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Marcella Tambuscio Marcella Tambuscio

Marcella Tambuscio - PowerPoint Presentation

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Marcella Tambuscio - PPT Presentation

tambusciodiunitoit Factchecking and viral hoaxes a model of misinformation spread in social networks RDSM15 WWW15 Le avventure di Pinocchio Enrico Mazzanti Firenze 1883 The Spread of Online Misinformation ID: 301001

model gullible hoax segregation gullible model segregation hoax fact misinformation spread size indiana spreading verifying probability role forgetting tambuscio

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Slide1

Marcella Tambuscio(tambuscio@di.unito.it)

Fact-checking and viral hoaxes: a model of misinformation spread in social networks

#RDSM15 - WWW15

Le avventure di Pinocchio

Enrico Mazzanti (Firenze, 1883)Slide2
Slide3

The Spread of Online Misinformation

source: California Dept. of Public HealthSlide4

Sisyphus -Tiziano (1548)Slide5

How do hoaxes and facts compete?Slide6

Epidemic models

Slide7

Our model (1)

SPREADINGβ spreading rateα gullibility

Slide8

Our model (2)

VERIFYING(probability of fact-check)Slide9

Our model (3)

FORGETTINGSlide10

Comparison with SISSlide11

Dynamics (simulation results)Slide12

Dynamics (simulations results)Slide13

Mean-field

analysisSlide14

“more gullible, less fact-check”

MF equationsSlide15

A tale of two communities

GULLIBLESKEPTIChigher

α

smaller

α

SIZE:

nodes in gullible community (0 < t < N)

SEGREGATION:

fraction of edges within community (0.5 < s < 1) Slide16

α = 0.85

GULLIBLE

SKEPTIC

α = 0.4

Segregation

size t

segregation s

num believers at equilibriumSlide17

Vaccines

hoaxSlide18

Chemtrails

hoaxSlide19

Summary

Threshold on verifying probability: provides an idea of how many fact-checkers are needed to guarantee the removal of the hoax.Crucial role of size and segregation of gullible communities in the diffusion of misinformation: reducing them, the hoax spread can be cointained.Next: looking at role of forgetting and fluctuationsSlide20

THANK YOU!

University of Turin arcs.di.unito.itIndiana University cnets.indiana.edu

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