David J Hardisty Sauder School of Business University of British Columbia People Project with SESYNC Interdisciplinary group mostly natural scientists forestry fish amp wildlife etc ID: 344231
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Slide1
Timescale Mismatches
David J. Hardisty
Sauder School of Business
University of British ColumbiaSlide2
People
Project with SESYNC
Interdisciplinary group – mostly natural scientists (forestry, fish & wildlife,
etc
)
Alain Hastings, Lynn McGuire, Robyn Wilson, many othersSlide3
Overview
Thought piece
Ecological systems operate on longer and shorter (!) timescales than humans
Illustrated in 3 cases:
- Eutrophication of western Lake Erie
- Forest fires in western US
- Emerald ash borer and invasive species
Identify comment points where different types of mismatches arise
Suggest (behavioral) solutionsSlide4
Structural interactionsSlide5
Decision FrameworkSlide6
Typology
of timescale
mismatchesSlide7
Western Lake Erie Eutrophication
Phosphorus is used for farming
Runoff causes harmful algal blooms
Algal blooms also exacerbated by warmer temperatures and wetter weatherSlide8
Mismatches
Lag between policy
actions (annual),
farmer
actions (annual),
and water
quality response (decadal to generational)
Short term fluctuations in water quality due to weather
Annual economic goals, long term protection of ecology and economySlide9
Behavioral Solutions
Decision
analytic
tools for policy makers
Economic incentives
for adoption of new technologies
Choice bracketing: fertilizer application framed as multi-annual choice
(comprehensive nutrient management planning)
Display lake eutrophication as a running 3-year average rather than annual (reduce peak-end)
Focus on tracking behavioral drivers (phosphorus) rather than consequence (eutrophication)
Display current levels of eutrophication as losses with respect to some healthy reference point
Use social norms to provide immediate social benefit for farmers to change behavior
Other ideas?Slide10
Other cases
Forest fires
Invasive species
Solutions?
Journals? Slide11
Thank You!