PROFESSIONALSERVICE:MAJORSeveralRoyalStatisticalSocietyroles,including:Chair,RSSResearchSection,2001–2003,and2009Editor,JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietySeriesB,1998–2001HonSecretary,RSSResearchSection,1994–1996MemberoftheResearchSect - PDF document

DavidFirthPOCTOBER2020 ProfessorDavidFirth,FBADepartmentofStatisticsUniversityofWarwickCoventryCV47ALUnitedKingdom Phone:Email:Web:Twitter:+442476574855d.rth@warwick.ac.ukwarwick.ac.uk/drth@rthcity,@footymathNATIONALITYBritishRESEARCHINTERESTSStatisticaltheoryandmethods.Statisticalmodellingofdatafrommanyareasoflife,includingsocialresearch,animalbehaviour,bibliometrics,sports.Statisticalcomputation.EDUCATIONPhDinStatistics,UniversityofLondon,UK1987Thesistitle:Quasi-likelihoodEstimation:EfciencyandOtherAspectsMScandDICinStatistics,UniversityofLondon,UK1982AwardedwithDistinctionBAinMathematics,UniversityofCambridge,UK1980QueenElizabethGrammarSchool,Wakeeld,UK1969–1976ACADEMICPOSITIONSHELDProfessorofStatistics,UniversityofWarwick,UKAug2003–presentDepartmentofStatisticsTuringFellowintheAlanTuringInstitute,2016–2020DirectoroftheWarwickDataScienceInstitute,2015–2018HeadoftheDepartmentofStatistics,2011–2014Director,EPSRCAcademyforPhDTraininginStatistics,2006–2013ESRCProfessorialFellow,2003–2006PermanentpositionProfessorofSocialStatistics,UniversityofOxford,UKAug1993–Jul2003FellowofNufeldCollege,1993–2003Departmentalafliations:PoliticsandInternationalRelations,SociologyandStatisticsPermanentpositionSeniorLecturerinStatistics,UniversityofSouthampton,UKAug1989–Jul1993DepartmentofMathematicsAppointedasLecturer;promotedtoSeniorLecturerin1992–1993PermanentpositionAssistantProfessorinStatistics,UniversityofTexas,USASep1987–Jul1989DepartmentofMathematics,UniversityofTexasatAustinTenure-trackpositionLecturerinStatistics,ImperialCollegeLondon,UKSep1986–Aug1987DepartmentofMathematicsOne-yeartemporarypositionPhDStudentinStatistics,ImperialCollegeLondon,UKSep1983–Aug1986DepartmentofMathematicsSupervisor:DRCoxFundedbyUKScienceandEngineeringResearchCouncilJuniorConsultingFellow,LancasterUniversity,UKSep1982–Aug1983CentreforAppliedStatisticsEARLIEREMPLOYMENTAdministrativeTrainee,UKForeignandCommonwealthOfceOct1980–Aug1981MainframeComputerOperator,WakeeldShirtCompanyJul1976–Jul1977HONOURSANDAWARDSGuyMedalinSilver,RoyalStatisticalSociety2012ElectedasaFellowoftheBritishAcademy2008DavidFirth:Page1of13(Publications:Pages8–13) JohnMChambersStatisticalSoftwareAward,AmericanStatisticalAssociation2007Awardedforthegnmpackage,jointlywithHeatherTurnerGuyMedalinBronze,RoyalStatisticalSociety1998ElectedasaMemberoftheInternationalStatisticalInstitute1997PROFESSIONALSERVICE:MAJORSeveralRoyalStatisticalSocietyroles,including:Chair,RSSResearchSection,2001–2003,and2009Editor,JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietySeriesB,1998–2001HonSecretary,RSSResearchSection,1994–1996MemberoftheResearchSectionCommittee(1990–1993),ProgrammeCommittee(1994–1996,1998–2002),ConferenceCommittee(1991–1992),EditorialPolicyBoard(1998–2002),PresidentNominatingCommittee(2000),HonoursCommittee(2013–2015)AssociateEditor,JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietySeriesB,1993–1997HEFCEnational(UK)ResearchAssessmentExercise,`RAE2008':MemberofSub-panel22,StatisticsandOperationalResearchSelectedasthatpanel'srepresentativetothe2009HEFCEREFExpertAdvisoryGroupESRCResearchGrantsBoardmember,2003–2005NationalStatisticsMethodologyAdvisoryCommittee,inauguralmember,2001–2005;RSS-nominatedmember,2015–2019BBCNewsandCurrentAffairs,electionandreferendumconsultant,1997–2005PROFESSIONALSERVICE:OTHEREditorial.InadditiontotheRSSeditorialrolesalreadymentionedabove:Frequentrefereeformanyjournals,inStatisticsandothereldsAssociateEditorofBrazilianJournalofProbabilityandStatistics,2010–2013AssociateEditorofSociologicalMethodology,2005–2009AssociateEditorofPoliticalAnalysis,2004–2009AssociateEditorofBiostatistics,2004–2008AssociateEditorofBiometrika,1989–1993Conferences/workshops,organiserorco-organiser:AlanTuringInstitutescopingworkshop,`IntractableLikelihoodsandDataScience'(War-wick,November2015;withGORobertsandothers)AlanTuringInstitutescopingworkshop,`DataScienceforData-RichSports'(London,Novem-ber2015;withIKosmidisandothers)`CompositeLikelihoodMethods'(Banff,Canada,April2012;withHJoeandothers)`useR!2011'(Warwick,August2011;withHLTurner,TENicholsandothers)CRiSMworkshop`CompositeLikelihoodMethods'(Warwick,April2008)`MeasurementinSocialScience'(NufeldCollege,June1997)`StatisticalIssuesinSociology'(NufeldCollege,November1996)`Non-ignorablenon-response'(NufeldCollege,June1996)`Contingencytableanalysisandmodelselection'(NufeldCollege,June1995)`AnalysisofCategoricalData'(NufeldCollege,May1994)`Quasi-likelihoodandRelatedMethods'(ImperialCollege,May1987)EconomicandSocialResearchCouncilrolesinadditiontotheResearchGrantsboardal-readymentionedabove:DeputyDirector,Lancaster-WarwickNodeoftheESRCNationalCentreforResearchmeth-ods,2005–2008.ESRCOxfordSpringSchoolinQuantitativeMethodsofSocialResearch(ChairofSteeringCommittee,2002–2003;ExecutiveCommitteemember,2003–2009)ESRCThemeOverviewConsultant,2002ESRCStudentshipsExaminer,2001–2002ESRCValidationPanelforthenewNationalStatisticsSocialClassication,1997CoordinatoroftheStatistics,MethodsandComputingPathwayintheWarwickESRCDoc-toralTrainingCentreinSocialScience,2010–2014ExternalExamining:VariousPhDsincludingatUniversityofLondon,UniversityofLiverpool,EPFL,UCL,Uni-versityofKent,etc.UniversityofCambridge,PartIIIoftheCambridgeMathematicalTriposandtheMPhilinStatisticalScience,2006–2007DavidFirth:Page2of13(Publications:Pages8–13) OpenUniversity,undergraduatecoursesinStatistics,2010–2013.Otheradvisoryrolesinclude:AdvisoronseveralChairappointmentsatUCL,LSE,Lancaster,SouthamptonandothersElectorfortheProfessorshipofStatisticalScience,UniversityofCambridge(2016)ContributortotheBeanReviewofUKEconomicStatistics(2015)LondonSchoolofEconomicsandPoliticalScience,UKExternalAdvisor,internationalre-viewoftheLSEDepartmentofStatistics(2015)AtLSE,appointedastheExternalAssessorforallacademicpromotioncasesinStatistics(2011–2019)NewtonInternationalFellowshipspanel(BritishAcademyandRoyalSociety),2008–2012UniversityofAuckland,InternationalReviewoftheDepartmentofStatistics,2007EPSRCLondonTaughtCourseCentreforStatisticsPhDStudents,AdvisoryBoard,2007–2008UniversityofOxford,SocialDisadvantageResearchCentre,statisticalconsultantonmea-surementofmultipledeprivation,1999–2003UniversityofOxford,statisticaladvisortotheNorthCommission,1995–1996.Otherinternationalrecognition,committees,etc.:HarvardUniversity:DistinguishedVisitingFellow,InstituteforQuantitativeSocialScience,2009ReviewerforseveralNSFproposals(inadditiontothemanythatIseeforESRCandEPSRC)BernoulliSociety,EuropeanRegionalCommitteemember,1998–2002InstituteofMathematicalStatistics,PresidentNominatingCommitteemember,1997TEACHING[U–undergraduate;G–graduate]AttheuseR!annualinternationalconference(G):GeneralizedNonlinearModelsinR(withHTurner;Rennes,July2009)AttheESRCOxfordSpringSchool(allG):CrashCourseinR(withRAndersen,HTurner)CategoricalDataAnalysisIntroductiontoGeneralizedNonlinearModelsinSocialResearch(withHTurner)OverviewofStatisticalModelsandStatisticalThinkinginSocialResearchAttheEPSRCAcademyforPhDTraininginStatistics(G):StatisticalInference(2007–2012)AtWarwick:MathematicalStatistics(U2)LinearStatisticalModels(U2)ProfessionalPracticeofDataAnalysis(U3)StatisticalAnalysisofNetworks(G–OxWaSP)IAS/WDSIinter-disciplinaryVacationSchools(G)SupervisionofMasterstheses(U4,G)AtOxford(allG):StatisticalmethodsfortheSocialSciencesAdvancedSocialStatisticsMScsupervision/projectsHomeOfceResearchUnitcourse,AnalysisofCategoricalDataAtSouthampton:IntroductiontoProbabilityandStatistics(U1)ComputingforMathematicians(U1)StochasticProcesses(U2)StatisticalMethodsII(U3)DesignandAnalysisofExperiments(U3)UnivariateStatisticalTheoryandInference(G)Supervisionof3rd-yrandMScprojects(U&G)Actuarialtraining,Bacon&Woodrow(departmentalcontract)(G)AttheUniversityofTexas:IntroductiontoProbability(U3)IntroductiontoMathematicalStatistics(U4)StatisticsforPharmacyMajors(U2)DavidFirth:Page3of13(Publications:Pages8–13) AnalysisofFrequencyData(G)StochasticProcessesandtheirStatisticalAnalysis(G)MultivariateStatisticalAnalysis(G)SupervisionofMasterstheses(G)AtImperialCollegeLondon(allG):AnalysisofDiscreteDataVarianceComponentModelsGeneralizedLinearModelsACADEMICADMINISTRATIONAtWarwick:DepartmentofStatisticsManagementGroup(2018–2020)DepartmentofStatisticsCurriculumReviewGroup(2019–2020)Softwareforprocessingofacademicjobapplications(2019)Softwareforexam-boardanalysisof`moduleeffects'(2019)Director,WarwickDataScienceInstitute(2015–2018)AlanTuringInstitute,ScienceCommittee(2015–16)AlanTuringInstitute,InterimProgrammeCommittee(2015)ManagementTeamoftheLeverhulme`Bridges'DoctoralTrainingCentre(2014–2020)BScDataSciencedevelopmentgroup(2013–2015)HeadofDepartmentofStatistics(2011–2014)DeputyHeadofStatistics(2010–2011)ManagementteamoftheCentreforResearchinStatisticalMethodology(2006onwards)PathwayCoordinatorforStatistics,WarwickESRCDoctoralTrainingCentre(2010–2014)Co-DirectoroftheAcademyforPhDTraininginStatistics(APTS)(2006–2013)Developmentofnewweb-basedmaintenanceandpresentationofundergraduatehand-books(2011)WebEditor,DeptofStatistics(2008–2010)RAE2008co-ordinator,DeptofStatisticsUniversity-wideRAE2008SteeringGroupRe-design(withBFinkenst¨adt)oftheMScinStatisticscourse(2006)ManydepartmentalandUniversityappointingcommitteesAtOxford:DivisionofSocialSciences,ResearchSupportUnit,ActingDirectorDivisionofSocialSciences,CommitteeonComputingDeptofSociology,GraduateStudiesCommitteeDeptofPoliticsandInternationalRelations,GraduateStudiesCommitteeDeptofPoliticsandInternationalRelations,GeneralPurposesCommitteeNufeldCollege,InformationServicesFellowNufeldCollege,InvestmentCommitteeCo-ordinatorofUniversity