Enabling Frail Elders to Live Meaningfully and Comfortably at a Sustainable Cost June 25 2014 Joanne Lynn MD MA MS Director Center for Elder Care and Advanced Illness JoanneLynnAltarumorg ID: 289566
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Slide1
MediCaring
– Enabling Frail Elders to Live Meaningfully and Comfortably at a Sustainable Cost
June 25, 2014
Joanne
Lynn, MD, MA,
MS
Director
, Center for Elder Care and Advanced Illness
Joanne.Lynn@Altarum.org
Slide2
By permission of Johnny Hart and Creators Syndicate, Inc.Slide3
Single Classic “Terminal” Disease
Onset
incurable
disease
Often
a few years, but decline usually
over a few months
Function
Time
Death
Mostly cancerSlide4
Begin to use hospital often, self-care becomes difficult
Function
Time
Death
Long term limitations with intermittent serious episodes
Mostly heart and lung failure
2-5 years, but death often seems “suddenSlide5
Onset could be deficits in ADL, speech, ambulation
Function
Time
Death
Prolonged dwindling
Mostly frailty and dementia
Quite variable, up to 6-8 yearsSlide6
Customize services for frail elderly Generate care plansGeriatricize medical care
Include long-term services and supportsDevelop local monitoring and
management
Fund added services and management from medical efficiency
Channel the public’s
fear and frustration
into
the will to change
MediCaring™!
Key Components of ReformSlide7
Identification of Frail Elders in Need of MediCaring™
AND one of the following:
>
1 ADL deficit or
Requires constant supervision
OR
Expected to meet criteria in 1-2Y
Unless Opt Out
Frail Elderly
Want a sensible care system
Age
>
65
Age
>
8
0
With Opt InSlide8
Discuss Useful category?Not setting, specific diagnosis, payment mode?Tolerable category? Better language?Slide9
PERSON-CENTEREDCARE PLAN
COMPREHENSIVE
EVALUATIONSlide10
What’s essential in developing a good care plan?Thorough understanding of the person/family situation Reasonable prognostication Availability and acceptability of services
Effective communication, sensitive but honestPerson (and family) priorities, fears and hopesInvolvement of all key service providers Discussion/negotiation/compromise/accord
Time
and event triggers for re-evaluating
Document
10Slide11Slide12
What about an "Advance Care Plan?"Lifespan and dying are naturally part of the care planInclude emergency plans like POLST
Designate surrogate decision-maker(s)Document along with care planUpdate and feedback as for other plan elementsFor frail elders, no advance care plan = serious errorSlide13
Discuss… Process for adequate understanding and negotiation of care plan – and revisions, and feedback?Why so strongly resisted, or inadequate versions accepted? Why no demand?How can care plans be used in system management?Slide14
Geriatricize Medical CareContinuityReliability, 24/7 to the end of lifeEnable self-management around disabilitiesRespect and include family and other caregiversReduce the burden of medical careMove services to the homePrevent falls, wrong actions
Enhance relationships, activities, meaningfulnessBe steadfast with dementia Slide15
2009 Health and Social Expenditures as Percentages of GDPSlide16
Ratio of Social to Health Service Expenditures Using 2009 Data Slide17
Disaster for the Frail Elderly: A Root Cause
Social Services
Funded as safety net
Under-measured
Many programs, many gaps
Medical Services
Open-ended funding
Inappropriate “standard” goals
Dysfx
quality measures
Inappropriate
Unreliable
Unmanaged
Wasteful “care”
No IntegratorSlide18
Discuss… How to scale up good practices?How to see services integrated across supports, medical treatments, housing, etc.?Does overspending on health care provide an opportunity?Slide19
Local level– not just state/federal (and provider)Frail elders are tied to where they liveLocal leadership responds to geography, history, leadershipLocalities can engender and use off-budget or less expensive services
Localities can address employer issues for caregiversLocal management is politically plausible nowSlide20
What will a local manager need?Tools for monitoring – data, metricsSlide21
Cincinnati Area Readmissions Over TimeSlide22
Patient- Reported Pursuit of GoalsUneven interval, multiple reporting strategies
DateScore
7/1/2012
2
8/3/2012
4
8/8/2012
3
10/12/2012
1
2/28/201343/2/201335/23/201306/1/201336/30/2013
4Slide23
What will a local manager need?Tools for monitoring – data, metricsSkills in coalition-building and governanceVisibility, value to local residents
Funding – perhaps shared savingsSome authority to speak out, cajole, create incentives and costs of various sortsA commitment to efficiency as well as qualitySlide24
Discuss…Is service delivery for frail elders best done with a strong component of local, geographic management?What existing entities could grow into this function?What are the political and other practical considerations?Could willing communities be allowed to learn?Slide25
Frail Elderly People Need Some New Spending…Housing
NutritionPersonal CareCaregiver training, respite, income
New
drugs and other
treatments
Where will it come from?
