PPT-Beyond Bayesian Updating:

A Descriptively Adequate Model of Conditional Reasoning Henrik Singmann Christoph Klauer Sieghard Beller Overview Singmann H amp Klauer K C 2011 Deductive and inductive conditional inferences Two modes of reasoning . . Rebecca R. Gray, Ph.D.. Department of Pathology. University of Florida. BEAST:. is a cross-platform program for Bayesian MCMC analysis of molecular sequences. entirely orientated towards rooted, time-measured phylogenies inferred using strict or relaxed molecular clock models. P(. A . &. B. ) . = . P(. A. |. B. ) * P(. B. ). Product Rule:. Bayesian Reasoning. P(. A . &. B. ) . = . P(. A. |. B. ) * P(. B. ). Product Rule:. Shorthand for . . P(A=true & B=true) = P(A=true | B=true) * P(B=true). Bayesian Network Motivation. We want a representation and reasoning system that is based on conditional . independence. Compact yet expressive representation. Efficient reasoning procedures. Bayesian Networks are such a representation. Author: David Heckerman. . Presented By:. Yan Zhang - 2006. Jeremy Gould – 2013. 1. Outline. Bayesian Approach. Bayesian vs. classical probability methods. Examples. Bayesian Network. Structure. Jun Zhang. , Graham . Cormode. , Cecilia M. . Procopiuc. , . Divesh. . Srivastava. , Xiaokui Xiao. The Problem: Private Data Release. Differential Privacy. Challenges. The Algorithm: PrivBayes. Bayesian Network. Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering. Zhu Han. Department. of Electrical and Computer Engineering. University of Houston.. Thanks to Nam Nguyen. , . Guanbo. . Zheng. , and Dr. . Rong. . Week 9 and Week 10. 1. Announcement. Midterm II. 4/15. Scope. Data . warehousing and data cube. Neural . network. Open book. Project progress report. 4/22. 2. Team Homework Assignment #11. Read pp. 311 – 314.. matching. for CO. 2. sequestration. iterative . polynomial chaos . expansion . combined with bootstrap . filtering. W. Nowak, S. Oladyhskin, M. Sinsbeck. Stochastic Modelling of Hydrosystems. Chair for Hydromechanics and Modelling of Hydrosystems. Zhichao Zhu and Guohong Cao. Department of Computer Science and Engineering. The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802. {zzhu, gcao}@cse.psu.edu. outline. Introduction. Preliminaries. or. How to combine data, evidence, opinion and guesstimates to make decisions. Information Technology. Professor Ann Nicholson. Faculty of Information Technology. Monash University . (Melbourne, Australia). CSE . 6363 – Machine Learning. Vassilis. . Athitsos. Computer Science and Engineering Department. University of Texas at . Arlington. 1. Estimating Probabilities. In order to use probabilities, we need to estimate them.. Robert J. . Tempelman. Department of Animal Science. Michigan State University. 1. Outline of talk:. Introduction. Review . of Likelihood Inference . An Introduction to Bayesian Inference. Empirical Bayes Inference. Carrie Deis. Nadine Dewdney. Phase I clinical trials. Standard Designs. Adaptive Designs. Bayesian Approach. Traditional vs. Bayesian. Hybridization. FDA Guidance. Conclusion. Overview. Conducted to determine toxicity for the dosing of the new intervention. Cognitive Science. Current Problem:. . How do children learn and how do they get it right?. Connectionists and Associationists. Associationism:. . maintains that all knowledge is represented in terms of associations between ideas, that complex ideas are built up from combinations of more primitive ideas, which, in accordance with empiricist philosophy, are ultimately derived from the senses. .