Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Matthew Wiley Razvan Bunescu Cindy Marling Jay Shubrook and Frank Schwartz School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Appalachian Rural Health Institute Diabetes and Endocrine Center ID: 593668
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Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management
Matthew Wiley, Razvan Bunescu, Cindy Marling,Jay Shubrook and Frank SchwartzSchool of Electrical Engineering and Computer ScienceAppalachian Rural Health Institute Diabetes and Endocrine CenterAthens, Ohio, USA
Automatic Detection of Excessive
Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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DiabetesBody fails to effectively produce and/or use insulin
Treated and managed with blood glucose controlAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.2Slide3
DiabetesBody fails to effectively produce and/or use insulin
Treated and managed with blood glucose control346 million people world wideTwo major types:Type IType IIAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Poor Control Increases Risk of Complications
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.4
CONTROL
Foot Ulcers
Angina Heart Attack
Coronary Bypass
Surgery Stroke
Blindness
Amputation Dialysis
Kidney Transplant
Microalbuminuria
Mild Retinopathy
Mild Neuropathy
Albuminuria
Macular
Edema
Proliferative
Retinopathy
Periodontal
Disease
Impotence
Gastroparesis
Depression
RISK
Good
PoorSlide5
Administering Insulin
Type I patients must administer insulinInjectionInsulin PumpInsulin PumpAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Continuous Glucose Monitoring
Two approaches to monitoring:FingersticksContinuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) sensorsCGM Sensor
Fingerstick
Automatic Detection of Excessive
Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Data Overload
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.7
CGM sensors record values every 5 or 10 minutesSlide8
Excessive Glycemic Variability
Characterized by fluctuations in blood glucosePatients are not yet routinely screenedAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.8
Acceptable
Glycemic
Variability
Excessive
Glycemic VariabilitySlide9
BackgroundPreliminary work:
Two physicians individually classified 400 plotsNaïve Bayes classifier: 85% accuracyAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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BackgroundPreliminary work:
Two physicians individually classified 400 plotsNaïve Bayes classifier: 85% accuracyThree orthogonal directions:Smoothing of blood glucose dataFeature engineeringEvaluation of other classifiersAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Smoothing Blood Glucose DataSensors record at ±20% accuracy
Physicians implicitly smooth noiseAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.11Slide12
Smoothing Blood Glucose DataSeveral
smoothing methods were investigated:Moving averagesPolynomial regressionDiscrete Fourier transform filterCubic spline interpolationCubic spline identified as the best matchAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Cubic Spline Interpolation
Two reasons:Smooth curves Significant pointsDoctorSpline
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Feature EngineeringSeveral features were investigated in this work:
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.14
Mean Amplitude of
Glycemic Excursions (MAGE)Distance Traveled
Excursion Frequency
Standard DeviationArea Under the Curve
Roundness Ratio
Bending
Energy
EccentricityAmplitudes of DFT frequenciesTwo dimensional central momentsDirection CodesSlide15
Feature SelectionTwo methods are reported:
t-Test filterGreedy backward eliminationBoth raw and smooth dataAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.15Slide16
Feature SelectionTwo methods are reported:
t-Test filterGreedy backward eliminationBoth raw and smooth dataOut of the four feature sets selected:No feature appeared in all four setsEccentricity and bending energy were never selectedAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Experimental EvaluationThree classifiers compared:
Naïve Bayes (NB)Support Vector Machines (SVM)Multilayer Perceptron (MP)Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Experimental EvaluationThree classifiers compared:
Naïve Bayes (NB)Support Vector Machines (SVM)Multilayer Perceptron (MP)Evaluated with 10-fold cross validationTuned with development datasetFeatures from feature selectionBoth raw and smooth dataAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Visual Overview of Evaluation
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.19Slide20
ResultsNB with raw data: 87.1%
Same settings as preliminary work – the baselinet-test filter:SVM with smoothed data: 92.8%Greedy backward elimination:MP with smoothed data: 93.8%Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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ResultsNB with raw data: 87.1%
Same settings as preliminary work – the baselinet-test filter:SVM with smoothed data: 92.8%Greedy backward elimination:MP with smoothed data: 93.8%Overall:Additional features helpedSmoothed data helpedAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Comparison of ROC Curves for Best Classifiers
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.22Slide23
Future Work This experiment was constrained by the dataset size
Potentially suboptimal parameters and featuresCollecting more data is a high priorityAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.23Slide24
Future Work This experiment was constrained by the dataset size
Potentially suboptimal parameters and featuresCollecting more data is a high priorityPlans for a “5-star” ordinal schemeAlleviate disagreements between annotatorsOpportunity to further improve accuracy Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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From Bench to BedsideIntegration with current CGM management systems
Glucose sensors are in common use as a diagnostic toolSome patients use glucose sensors year roundManufacturers already provide reportingAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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From Bench to BedsideIntegration with current CGM management systems
Glucose sensors are in common use as a diagnostic toolSome patients use glucose sensors year roundManufacturers already provide reportingDevelopment of a screen for routine clinical useIdentify at risk patients in the clinical settingCompletion of the intended applicationAutomatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Acknowledgements
National Science FoundationMedtronicOhio UniversityOur Dedicated Research NursesMy Fellow Graduate Research AssistantsOver 50 Anonymous Patients with Type 1 Diabetes on Insulin Pump TherapyAutomatic Detection of Excessive
Glycemic
Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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Thanks!Questions?
Automatic Detection of Excessive Glycemic Variability for Diabetes Management Wiley et al.
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