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1 Polarizing  rain types linked to June drought 1 Polarizing  rain types linked to June drought

1 Polarizing rain types linked to June drought - PowerPoint Presentation

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1 Polarizing rain types linked to June drought - PPT Presentation

in the Korean peninsula over last 20 years BJ Sohn School of Earth and Environmental Sciences Seoul National University N S 1000 mb 100 Hong 1992 Numerical experiments for heavy rain over Korea ID: 930735

type rain trend heavy rain type heavy trend rainfall storm warm precipitation height reflectivity water cold 2017 june experiments

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Presentation Transcript

Slide1

1

Polarizing

rain types linked to June drought

in the Korean peninsula over last 20

years

B.J. Sohn

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences

Seoul National University

Slide2

N

S

1000

(

mb

)

100

Hong

(1992): Numerical experiments forheavy rain over Korea

July 29, 2007 (Joonang Daily)

Heavy rainfall mechanism

over Korea

500

Heavy rain event over Seoul

Slide3

CFADs of PR reflectivity classified by rain

rate (

94070 )

Korea

Rapidly increasing

Ze

:

fast growing rain drops and associated heavy rainfall

Total samples

= 94,070(summers of (2002–2011)

Sohn et al. (2013, MWR)

Slide4

US - Oklahoma

Vertically aligned reflectivity profile

Total samples

= 40,830

Slide5

Slide6

CFADs summary for 20

< RR

PR

<

40 mm/

hr

Warm type

Cold type

Slide7

L: Mean PR reflectivity for 20

< RR

PR

<

40 mm/

hr

R: Possible growing process for warm rain

Song, H.-J., B. J. Sohn, S.-Y. Hong, and T.

Hashino

, 2017: Idealized numerical experiments on the microphysical evolution of warm-type heavy rainfall.

J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 1685-1699, doi:10.1002/2016JD025637.

Slide8

(a) ASOS 60 stations

(b)

June

Precipitation

−70.55

mm

decade

-1

How are rain patterns changed in recent years, particularly in relation to the recent June drought over the Korean peninsula?

1998-2017

Slide9

(a) Mean (mm)

(b)

Mean

(10

-3

g

m

-2

s

-1)(c) Trend (mm decade

-1)

(d) Trend (10

-3

g

m

-2

s

-1

decade

-1

)

Precipitation

Moisture Flux Convergence

June trend

(1998–2017)

Slide10

(a) Mean

(b) Trend

PDF distribution of rainfall

averaged

over 60 stations

and 20-year trend (1998-2017)

Slide11

Radar Reflectivity

(Rain Rate < 10 mm h

-1

)

(a) Mean

(d) Trend

(b) Mean

(e) Trend

(c) Mean

(f) Trend

Storm Height

Radar Reflectivity

(Rain

R

ate > 10 mm h

-1

)

Slide12

(Rain Rate < 10 mm h

-1

)

July

August

(Rain

R

ate > 10 mm h

-1

)

Slide13

Conclusions

Two

types

of heavy rainfall emerged as the most important rain processes over East Asia:

Type 1 (cold-type)

characterized by high storm height and abundant ice

water under

convectively unstable conditions, developing mostly over inland China; and

Type 2 (warm-type)

associated with a lower storm height and lower ice water content, developing mostly over the ocean.

It was suggested that

deep convection may not always be necessary to produce heavy rainfall in very humid environment if water vapor convergence is prevalent with a continuous supply of water vapor into the region in interest

.

Warm/cold type experiments using WRF model

: lower

storm height, earlier onset of precipitation, and heavier

precipitation, collision-coalescence process.

Polarizing rain types

: dominant

warm-type heavy rain with a medium storm height tends to be less frequent while cold-type heavy rains characterized by taller storm and ice abundant clouds become more frequent

in

last 20 years.

13

Slide14

Flight Speed: 7.3 km/sec

PR :

Precipitation

Radar (13 GHz)

TMI: TRMM Microwave

Imager

(

10.65, 19.35, 37.0,

85.5 GHz)

VIRS: Visible/IR Scanner

Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) (~ 1997 onwards)

TMI TB85V