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Current Climatic Condition Current Climatic Condition

Current Climatic Condition - PowerPoint Presentation

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Uploaded On 2016-09-07

Current Climatic Condition - PPT Presentation

GIS Agromet MAIL Precipitation Comparison 21 st Jan to 21st Feb Field Report on fruit trees Almond has blossomed in most parts of the country where grown Apricot has also blossomed in some parts of the country where grown ID: 461983

precipitation average forecast basins average precipitation basins forecast snow nmme 2016 season grown country parts blossomed 21st current afghanistan feb february water

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Presentation Transcript

Slide1

Current Climatic Condition

GIS/

Agromet

MAILSlide2

Precipitation Comparison

21

st

Jan to 21st FebSlide3

Field Report on fruit trees

Almond has blossomed in most parts of the country where grown

Apricot has also blossomed in some parts of the country where grownSlide4

Agroclimatic Outlook

February 23 / MAIL

Kabul, AfghanistanSlide5

Outline

Current weather situation

Weather ForecastSlide6

Current weather situationSlide7

Below average precipitation in some of the provinceSlide8

Dryness recovered

February 4 – 10, 2016

Small

to moderate precipitation deficits have

persistedSlide9

Not very bad situation than last wet season, But mostly in shape of rainfallSlide10

Afghanistan Seasonal Snowpack Status

February 2016Slide11
Slide12

Basins in the NorthSlide13

Basins in the WestSlide14

Basins in the SouthSlide15

Basins in the EastSlide16

Low snow cover compared to last year and the averageSlide17

While we expected above average precipitation this season due to the ongoing El Nino event, it seems that so far this has not happened.

 

The extent of snow covered area is below average, and snow water content of the pack appears to be generally low too.  While basins in the North have accumulations of snow water equivalent (SWE) that are about average, basins in the West and South are well below average according to the model.  In the basins of the East, early season SWE accumulations tracked at about average, but recently they show signs of leveling off to be below average for this time of year.

As a summary on

seasonal snow pack accumulations in AfghanistanSlide18

Weather ForecastSlide19

Short term forecastWeek 1Slide20

Short term forecast

Week 2Slide21

Feb-Apr Forecast

NMME Temperature

NMME PrecipitationSlide22

Mar-May Forecast

NMME Temperature

NMME PrecipitationSlide23

Apr-Jun Forecast

NMME Temperature

NMME PrecipitationSlide24

Assumptions

Although El Niño typically results in above-average precipitation in Central Asia, near-average precipitation for Afghanistan and Tajikistan is forecast through the remainder of the wet season ending in May 2016

.

Near-surface air temperatures will be above-average through at least May 2016. There is an elevated risk that periods of freezing or frost could damage tree crops, as blooming is likely to happen earlier than usual.There will be a near-average risk of flooding during spring 2016, which reflects expectations for near-average snow accumulation

.

During the primary 2016 staple season from March – August, it is most likely that the availability of water for irrigation will be normal.Slide25

Thanks for being with us.Slide26

Current Climatic Condition

GIS/

Agromet

MAILSlide27

Precipitation Comparison

21

st

Jan to 21st FebSlide28

Field Report on fruit trees

Almond has blossomed in most parts of the country where grown

Apricot has also blossomed in some parts of the country where grown