-widestatisticstrainingofgraduatestudentsinsocial-sciencedisciplines(Sociology,SocialPolicy,Politics,Psychology,Education,Geography,etc.)ManyappointingcommitteesAtSouthampton:UniversityComputingServicesCommittee(Facultyrepresentative)BoardoftheFacultyofEngineering(Facultyrepresentative)MathematicsFacultyStandingCommitteeMathematicsFacultyComputingCommitteeOrganiser,Inter-FacultyStatisticsSeminarsAttheUniversityofTexas:Chair,BoardofGraduateStudiesinStatisticsSeminarorganiser,CenterforStatisticalSciencesGRANTSANDCONTRACTSAWARDED(PI–PrincipalInvestigator;CI–Co-Investigator)AlanTuringInstituteFacultyFellowship(PI,c.£80K),2016–2020,toworkonvariousprojectsincludingscalablestatisticalmodellingandprincipledrankingmethods.AlanTuringInstituteResearchScopingWorkshop(CI,£14K),2015,`DataScienceinData-RichSports'(withIKosmidisandothers).AlanTuringInstituteResearchScopingWorkshop(CI,£14K),2015,`IntractableLikeli-hoodsandDataScience'(withGORobertsandothers).DavidFirth:Page4of13(Publications:Pages8–13) LeverhulmeTrustDoctoralScholarshipsscheme(CI,£1.05M),2015–2020,`Bridges:Bring-ingTogethertheSocialandMathematicalSciencestoUnderstandSocialInformation'(withTHillsandSOBecker).EPSRCProgrammeGrant(CI,£2.5M),2013–2018,`IntractableLikelihood'(withGRobertsandothers).EPSRC(CI,£600K),2012–2016,`CentreforResearchinStatisticalMethodology,Phase2'(withGRobertsandMSteel)EPSRC(CIandCo-Director,£140K),2011–2016,`AcademyforPhDTraininginStatistics(APTS)—FollowonFunding'(withWSKendallandothersfrom9universities)BanffInternationalResearchStation(CI,c.40kCanadian),2012,`WorkshoponCompos-iteLikelihoodMethods'(withHJoe,NReid,PSong,CVarin).EPSRC(PI,£314K),2009–2012,`GeneralizedNonlinearModels:Theory,ComputationandExtensions'(withHLTurner).EPSRC(CIandCo-Director,£362K),2006–2011,`APTS:AcademyforPhDTraininginStatistics'(withW.S.Kendallandothersfrom9universities)ESRCNationalCentreforResearchMethods,Lancaster-WarwickNode(CI,withcolleaguesatLancaster,£900K),2005–2008,2008–2010,`DevelopingStatisticalModellingintheSo-cialSciences'.ESRCProfessorialFellowship(PI,£350K),2003–2006,`Models,MeasurementandInfer-enceinSocialResearch'.ESRCResearchMethodsprogramme(PI,£130K),2002–2007,`ESRCOxfordSpringSchoolinQuantitativeMethodsofSocialResearch'(jointwithSDFisher,AFHeathandCWlezien)ESRCAnalysisofLargeandComplexDatasetsprogramme(PI,£61K),1998–1999,`Modelselectionforverylargedatasets'(jointlywithDRCoxandJHGoldthorpe)ESRCHealthVariationsprogramme(CI,£95K),1997–1999,`Inequalitiesinwomen'shealth:workorwayoflife?'(jointlywithMBartleyandRMFitzpatrick)ESRCAnalysisofLargeandComplexDatasetsprogramme(PI,£150K),1994–1997,`Twomajorthemesinlarge-scaledataanalysis'(jointlywithDRCox,AFHeathandNGShep-hard;graded`Outstanding'byESRC,July1998).BritishTelecomplc(CI,£80K),`Carry-overeffectsinspeechtransmissionexperiments'(jointlywithSMLewis),1992–1995.EPSRCComplexStochasticSystemsInitiative(PI,£67K),1993-1995,`Jointmodellingofmeananddispersioninexperimentalandobservationaldata'(gradedAlpha4,`verysignif-icantcontributiontotheeld'byEPSRC,1995).RESEARCHDEGREESSUPERVISEDCurrentPhDstudents:IanHamilton,ZeeshanAli.Awarded:DavidSelby(PhDWarwick,2020)`Statisticalmodellingofcitationnetworks,researchin-uenceandjournalprestige'AnyiZou(MPhilWarwick,2018)`AnExtendedBradley-TerryModel:OpponentReferenceModel'FionaSammut(PhDWarwick,2017)`UsingGeneralizedLinearModelstoModelComposi-tionalResponseData'ApostolisGkatzionis(PhDWarwick,2015)`UsingQuasi-densitiestoSummarizeandPresentthePosteriorDistributionofParameterContrastsinStatisticalModels'HelenOgden(PhDWarwick,2013)`Inferenceforgeneralisedlinearmixedmodelswithsparsestructure'ThomasWolfgarten(MPhilWarwick,2012),`ModelBasedCommunityDetectionwithAp-plicationtoCitationAnalysis'MilandJoshi(PhDWarwick,2011)`ApplicationsofGeneralizedAdditiveModels'(jointlysupervisedwithJEHShaw)IoannisKosmidis(PhDWarwick,2007)`BiasReductioninExponentialFamilyNon-LinearModels'JamieSergeant(DPhilOxford,2007)`SomeModel-BasedApproachestoMeasurementinSocialScience'Ren´eedeMenezes(DPhilOxford,1999)'Moreusefulstandarderrorsforgroupandfactoreffectsingeneralizedlinearmodels'NicholasBanks(DPhilOxford,1999)'Culturalvaluesandtheadoptionofefcienttech-nologies'(jointlysupervisedwithBBoardman)RoryWolfe(PhDSouthampton,1996),`Modelsandestimationforrepeatedordinalre-sponses,withapplicationsintelecommunicationsexperiments'SheilaJacobs(DPhilOxford,1995),`Routesfromoriginstodestinations:alongitudi-DavidFirth:Page5of13(Publications:Pages8–13) nalstudyofwomen'ssocialmobility,occupationalandmarital,usingretrospectivedata'(jointlysupervisedwithJGershuny)KathleenBennett(PhDSouthampton,1994),`Anonparametricregressionapproachtopre-dictioninnitepopulations'Alsosubstantial,informalinvolvementwithmanyotherOxfordDPhilthesesbetween1993and2003,especiallyinSociology,PoliticsandPsychology.CONFERENCETALKS:INVITEDNote:ThelargenumberofinvitedresearchseminarsgivenatUKandinternationaluniver-sitieshavebeenomitted—theyarebynowtoonumeroustolist.Listedhereareonlytheconferencesandworkshopsatwhichatalkwasinvited.`FairStandingsinSoccerandOtherRound-RobinLeagues'.NewEnglandSymposiumonStatisticsinSport,HarvardUniversity,September2018.Plenary(openingtalkofconfer-ence)`Bradley-Terrymodelsforpair-comparisonnetworks:Structureandscalability'.IsaacNew-tonInstituteworkshop,Cambridge,July2018.Plenary`Rankingfromdyadicencounters:Bradley-Terrymodel,extensionsandapplication'.ISIWorldCongress,RiodeJaneiro,July2015.`BiasreductionintheestimationofRaschmodels'(withI.KosmidisandH.Turner).Psy-choCo2012,Innsbruck,Austria,February2012.Plenary`Quasi-variancesandextensions'.26thInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Valencia,Spain,July2011.Plenary`Pseudo-likelihoodsandrepresentationinvariance'.23rdNordicConferenceonMathematicalStatistics,Voss,Norway,June2010.Plenary`ExtendedBradley-Terrymodels'(withHTurner).2ndWorkshoponPsychometricComput-ing,Munich,February2010.Plenary`Gettingitrightonelectionnight'.ISAConferenceonAppliedStatistics,Dublin,May2009.Plenary`MultiplicativeinteractionmodelsinR'(withHTurner),3rdIASCWorldConferenceonComputationalStatisticsandDataAnalysis,Limassol,October2005.`TheBBC/ITNExitPoll'(withJ.Curtice),EPOPConference,UniversityofEssex,September2005.Plenary`Sometopicsinsocialstatistics',internationalconferenceCelebratingStatistics,Neuchˆatel,July2004.Plenary`Comparingmeasuresofsocialpositionaspredictors',ISAInternationalConferenceonSocialScienceMethodology,Cologne,October2000.`Assessinglackoftwiththeindexofdissimilarity',ISAInternationalConferenceonSocialScienceMethodology,Cologne,October2000.