Richard Clayton David Talan Joint UNECEOECD Eurostat Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Geneva Switzerland September 34 2013 Outline Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages QCEW Program ID: 931612
Download Presentation The PPT/PDF document "Measuring Quality in the BLS Business Re..." is the property of its rightful owner. Permission is granted to download and print the materials on this web site for personal, non-commercial use only, and to display it on your personal computer provided you do not modify the materials and that you retain all copyright notices contained in the materials. By downloading content from our website, you accept the terms of this agreement.
Slide1
Measuring Quality in the BLS Business Register
Richard Clayton
David Talan
Joint UNECE/OECD/
Eurostat
Meeting of the
Group of Experts on Business Registers
Geneva, Switzerland
September 3-4, 2013
Slide2OutlineQuarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) ProgramConcepts and Sources
Dimensions of Quality
Data Quality Metrics
Data
Uses
/ Users
Publications
Slide3Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Quarterly census of employers covered under UI and federal employers covered under UCFE
Slide4QCEW – Quarterly Census of Employment and WagesQuarterly data (frequent)Released 6.5 months after reference period - timely
9.2 million records and growing
133 million in employment
Units, employment and wages
6 digit NAICS and county, ownership
UI based, mandatory collections to run UI
Wages - 98% reported data
Employment - 97% reported data
Units - 95% reported data
4
Slide5Investment in QualitySource: BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW)Administrative data from Unemployment Insurance filings (UI)Huge investment in improving raw administrative data
Two supplemental collections
ARS- Annual Refiling Survey
MWR- Multiple Worksite Report
Slide6QCEW ConceptsEmployerEstablishment
Reporting
unit
Multi-establishment
employer
QCEW
Slide7Business Register SourcesUI Status Determination FormUI Quarterly Contribution Report
BLS Multiple
Worksite Report
BLS Federal
Government Report
BLS Annual
Refiling Survey
Forms
Slide8Status Determination FormData obtained:UI account numberB
usiness
name
B
usiness
address
E
mployer
identification numberOwnership statusIndustry statusMulti-establishment employer statusPredecessor information
Slide9Quarterly UI Contribution ReportData obtained:Monthly
employment
T
otal
wages
T
axable
wages
Employer contributions
Slide10Multiple Worksite ReportData obtained:Establishment address
W
orksite
description
M
onthly
employment by establishment
T
otal wages by establishment
Slide11Annual Refiling FormsVerify and update:Industry codes
Geographic
codes
O
wnership
status
B
usiness
names and addressesMulti-establishment status
Slide12QCEW FileSubmitted to BLS by States
Contains
:
B
usiness
names and addresses
I
dentification
and classification informationEmployment and wage data
Slide13The QCEW FileUpdates:BLS Business Register
Employment
and wage data
Annual refiling code
changes
Slide14BLS Business RegisterUpdated each quarter9.2 million records
Longitudinally linked
to create a time series for each establishment
BLS
Business Register
Slide15Employers
State UI
Tax
Unit
QCEW
State
BLS Business
Register
(QCEW)
Initial
Status Forms
Contributions
Reports
Federal Gov't Reports
Unit
Multiple Worksite
Reports
QCEW File
D
eliverable
ARS Surveys
Business Register Data Flow
Slide16Independent Mechanism to Ensure Proper Coverage
In 2012, 19.3
million weekly UI claims were filed.
Each of these events ensures that QCEW coverage is complete and the QCEW business register is able to capture new businesses in a timely fashion.
