Health Care Quality Darren DeWalt MD MPH Director Learning and Diffusion Group Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation January 2016 Better Smarter Healthier So we will continue to work across sectors and across the aisle for the goals we share ID: 672491
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Slide1
New Models of Care and Payment to Drive Health Care Quality
Darren DeWalt, MD, MPH
Director, Learning and Diffusion Group
Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation
January 2016Slide2
Better.
Smarter.
Healthier.
“So we will continue to work across sectors and across the aisle for the goals we share:
better care, smarter spending, and healthier people
.”Slide3
Overview
CMS Innovation Center and Early Results
Learning Systems to Support Success
Delivery System Reform and Our GoalsSlide4
CMS support of health care Delivery System Reform will result in better care, smarter s
pending, and healthier
p
eople
Key characteristics
Producer-centered
Incentives for volume
Unsustainable
Fragmented Care
Systems and Policies
Fee-For-Service Payment Systems
Key characteristics
Patient-centered
Incentives for outcomes
Sustainable
Coordinated care
Systems and Policies
Value-based purchasing
Accountable Care Organizations
Episode-based payments
Medical
HomesQuality/cost transparency
Public and Private sectors
Evolving future state
Historical stateSlide5
Improving the way providers are incentivized, the way care is delivered, and the way information is distributed will help provide better care at lower cost across the health care system.
Delivery System Reform requires focusing on the way we pay providers, deliver care, and distribute information
Source: Burwell SM. Setting Value-Based Payment Goals ─ HHS Efforts to Improve U.S. Health Care. NEJM 2015 Jan 26; published online first.
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“
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Pay
Providers
Deliver
Care
Distribute
Information
FOCUS AREASSlide6
Enhanced Framework from Learning and Action NetworkSlide7
During January 2015, HHS announced goals for value-based payments within the Medicare FFS systemSlide8
2016
30%
85%
2018
50%
90%
Target
percentage of
payments
in
‘FFS
linked to
quality’
and
‘alternative
payment
models’ by
2016 and 2018
2014
~20%
>80%2011
0%~70%GoalsHistorical PerformanceAll Medicare FFS (Categories 1-4)FFS linked to quality (Categories 2-4)Alternative payment models (Categories 3-4)Slide9
LAN Work Group Goals for Payment ReformSlide10
MACRA moves us closer to meeting these goals…
2016
2018
New HHS Goals:
30%
85%
5
0%
90%
The new Merit-based Incentive Payment System
helps to link
fee-for-service payments
to quality and value.
The law also
provides incentives for
participation in Alternative Payment Models
in general and bonus payments to those in the most highly advanced APMs
0%
All
Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) payments (Categories 1-4)
Medicare
FFS
payments linked to quality and value (Categories
2
-4)
Medicare payments linked to quality and value
via APMs
(Categories 3-4)
Medicare
Payments to those in the most highly advanced APMs under MACRASlide11
How much can the Merit Based Incentive Payments System (MIPS) adjust payments?
Based on the MIPS
composite performance score
, physicians and practitioners will receive positive, negative, or neutral adjustments
up to
the percentages below.
MIPS adjustments are
budget neutral
. A
scaling factor
may be applied to upward adjustments to make total
upward and downward adjustments
equal
.
MAXIMUM
Adjustments
Adjustment to provider’s base rate of Medicare Part B payment
Merit-Based Incentive Payment System
(MIPS)
4%
5%7%9% 2019 2020 2021 2022 onward-4%-5%-7%
-9%Slide12
CMS Innovation Center and Early
Results
Learning Systems to Support Success
Delivery System Reform and Our GoalsSlide13
The CMS Innovation Center was created by the Affordable Care Act to develop, test, and implement new payment and delivery models
“The
purpose of the [Center] is to test innovative payment and service delivery models to
reduce program expenditures…while preserving or enhancing the quality of care
furnished to individuals under such
titles”
Section 3021 of Affordable Care Act
Three scenarios for success
Quality improves; cost neutral
Quality neutral; cost reduced
Quality improves; cost reduced (best case)
If a model meets one of these three criteria and other statutory prerequisites, the statute allows the Secretary to expand the duration and scope of a model through rulemaking Slide14
The Innovation Center portfolio aligns with delivery system reform focus areas
Focus Areas
CMS Innovation Center Portfolio*
Deliver Care
Learning and Diffusion
Partnership for Patients
Transforming Clinical Practice
Community-Based Care Transitions
Health Care Innovation Awards
Accountable Health Communities
State Innovation Models Initiative
SIM Round 1
SIM Round 2
Maryland All-Payer Model
Million Hearts Cardiovascular Risk Reduction Model
Distribute Information
Health Care Payment Learning and Action Network
Information to providers in CMMI models
Shared decision-making required by many models
Pay Providers
Accountable Care
Pioneer ACO ModelMedicare Shared Savings Program (housed in Center for Medicare)Advance Payment ACO ModelComprehensive ERSD Care InitiativeNext Generation ACOPrimary Care TransformationComprehensive Primary Care Initiative (CPC)Multi-Payer Advanced Primary Care Practice (MAPCP) DemonstrationIndependence at Home Demonstration Graduate Nurse Education DemonstrationHome Health Value Based PurchasingMedicare Care Choices
Bundled payment models
Bundled Payment for Care Improvement Models 1-4Oncology Care ModelComprehensive Care for Joint ReplacementInitiatives Focused on the Medicaid Medicaid Incentives for Prevention of Chronic DiseasesStrong Start InitiativeMedicaid Innovation Accelerator ProgramDual Eligible (Medicare-Medicaid Enrollees)Financial Alignment InitiativeInitiative to Reduce Avoidable Hospitalizations among Nursing Facility ResidentsMedicare Advantage (Part C) and Part D
Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design model
Part D Enhanced Medication Therapy Management
Test and expand alternative payment models
Support providers and states to improve the delivery of care
Increase information available for effective informed decision-making by consumers and providers
* Many CMMI programs test innovations across multiple focus areasSlide15
Accountable Care Organizations: Participation in Medicare ACOs growing rapidly
477 ACOs
have been established in the MSSP, Pioneer ACO, Next Generation ACO and Comprehensive ESRD Care Model programs*
This includes
121 new ACOS
in 2016 of which 64 are risk-bearing covering
8.9 million assigned beneficiaries
across 49 states & Washington, DC
ACO-Assigned Beneficiaries by
County**
* January 2016
** Last updated April 2015Slide16
Medicare Shared Savings Program: Results to date
1
2013 figures include both 2012 and 2013 savings / loss generated for some ACOs that started mid-year in 2012 (these were the first ACOs in the program)
Financial Results
In
2014:
92 ACOs (28%)
held spending $806 million below their targets and earned performance payments of more than $341 million
An additional 89 ACOs reduced health care costs compared to their benchmark, but did not meet the minimum savings threshold.
ACOs with more experience in the program were more likely to generate shared savings: 37 percent of 2012 starters, compared to 27 percent of those that entered in 2013, and 19 percent of those that entered in 2014
.
In 2013
1
:
58 ACOs (26%)
held spending $705 million below their targets and earned performance payments of more than $315 million
Quality Results
ACOs that reported in both 2013 and 2014
improved
average performance on 27 of 33 quality measuresSlide17
Pioneer ACOs were designed for
organizations with experience in coordinated care
and ACO-like contracts
Pioneer ACOs
generated savings for
three years
in a row
Total savings
of $92 million in PY1, $96 million in PY2, and $120 million in PY3‡
Average savings per ACO
increased
from $2.7 million in PY1 to $4.2 million in
PY2
to $6.0 million in PY3
‡Pioneer ACOs showed
improved quality outcomesMean quality score increased
from 72% to 85% to 87% from 2012–2014 Average performance score improved
in 28 of 33 (85%) quality measures in PY3Elements of the Pioneer ACO have been incorporated into track 3 of the MSSP ACOPioneer ACOs meet requirement for expansion after two years and continued to generate savings in performance year 319 ACOs operating in 12 states (AZ, CA, IA, IL, MA, ME, MI, MN, NH, NY, VT, WI) reaching over 600,000 Medicare fee-for-service beneficiariesDuration of model test: January 2012 – December 2014; 19 ACOs extended for 2 additional years‡ Results from actuarial analysisSlide18
