokinet 20143EloctateNestorov I, Clin Pharm in Drug Dev 20142XynthaKarafoulidou, Eur J Clin Pharmacol 20092

Slide28

1-cmt

FO

FOCEFOCEILaplacianAdditiveCCVExponentialClVolTypeEstimation MethodIIVModelParametersResidualVariabilityAdditiveCCVAdditive+CCVLog ErrorAssessment1-cmtFOCEExponentialAdditive + CCVClVolModeling:Base Structural Model28 OBJF Diagnostic plots

Slide29

Systemic clearance is assumed to be a random effectClearance and volume are assumed to be independent, which reduces the number of parameters in the covariance matrix

Parametrization

Slide30

Post-modelling bayesian individual estimation

Sparse data from a subject are modeled iteratively with priors from the population distribution

Credibility intervals around the estimates are generatedIndividual estimation

Slide31

RESULTS - MODELLING

Slide32

Source data

Subjects

ReplicatesnKineticsBrand A4021161B80584312C3030290D167301197E25--25F129201149Total471159

834

Slide33

Age distribution

Slide34

Total

477

Min - max4.3 – 71.5Media +/- SD32.2 +/- 13.8Median (25 – 75 PCT)29 (21.4 – 42.6)10th percentile16Derivation cohort:Age distribution

Slide35

patient

1

2345dose/kg55595653.150.9dose34054086544847674920one-compV2985.9726294217.3053887.613676.66k0.0010520.0013090.0010890.0012380.000796HL (min)659529

636

559

871

HL (h)

10.98

8.82

10.60

9.32

14.52

C(0)

approx

D/V

1.14

1.55

1.29

1.23

1.34

two-comp

A

0.486937

1.274402

0.476461

0.934315

0.987822

B

0.726386

0.302367

0.8767

0.303577

0.379788

alpha

0.004996

0.001823

0.004597

0.001656

0.001333

beta

0.000532

0.000315

0.000645

0.000528

0.000207

alphaHL

138

380

150

418

519

betaHL

1302

2197

1074

1312

3342

Hlbeta (h)

21.70

36.62

17.90

21.87

55.70

Classical PK estimation

Slide36

WAPPS models

Drug

TypeClassGen ctrlPref Mod(Comp)Alt model(Comp)ActiveAdvateF8R-wildN21YAlprolixF9R-longN32YBenefIXF9R-wildN2--YEloctateF8R-longN22YHumate PF8PDY21YKogenateF8R-wildN21YWilateF8PDY21YXynthaF8R-BDDN2--Y

Slide37

PPK MODELS

Drug

ClV1V2K10K12K21Advate0.252.870.810.08620.27700.9778Kogenate0.182.900.840.06130.03440.1193Xyntha0.334.520.890.07370.38991.9869Eloctate0.163.400.520.04700.55123.6285Benefix0.518.816.560.0580.13060.1753Alprolix0.227.214.350.03020.34870.5784V3K13K31Alprolix13.790.02570.0134

Slide38

Drug

Terminal HL

MRT (Plasma)MRT (body)Advate, hrs(95% CrI)10.5(5 – 16)8(3 – 12)10(5 – 15)Kogenate, hrs(95% CrI)16(6 – 27)11(4 – 18)14.5(5 – 24)Xyntha, hrs(95% CrI)11(8 – 14)9.5(6 – 13)11(8 – 14.5)Eloctate, hrs(95% CrI)17(6 – 26)15(3 – 26)17(6 – 28)FACTOR VIII PPK half-life

Slide39

Drug

Terminal HL

MRT (Plasma)MRT (body)Benefix, hrs(95% CrI)23(12 – 34)12(7 – 17)21(12 – 29)Alprolix, hrs(95%, CrI)116(65 – 167)23(12 -34)81(48 – 113)FACTOR IX PPK

Slide40

“Time to” critical concentrations

Concentrate

0.0595 % CrI0.0295 % CrI0.0195 % CrIAdvate4421-675828-886833 - 104Kogenate6224 – 1018432 – 13610038 – 163Xyntha4124 – 595635 – 776744 – 91Eloctate7020 – 1209328 – 15811034 – 186Benefix4430 – 577447 – 1009659 – 133Alprolix7542 – 10919193 – 289307179 – 434Benefix 1006643 – 1089659 – 13311971 - 167Levels as IU/mL – time as hours

Slide41

Kogenate

50 IU/kg

Slide42

BenefIX

50 IU/kg

Slide43

RESULTS – INDIVIDUAL ESTIMATIONRICH VS SPARSE DATA SAMPLE

Slide44

Bayesian estimate, rich data

Estimate

X95% CrITerminal HL (hr)12(10.5 – 13)Time (hr) to UI/mL0.0546.5(39.75 - 53.25)0.0262.75(53.5 – 72)0.0175(63.5 – 86.25)

Slide45

Slide46

Slide47

Slide48

Reduced sampling sets

Samples

HL0.050.020.010:15  481246.5(38.75 - 53.25)62.75(53.5 – 72)75(63.5 – 86.25)0:15, 3, 2813.552.5(36.75 – 67.75)70(49.25 – 90.5)83.25(58.75 – 107.75)0:30, 4811.039(31.15-46.75)53.5(44 – 63)64.5(53.25 – 73.5)0:15, 311.544.25(22.5 – 66)59.75(32 – 87.25)71.5(39.25 – 103.75)

Slide49

RESULTS – SENSITIVITY

Slide50

Patient with fast clearance

Time

[C]1:300.6912:000.1324:00<0.01HL (t) = 5.5 hours(CrI 5.0 – 7.5)

Slide51

Patient after ITI

Time

[C]35:080.03HL (t) = 7.5 hours(CrI 6.5 – 9.5)

Slide52

RESULTS – PERFORMANCE, TESTING AND VALIDATION

Slide53

Internal Validation: bootstrap

Slide54

221 patients257 kinetics

Validation cohort

Emoclot16FANHDI7Aafact17Kogenate62Helixate23Recombinate20Advate41Xyntha30Others41

Slide55

CONCLUSION AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS

Slide56

PPK assisted estimate

It feasible - Is it reliable, precise, accurate?

PEAK & TROUGHPRECISION, ACCURACY11 data points classic PK

Slide57

Step I: prediction on sparse data for new patientsReference: full set for the same patient

Index measure:

difference, ratio, predictive valueStep II: prediction on sparse data for new patientsReference: Prospective verification in the same patientIndex measure: agreement difference, ratio, predictive valueStep III: prediction on sparse data for new patientsComparison: “guess” from the treater on the same dataIndex measure: agreement difference, ratio, predictive valueExternal validation

Slide58

Release of the multilingual interfaceOptimal sampling time analysis

Development of a regimen simulation module

Future steps

Slide59

The WAPPS core teamThe WAPPS network membersBayer, Biogen

,

Kedrion, Octapharma, Pfizer. AKnowledgments

Slide60

Thank you !!!

Join the WAPPS network at:

www.wapps-hemo.orgDownload these slides at:Hemophilia.mcmaster.ca