James Wanliss Presbyterian College Clinton SC Thanks Vadim Uritsky James Weygand Isradynamics 13 April 2010 Ein Bokek Israel 1 Statistical Physics Concepts In thermodynamics statistical mechanics a ID: 218590
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COMPARATIVE STUDY OF DYNAMICAL CRITICAL SCALING IN THE SPACE STORM INDEX VERSUS SOLAR WIND FLUCTUATIONS
James Wanliss, Presbyterian College, Clinton, SCThanks: Vadim Uritsky, James WeygandIsradynamics, 13 April 2010. Ein Bokek, IsraelSlide2
1. Statistical Physics Concepts
In thermodynamics (statistical mechanics), a phase transition or phase change is the transformation of a thermodynamic system from one phase to another. The distinguishing characteristic of a phase transition is an abrupt sudden change in one or more physical properties, in particular the heat capacity, with a small change in a thermodynamic variable such as the temperature. Non-equilibrium thermodynamics is a branch of thermodynamics concerned with studying time-dependent thermodynamic systems.Open system Slide3
Definition: Self-Organized Behavior
Spontaneous change in the internalorganization of thesystem.Change appears not to be guided or managed by natural sourcesSlide4
Definition: Critical Behaviour
In standard critical phenomena, there is a control parameter which an experimenter can vary to obtain this radical change in behaviour. In the case of melting, the control parameter is temperature.Self-organized critical phenomenon, by contrast, is exhibited by driven systems which reach a critical state by their intrinsic dynamics, independently of the value of any control parameter.If system is critical, results should be robust irrespective of activity levels.Slide5
In
a physical system the time interval between two "events" is called a waiting-time, for instance, the time interval of a certain activity.This can give information on whether storms are independent events, and provides a test for models for storm statistics. Burst lifetime is the time, T, of a burst ofactivity. Total duration is given by θ.Standard Poisson waiting-time distributions
(‘used is good as new’)
2. Testing for Self-Organized or Critical Behavior: Waiting times
Wanliss and Weygand,
GRL
, 2007Slide6Slide7
Intermittent
behaviour, with long-range dependence.
Low-Latitudes: SYM-H FluctuationsSlide8
Burst lifetimes of SYM-H,
є, VBs (1995-2005)Power-law slope over several orders of magnitudeDoesn’t vary for different thresholds (SOC-like)Scaling properties of the low-latitude magnetosphere, whose output is recorded by SYM-H, is not purely a direct response to the scale-free properties of the solar wind!
SYM-H
VB
s
ε
1995-1998
1.24± 0.06
1.30± 0.08
1.32± 0.09
2000-2003
1.29± 0.05
1.54± 0.07
1.59± 0.08Slide9
Demonstrate that the temporal dynamics of SYM-H perturbations exhibit non-trivial power-law relations.
The avalanche dynamics are described in terms of the ensemble averaged number of active sites as a function of delay time from the start of each excitation in the ensemble, and the probability that an avalanche survives this time interval,For a system near a critical point,As well, for every avalanche with lifetime T there is a relationship between the lifetime and size of the avalanche, S, viz.3. Testing for Self-Organised or Critical Behavior: Dynamic Critical Scaling
Wanliss and
Uritsky
,
JGR
, 2010Slide10
Size vs Lifetime (S vs. T) shows a power law dependence, as does θ
vs
T
. A very slight break in slope occurs near 10,000 seconds.
Slope for S
vs
T for whole interval gives a slope of 1.705
±
0.022
SYM-H fit for
τ
<2 hours
gives
η
=0.263±0.008;
δ
=0.416±0.004
Thus 1+
η
+
δ
=1.679±0.063
(
i
.) Spreading critical
e
xponentsSlide11
THEORY
t
T
=1.40±0.04; t
S
=1.18±0.03.
MEASUREMENT
(ii
.) Avalanche critical exponentsSlide12
4.Testing for Self-Organized or Critical Behavior: (iii.) Power Spectra
In addition to the above results, if the bursty dynamics isdue to a critical avalanching process, the exponent ( ) should allow one to predict the power-law slope β of the Fourier power spectrum describing the average
burst shape.
It has been shown for < 2 (which is the case for SYM-H
bursts and
sandpile
avalanching models) the integral
relating P(f) with the avalanche size probability distribution
and the conditional energy spectrum of avalanches of a
given size is dominated by a frequency dependent upper
cut-off, yielding the simple scaling relation Slide13
To verify this relation, we performed two semi-independent
statistical tests. In the first test, we put together SYM-H bursts with T < 240 min in their natural order by eliminating the quiet periods separating the bursts. The resulting time series is analogous to the time dependence of the number of topplings in an avalanching model studied under
infinitely slow driving conditions
In the 2
nd
test, we overlapped bursts by randomizing their
starting times and taking their sum for each time step.
The time series obtained mimics the dynamics of “running”
sandpiles
with slow but continuous driving, producing no
interference between concurrent avalanches. Slide14
In both tests, the power spectra have a distinct power-law region for frequencies above (240 minutes)
-1 with the exponent β being statistically indistinguishable from the exponent as predicted for critical avalanching systems.Slide15
To make sure that the obtained spectra
characterize correlations within bursts we also checked the power spectrum of the lifetime dynamics as represented by consecutive T values. The spectrum of the lifetimes has a clear white noise shape indicating that the interburst correlations have no significant effect on the burst shape, in agreement with the behavior of the described class of critical
avalanching models
.Slide16
6. Summary
Burst lifetime distribution functions yield clear power-law exponents of the lifetime probability distributions. Since SYM-H scaling was remarkably robust, irrespective of solar cycle, it could be that the solar wind almost never acts as a direct driver for the SYM-H scaling.Tests on ensemble averaged dynamics of the bursts of activity in the SYM-H
index demonstrated scale-free
behavior
, and strong correlation between the size
S
and lifetime
T
of the activity bursts. These scaling behaviors were consistent with theoretical predictions from
nonequilibrium
systems
near criticality
. Our
results show
what could be the first quantitative evidence
for the
same universality class as directed percolation in a natural system.
Similar scaling behavior is NOT observed in solar wind fluctuations.Slide17
Summary (2)The second level of results
is our demonstration of the possibility that the multiscale dynamics of the ring current system is a result of its cooperative behavior governed by a specific statistical principle. We associate this dynamics with nonlinear interactions of spatially distributed degrees of freedom (e.g., current filaments) keeping the system in the vicinity of a global critical point. The results can also be used for validating existing and future ring current models in terms of their ability to correctly represent the cross‐scale coupling effects in this system.Slide18
ReferencesJ. A. Wanliss and J. M. Weygand (2007), Power law burst lifetime distribution of the SYM‐H index,
Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L04107, doi:10.1029/2006GL028235.Wanliss, J., and V. Uritsky (2010), Understanding bursty behavior in midlatitude geomagnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., 115, A03215, doi:10.1029/2009JA014642.