Pioneer
ACO: Actuarial Results to date
120
2014
82
62
-9
-15
2013
96
66
63
-11
-23
2012
92
77
64
-3
-47
How to read this graph – in 2014, for example:
Among 15 ACOs that generated savings, $82 M of the total savings was retained by CMS, while $62 was shared with 11 ACOs in the form of shared savings payments
Among 5 ACOs that generated losses, $15 M of the total losses was absorbed by CMS, while $9 M was paid back to CMS by 3 ACOs
Total program savings was $120 M
18 ACOS generated savings (14 received payment)
14 generated losses (1 owed CMS)
1
14 ACOS generated savings (11 received payment)
9 generated losses (6 owed CMS)
15 ACOS generated savings (11 received payment)
5 generated losses (3 owed CMS)
Savings retained by CMS
Shared savings (paid to ACO from CMS)
Losses absorbed by CMS
Shared losses (paid to CMS from ACO)
Pioneer ACO Savings / Loss Results by Year
Total Pioneer ACO model savings
has increased from $92 million in 2012 to $96 million in 2013 to $120 million in 2014 (average savings per ACO increased from $2.7 million to $4.2 million to $6.0 million)
1 D
etermination of whether an ACO with savings or loss will receive a payment from CMS or owe CMS is dependent on exceeding minimum financial threshold, risk track (some ACOs elected one-sided risk track offered only in PY1), quality scoreSlide19
Comprehensive Primary Care (CPC) is showing early but positive results
7 regions (AR, OR, NJ, CO, OK, OH/KY, NY) encompassing 31
payers
, nearly 500 practices, and
approximately
2.5
million multi-payer patients
Duration of model test: Oct
2012 –
Dec 2016
CMS convenes Medicaid and commercial payers to support primary care practice transformation through enhanced, non-visit-based payments, data feedback, and learning systems
$14 or 2%* reduction
part A and B expenditure
in year 1 among all 7 CPC regions
Reductions appear to be driven by initiative-wide impacts on hospitalizations, ED visits, and unplanned 30-day readmissions
* Reductions relative to a matched comparison group and do not include the care management fees (~$20
pbpm
)Slide20
CPC shared savings results for 2014 (performance year 2) varied
Gross savings:
1.5%
Gross losses:
3.8%
Gross losses:
0.7%
Gross savings:
1.4%
Gross savings:
4.8%
Net savings:
2.4%
Gross savings:
1.3%
Gross savings:
0.2%
Gross lossesGross savingsNet savingsSlide21
Spotlight: Comprehensive Primary Care, SAMA Healthcare
SAMA Healthcare Services is an independent four-physician family practice located located in El Dorado, a town in rural southeast Arkansas
“A lot of the things we’re doing now are things we wanted to do in the past…
We needed the front-end investment
of start-up money to develop our teams and our processes”
-Practice Administrator
S
ervices made possible by CPC investment
Care management
Each
Care Team
consists of a doctor, a nurse practitioner, a care coordinator, and three nurses
T
eams drive
proactive preventive care
for approximately 19,000 patients
Teams use
Allscripts
’
Clinical Decision Support
feature to alert the team to missing screenings and lab work
Risk stratificationThe practice implemented the AAFP six-level risk stratification toolNurses mark records before the visit and physicians confirm stratification during the patient encounterSlide22
Partnership for Patients contributes to quality improvements
Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia
Early Elective Delivery
Central
Line-Associated Blood Stream Infections
Venous thromboembolic complications
Re-admissions
Leading Indicators, change from 2010 to 2013
62.4% ↓
70.4% ↓
12.3% ↓
14.2% ↓
7.3% ↓
Data shows from 2010 to 2014…
87,000
2.1 million
PATIENT HARM EVENTS AVOIDED
$20 billion
IN SAVINGSSlide23
Medicare all-cause, 30-day hospital readmission rate is declining
Legend: CL: control limit; UCL: upper control limit; LCL: lower control limit
Readmission RateSlide24
CMS Innovation Center and Early Results
Learning Systems to Support Success
Delivery System Reform and Our GoalsSlide25
Learning Systems at ScaleTraditional tests of new payment models include new payment rules and technical assistance to understand the rulesEvaluation is conducted to assess whether new payment or care delivery model “worked”At CMMI, we wish to increase the chance of success by creating learning systems to support model testsA learning system is a systematic improvement framework to understand change across a mix of health systems
JAMA 314(20):2131-2. 2015 Slide26
Learning Systems Working WellEngaged and activated participants from delivery systemCMS engaged and learning with the participantsTheory/framework for learningFrequent and timely data on process and outcomesLearning events that lead to changes in the delivery of careUser friendly strategies for sharing and discussing promising practicesRelentless focus on outcomes
“Aims build systems and systems get results”Slide27
1. Establish Clear AimsExpectations of the model testAll models have cost and quality aimsCPC Example: “Better health and better care for patients and families and lower total cost of care” Comprehensive Primary CareCost measured through CMS claims data
