PPT-Comparison of Unplanned Outages for the 2011, 2014, and 2018 Severe Winter Weather Events

Supply Analysis Working Group Fred Khodabakhsh Resource Adequacy Dept October 29 2021 Introduction Evaluated the 2011 2014 and 2018 severe winter weather events Outages declined for severe weather events after the 2011 event determine if the 2014 andor 2018 events are comparable to the 2011 event and each other in terms of severity lowest daily temps low temp duration wind speed. Mike Evans . NWS / WFO BGM. CSTAR V – Severe convection in scenarios with low-predictive skill. SUNY Albany researchers are examining SPC forecasts and associated severe weather occurrence to identify events with low-predictive skill.. What is the impact of ENSO Cycle?. Suzanne Fortin. Recent Annual Severe Weather Climatology. Distribution of of Severe Events During the Cold Season. Analysis of Severe Events and ENSO Cycle. Significance of ENSO Cycle to Severe Incidence. Thomas E. Workoff. 1,2. , Faye E. Barthold. 1,3. , Michael J. Bodner. 1. , David R. Novak. 1. , Brad Ferrier. 3,4. , and Wallace A. . Hogsett. 1*. . 1. NOAA/NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD. Mike Evans. NOAA/NWS Binghamton, NY. Barry Lambert. NOAA/NWS State College, Pa. Outline. Motivation. Methodology. Climatology of inverted V events. Major vs. minor events. Low CAPE major vs. High CAPE major events. Weather Forecast Office – Taunton, MA (BOX). EF2 Tornado . Revere, MA . Morning of 28 July 2014. NOAA’s National Weather Service . – Weather Forecast Office – Taunton, MA – www.weather.gov/box. Southern Brazil and . their similarity with events in the . United . States. Bruno Ribeiro, Lance . Bosart. National . Institute for Space Research - INPE, Brazil . SUNY . - University at Albany, NY. What is Severe Weather?. Three types of severe weather are possible in spring and summer in Kentucky:. thunderstorms. flooding. tornadoes. Weather is considered severe when weather conditions might cause injury or death.. Matthew Vaughan, Brian Tang, and Lance Bosart. Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences. University at Albany/SUNY. Albany, NY 12222. Northeast Regional Operational Workshop XVI. Nanoscale. Extreme Events in New Mexico. What extreme weather events have you experienced? . What can you tell us about them? . What do we mean “Extreme Events?”. Extreme Heat. El Niño events. Winter Weather. Does having a La Nina. Impact . Severe Weather Frequencies?. What We Will Look At. Tornadoes frequency since 1950. Trends of Tornadoes since 1950. Mean Number of Tornadoes by Phases of ENSO. Tornado Frequency as a function of ENSO phase. with the weather?. January 7, 2015. Introduction. Sharon Cooper. Press Spokesperson, Munich Re America. US/Global Natural Catastrophe Update. Carl Hedde. Head of Risk Accumulation, Munich Re America. 2018-19 Preview. Mark O’Malley. National . Weather Service. Phoenix, AZ. www.weather.gov/phoenix. Influences on SW Monsoon. Position and persistence of subtropical High pressure. Dictates steering of moisture and disturbances into Arizona. Are You and Your Family Ready?. Lt. Col. Jim Emory. Director Oklahoma Wing Safety. Thunderstorms and Tornados . Do you know what to do?. Oklahoma History. Hazards and risks –Do you Know what they are?. Pete Warnken. Resource Adequacy. Supply Analysis Working Group. August 25, 2023. Modeling Process Overview. 2. Analyzed unplanned outages as a function of cold and hot temperatures by weatherization zones..