`Modelassessmentusingtheindexofdissimilarity'(withJKuha).ESRCALCDConference,London,April1999.Plenary`Ridgelogisticregressionandreferendumprediction'.MidlandandNorthernUniversitiesStatisticsConference,April1999.Plenary`Relativeimportanceofexplanatoryvariables'.StatisticalIssuesinSocialScience,RoyalSwedishAcademyofSciences,Stockholm,October1998.Plenaryhttps://warwick.ac.uk/drth/papers`Biasinphylogenyreconstructionandwhattodoaboutit'(withWBruno,AHalpern,NSocciandPLewis).EvolutionofHIV,SantaFe,April1998.`Class,religionandvoteinFranceandBritain'(withBCautresandAFHeath).Anglo-FrenchConferenceonElections,MaisonFranc¸aise,Oxford,June1997.Plenary`Quasi-likelihoodandpseudo-likelihoodforestimationofvariancefunctions'.IMSSpecialTopicsmeetingonEstimatingFunctions,Athens,Georgia,March1996.Plenary`Generalizedlinearmodelsandsmoothinginnite-populationproblems'.IMSSpecialTopicsMeetingonGeneralizedLinearModels,Gainesville,Florida,Sept1995.Plenary`Recentdevelopmentsinquasi-likelihoodmethods',49thBiennialSessionoftheInterna-tionalStatisticalInstitute,Florence,August1993.`Biasreduction,theJeffreyspriorandGLIM',7thInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalMod-elling,Munich,July1992.Plenary`Quasi-likelihoodandpseudo-likelihoodforinferenceaboutavariancefunction',EuropeanMeetingofStatisticians,Bath,September1992.`Maximumlikelihoodandbias',GregynogConferenceinStatistics,April1992.Plenary`Quasi-likelihoodandmultiplicativerandomeffects',BrazilianNationalSymposiumonProb-abilityandStatistics,S˜aoPaulo,July1990.`Quasi-likelihoodandnestederrors',208thMeetingoftheInstituteofMathematicalStatistics,DavidFirth:Page6of13(Publications:Pages8–13) LexingtonKentucky,March1989.`Theefciencyofquasi-likelihoodestimation',NATO/SERCInternationalWorkshoponAsymp-toticTheory,Edinburgh,1986.Plenary`Quasi-likelihoodestimationinmodelswithconstantcoefcientofvariation',4thEuropeanYoungStatisticians'Meeting,Varna,Bulgaria,1985.PlenaryCONFERENCETALKS:CONTRIBUTED`Modellingitemworthbasedonrankings'(withHTurnerandothers).EuropeanRUsersMeeting,Budapest,May2018.`Howtogetalongwithsum1:Generalizedlinearmodelsforcompositionaldata'(withFSammut).RoyalStatisticalSocietyInternationalConference,Manchester,September2016.`PageRankandtheBradley-Terrymodel'(withDSelby).RoyalStatisticalSocietyInterna-tionalConference,Manchester,September2016.`ConsistentBradley-Terrymodelforfairstandingsinfootballleaguesandotherround-robintournaments'(withHTurner).RoyalStatisticalSocietyInternationalConference,Manch-ester,September2016.`GeneralizedBradley-TerryModellingofFootballResults'(withHTurner).useR!2013,Albacete,Spain,July2013.`Modellingthedilutingeffectofsocialmobilityonhealthinequality'(withHTurner).RoyalStatisticalSocietyInternationalConference,Telford,September2012.`Modellingtheeffectofsocialmobilityonlimitinglong-termillness'(withHTurner).useR!2012,NashvilleTN,USA,June2012.`Extendedquasi-variances'.2ndInternationalWorkshopoftheERCIMWorkingGrouponComputingandStatistics,Limassol,Cyprus,October2009.`Dojournalrankingsreectresearchquality?'(withMCattelanandCVarin).RSSInterna-tionalConference,Edinburgh,September2009.`NonlinearDiscrete-timeHazardModelsfortheRateofFirstMarriage'(withABatchelorandHTurner).22ndInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Barcelona,July2007.