Care measured through EHR-based and claims-based performance measures and surveys of patient experienceSlide28
2. Develop an Explicit Theory of ChangeWe use the driver diagram (action-oriented logic model)Created at initial planning, but updated as we learn how the model worksSlide29
3. Create the Context Necessary for a Test of the ModelConsideration of new partnerships between and within public and private entitiesCooperation between payers and providersNew payment arrangements or regulatory waiversAccess to dataCPC example
Multipayer
participation—critical for practices to have large enough fraction of patients covered by enhanced payment
Decision to make shared savings payments at the regional level to get sample size that yields stable estimatesSlide30
4. Develop the Change StrategyFlows from the theory of how the model worksIdentify change concepts and tacticsExpect the change strategy to evolve over time
CPC Driver 1.2: Planned Care and Population HealthSlide31
5. Test the ChangesAlmost all improvement efforts in health care reveal important differences between the proposed test and what actually gets tested and adopted in practiceWe design our models with the intent to make incremental changes as we goIn CPCUnderstand what elements are harder and easier for practices
What support do they need to master new capabilities?
What new strategies are needed? (EHR affinity group)Slide32
6. Measure Progress Toward AimCMMI models assess outcomes, processes, unintended consequencesTry to use measures that are part of monitoring and evaluationIn CPCTracking milestones that related to comprehensive primary care functions (process)
Assess patient experience
(process and unintended consequences)
Assess quarterly claims data
(outcome)
Assess clinical quality measures (outcome)Slide33
7. Plan for SpreadUse of successful or promising changes between model test sites (role of current learning systems)Create learning communitiesPackage and make available what is working (change package)Dissemination of successful or promising changes beyond model test sites
Consider strategies to help model participants if the model can expand under current law
Design with the end in mind and use the model test to inform expansion strategySlide34
Summary of Large Scale Learning SystemsEstablish clear aimsDevelop an explicit theory of changeCreate the context necessary for a test of the modelDevelop the change strategy
Test the changes
Measure progress toward the aim
Plan for spread
Large-scale PDSA testing cyclesSlide35
Challenges for CMMI Learning SystemsEngaging model participants in the learning systemRight sizing the data collection to inform the learning system but not to burden the participantsCompetition among model participantsBalancing cost / benefit – how much is enough investment in the learning system
?
Role of CMS as a regulator
Complicated nature of participant relationshipsSlide36
CMS Invests in Large Scale System ChangeSlide37
Transforming Clinical Practice Initiative is designed to help clinicians achieve large-scale health transformationThe model will support over 140,000
clinician practices
over the next four years
to
improve on quality and enter alternative payment models
Phases of Transformation
Two network systems
Practice Transformation Networks
: peer-based learning networks designed to coach, mentor, and assist
Support and Alignment Networks
: provides a system for workforce development utilizing professional associations and public-private partnershipsSlide38
Transforming Clinical Practice Goals
1
2
3
4
5
6Slide39
Practice Transformation in Action
This technical assistance would enable large-scale transformation of more than
140,000 clinicians‘ and
their practices to deliver
better care and result in better health outcomes at lower costs
.
Transforming Clinical Practice would employ a
three-prong approach
to national technical assistance.Slide40
We are focused on:Implementation of Models
Monitoring & Optimization of Results
Evaluation and Scaling
Integrating Innovation across CMS
Portfolio analysis and launch new models to round out portfolio
Innovation
Center – 2016
Looking ForwardSlide41
Disclaimers
This presentation was prepared as a tool to assist providers and is not intended to grant rights or impose obligations. Although every reasonable effort has been made to assure the accuracy of the information within these pages, the ultimate responsibility for the correct submission of claims and response to any remittance advice lies with the provider of services.
This presentation is a general summary that explains certain aspects of the Medicare Program, but is not a legal document. The official Medicare Program provisions are contained in the relevant laws, regulations, and rulings. Medicare policy changes frequently, and links to the source documents have been provided within the document for your reference
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) employees, agents, and staff make no representation, warranty, or guarantee that this compilation of Medicare information is error-free and will bear no responsibility or liability for the results or consequences of the use of this guide.