$$$
$$$
$$$
$$$
$$$
$$$Slide26
My Mother’s Broken BackSlide27
“The Cost of a Collapsed Vertebra in Medicare”Slide28
A Winning Possibility: MediCaring ACOs…Four geographic communities - 15,000 frail elders as steady caseloadConservative estimates of potential savings from published literature on better care models for frail eldersYields $23 million ROI in first 3 years
Net Savings for CMS Beneficiaries
Yr 1
Yr 2
Yr 3
3-Yr
Before Deducting In-Kind Costs
-$2,449,889
$10,245,353
$19,567,328
$27,362,791
After Deducting In-Kind Costs
-$3,478,025
$8,463,101
$17,629,209
$22,614,284
For more on
financial estimates,
see
http
://medicaring.org/2013/08/20/medicaring4life/
Slide29
A
v
era
g
e
LT
A
C
,
S
N
F
,
I
R
F costs per member per month
(PMPM)$122$99$67$53$42To
p quar
tileNational average
Medicare
Adva
ntage
average
n
a
vi
He
al
t
h
average
n
a
vi
He
al
t
h
B
e
st
naviH
e
alth Post-Acute Value PropositionV
ariation and overutilization
of po
st-acute services of
fer sign
ificant opportunity to create better and
m
o
re
ef
f
icient
o
u
tc
o
mes
~
50%
l
e
ss
t
h
an
FFS national
a
v
erage
(Fe
e
-for-s
e
r
vice
Medica
r
e)
29
Pos
t
-ac
u
te
utili
z
ati
o
n,
in
the
fe
e
-for
-
s
e
r
v
ice
M
edicare
populatio
n
,
is
substan
t
ially
higher
than other
m
anaged
m
odels
BP
C
I
op
p
ortuni
t
y
can
introduce
coo
r
din
at
e
d
data
dri
v
en
care
to
an
other
w
ise
fra
g
m
en
t
ed
and
m
isaligned
area
of
health
c
a
r
e
So – ~ half of expenditures saved – of 23% - if it costs half, 5% of Medicare is non-service profitsSlide30
Some options…Some ways to capture savings to invest in under-supplied supportive services – ACO, bundled payment, managed care, Pay4SuccessCreate medical savings – Much more advance care planning and arrangements that let more very sick, or very old people live the end of life on-island
Reduce medical transportReduce low value tests and consultations and “rehab”Move some services to the homeMonitor and manage services – supportive and medicalConsider local social insurance for long-term care costsSlide31
Discuss… Can we put it all together?Can we have reliable services to support comfort and meaningful lives in the period of frailty, at an affordable cost, in another way?What is appealing and what is appalling (or at least, implausible or underdeveloped!) in the MediCaring approach?What people and organizations might be supportive or hostile?Slide32
Customize services for frail elderly Generate care plansGeriatricize medical care
Include long-term services and supportsDevelop local monitoring and
management
Fund added services and management from medical efficiency
Channel the public’s
fear and frustration
into
the will to change
MediCaring™!
Key Components of ReformSlide33
We can have what we want and need
When we are old and frail
But only if we
deliberately build that future!