PPT-Trends and Uncertainty

in the Defense Budget Todd Harrison Delays in Defense Appropriations Bills 2 Average Delay FY77FY13 43 days Average Delay FY10FY13 134 days Budgetary Uncertainty 3 Budgetary Uncertainty. sources:. sensory/processing noise. ignorance. change. consequences:. inference. learning. coding:. distributional/probabilistic population codes. neuromodulators. Multisensory Integration. +.  . apply the previous analysis:. Lecture One. Paul . Constantine. March 29, 2011. What is UQ???. Uncertainty Quantification – ME470. Paul Constantine. Combining computational models, physical observations, and possibly expert . judgment . Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. in Precipitation Data Records. Yudong Tian. Collaborators: Ling Tang, Bob Adler, George Huffman, . Xin Lin, Fang Yan, Viviana Maggioni and Matt Sapiano.  . University of Maryland & NASA/GSFC. http://sigma.umd.edu. for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. . Avoidance. in 10 minutes. Geert Hofstede. January. 2015. Origin. of the term “. uncertainty. . avoidance. ”. One. of the . key. . concepts. in a “. behavioral. . theory. of the . firm. by Angela Campbell, Ph.D. and Andrew Cheng, Ph.D.. ICRAT. Angela Campbell, Ph.D.. June 21, 2016. The findings and conclusions in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the FAA. Saleem Bahaj & . Angus Foulis. 21st November 2016. The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and not necessarily those of the . Bank of England or members of the MPC, FPC or PRA Board.. environmental research. Liew Xuan Qi (A0157765N). Cheong Hui Ping (A0127945W). Hong Chuan Yin (A0155305M). Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Accuracy vs. Precision. What is the difference?. Accuracy vs. Precision. Precision . accuracy. Exactness. Divisions on scale. Reproducibility. Uncertainty. Significant digits. Correctness. Calibration. Data contributed from Rose Wilson, Rosalie J Wilson Business Development Services and Mary . P. eabody, UVM Extension. Macro . T. rends & Key Words. Healthy & . Natural. Functional Foods. “No . Zhijiong. Dennis . Huang. a. , . Junyu. Allen . Zheng. a. , . Yongtao. Hu. b. a. Institute. for Environmental and Climate Research, Jinan University. b. School. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology. Section 1: Observation, Describing quantities, and Estimation. Section 2: Measurement uncertainty, Error propagation, and Analytical methods. Section 1 Objectives. . Core Principles. Physics and Observation.