An average of 372,000 UI claims filed weekly
Slide17Dimensions of QualityQuality – Measure of Reported Data
Relevant
Timely
Accurate
Slide18Data Quality: Setting Goals and Standards
BLS Sets Data Quality Standards
Communicates with BLS Regions and States
Prioritizes “focus” of data quality
Multiple Layers of Data Quality Review
Federal-State Cooperative
Program
BLS National Office
BLS Regional Offices
States
Slide19Quality-Cost TradeoffCost Saving InitiativesElectronic Data CollectionARS and MWR
ARS Collection via Contractor
Touchtone Data Entry
19
Slide20Data Quality MetricsReports that Measure Data QualityFlash Report
Business Register Metrics Report
Historical Tracking
Slide21Flash ReportMonitors data quality received from StatesNumber of reported units
Number of imputations
Number of prorations
Number of missing units
Number of records with invalid area/county and industry codes
Reports generated twice each quarter
Initial and Updated reports generated
Slide2222
Data Quality Metric
:
High Level of Reported
Data
Slide23Percentage of Unclassified NAICS in State B in Comparison to the National Average of Unclassified NAICS
Historical Tracking
Slide24Business Register MetricsGenerated after the data are linkedMonitors:
System software
Data quality
Quality of analyst manual matches
Evaluates:
The number and type of manual matches (breakout/consolidation)
Number of new QCEW businesses each quarter
Number of births/deaths each quarter
Number of unmatched recordsNumber of weighted match records
Slide2525
Quality Metric:
High
Linkage Rates
Slide26TimelinessJanuary 1 – March 31 = Reference
Quarter
March 31 – April 30
=
Reporting
Period
May 1 – July 29
=
UI Processing QCEW Extract from UI QCEW Edit & Review
July 30 – Sept 30
=
State File sent to BLS
BLS
Review
State
Updates
Received
October 7
=
Publication
Lag
= 6 months and 1 week
Slide27AccuracyThorough editing and review at the state, regional, and national levels each quarter
196 Interactive Edits
State’s contact businesses to correct questionable data and/or provide missing data
Development of new state system with even more powerful editing and review capabilities
Slide28Continuous Progress and Improvements1991
–1992
: Multiple Worksite Reports - county
Level
2001 : Longitudinal Database completed
1998 – 2001
:
NAICS Implemented
2002 : Quarterly Publication Initiated
2003 :
Business Employment Dynamics (BED)
: Geocoding
started
2004 :
NAICS History Released (Sept 2004)
4 Week Acceleration Completed
2005 : BED Firm Size Data
2007 : NAICS 2007 Conversion (2007/Q1)
2010 : QCEW Mapping Tool
2012 : BED State Industry Data
Slide29UI Tax Rate & Actuarial Analysis
UI-Covered Employment
Local Area Unemployment
Personal Income (BEA)
Gross Domestic Product (BEA)
Economic Forecasting
Current Employment Statistics
Occupational Employment Statistics
Job Creation/Destruction
Size Class Dynamics
Business Survival Rates
Geocoded Establishments
Occupational Employment Statistics
Occupational Safety and Health Statistics
Current Employment Statistics
National Compensation Survey
Industrial Price Program
Occupational Safety and Health Statistics
Programmatic Uses
Benchmarking
(Employment Base)
General Economic Uses
Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Data (QCEW/
Analytical Uses
Sampling
Mass Layoff Statistics
State Revenue Projections
Jobs Openings & Labor Turnover Survey
Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey
Quarterly Press Releases,
Annual Employment and Wages
Local Economic Development Indicators
Clusters Analysis
Shift Share
Industry Diversity Indexes
Location Quotients
Federal Funds Allocation
$175 Billion
(HUD, USDA, HCFA/CHIP)
Minimum Wage Studies
Uses Of Quarterly Census of Employment
and Wages Data (QCEW)
Local Economic Impact Response Planning
Local Government Services Planning
Interagency Data Uses
Improve CPS After 2000 Census
LEHD
Industry Code Sharing
Local Transportation Planning
Slide30Accessing the QCEW and BED MacrodataBED: http://www.bls.gov/bdm/home.htm QCEW:
http://www.bls.gov/cew/home.htm
30
Slide31Richard ClaytonDavid Talan
Email: clayton.richard@bls.gov
Email: talan.david@bls.gov
www.bls.gov/bdm