Model Prediction for the Oscars Keith R Everett Model Variables 19942014 Training Data NY and LA Film Critics Awards Golden Globe Awards Screen Actors Guild Awards BAFTA Awards Independent Spirit Awards ID: 500662
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Slide1
GLMNet Model Prediction for the Oscars
Keith R. EverettSlide2
Model Variables
1994-2014 Training Data
NY and LA Film Critics Awards
Golden Globe Awards
Screen Actors Guild Awards
BAFTA Awards
Independent Spirit Awards
Oscar Nominations and WinsSlide3
Model Variables
Previous Nominations and Wins for
e
ach Nominee
Opening Weekend Number of Screens Shown
Inflation Adjusted Opening
W
eekend Gross per Screen
Rotten Tomatoes Critics Score
Rotten Tomatoes number of Critics scoredSlide4
Model Predicted Winners
Best Actor
Leonardo
DiCaprio
– The Revenant
Best Actress
Brie Larson – Room
Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale – The Big Short
Best Supporting Actress
Kate
Winslet
– Steve Jobs
Best Director
Alejandro González
Iñárritu
– The Revenant
Best Picture
The
Revenant – if
Iñárritu
wins for Director
Bridge of
Spies –
if
Iñárritu
not Best
DirectorSlide5
What May Change Model Outcomes
BAFTA and Independent Spirit Winners
Real time Oscar Awards for other categories
E.g. Beat Director linked with Best Picture on previous slide
See you in March with the final results and model details