`GNM:Apackageforgeneralizednonlinearmodels'(withH.L.Turner).UseR!2006Con-ference,Vienna,July2006`Generalizednon-linearmodelsandover-parameterizedrepresentation'(withHTurner).21stInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Galway,Ireland,July2006.`MultiplicativeinteractionmodelsinR'(withHTurner),ASA/IMSJointStatisticalMeetings,Minnesota,August2005.(WinneroftheASAawardforbestcontributedpaperatthatyear'smeeting.)`WorkingWithover-parameterizedmodels',EuropeanMeetingofStatisticians,Oslo,July2005.`StructuredBradley-Terrymodels,andatlizardsghting',`UseR!'conference,Vienna,June2004.`LLAMA:anobject-orientedsystemforlogmultiplicativemodelling'.COMPSTAT98,Bristol,August1998.`Unicationandbiasreductionofsomecommonly-usedestimatorsofevolutionarydis-tance'.EuropeanMeetingofStatisticians,Vilnius,Aug1998.`Shrinkageinlogisticregression',SocialScienceandStatistics,inmemoryofCliffordCClogg.PennStateUniversity,October1996.`OntheRoleofGeneralizedLinearModelsinSurveySampling',11thInternationalWork-shoponStatisticalModelling,Orvieto,July1996.`EfcacyofSchemesfortheUnemployed:Discrete-timeSurvivalAnalysis'(withCPayne),11thInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Orvieto,July1996.`OnD-OptimumDesignforGeneralized-LinearandOtherNonlinearModels'(withJHinde).9thInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Exeter,July1994.`GeneralizedlinearmodelsandJeffreyspriors:aniterativeweightedleast-squaresap-proach',COMPSTAT92,Neuchˆatel,Switzerland,August1992.`Biasreductionofmaximumlikelihoodestimates',223rdmeetingoftheInstituteofMathe-maticalStatistics,CorvallisOregon,USA,June1992.`MarginalhomogeneityandthesuperpositionofLatinsquares',207thMeetingoftheInsti-tuteofMathematicalStatistics,FortCollinsColorado,1988.`Multiplicativeerror:lognormalorgamma?',ThirdInternationalWorkshoponStatisticalModelling,Perugia,Italy,July1987.DavidFirth:Page7of13(Publications:Pages8–13) DavidFirth:Publications ONLINEBIBLIOGRAPHYGoogleScholar:https://scholar.google.co.uk/citations?user=rtOYz5YAAAAJPAPERSINPEER-REVIEWEDJOURNALSThethreepapershighlightedinthelistbelowasRSSReadPaperunderwentmoreexten-sivepeer-reviewthannormal,andeachofthosepaperswasselectedforopen,publisheddiscussionatanOrdinaryMeetingoftheRoyalStatisticalSociety.KosmidisIandFirthD(2020).Jeffreys-priorpenalty,nitenessandshrinkageinbinomial-responsegeneralizedlinearmodels.Biometrika(inpress).DOI:10.1093/biomet/asaa052TurnerHL,vanEttenJ,FirthDandKosmidisI(2020).ModellingrankingsinR:ThePlackettLucepackage.ComputationalStatistics35,1027–1057.DOI:10.1007/s00180-020-00959-3RSSReadPaper(3rdof3)VarinC,CattelanMandFirthD(2016).Statisticalmodellingofcitationexchangebetweenstatisticsjournals(withDiscussion).JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA179,1–63.DOI:10.1111/rssa.12124CattelanM,VarinCandFirthD(2013).DynamicBradley-Terrymodelsforsportstour-naments.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyC62,135–150.DOI:10.1111/j.1467-9876.2012.01046.xTurnerHandFirthD(2012).Bradley-TerrymodelsinR:TheBradleyTerry2package.JournalofStatisticalSoftware48(9),1–21.DOI:10.18637/jss.v048.i09FirthD(2011).Onimprovedestimationforimportancesampling.BrazilianJournalofProbabilityandStatistics25,437–443.DOI:10.1214/11-BJPS155KosmidisIandFirthD(2011).MultinomiallogitbiasreductionviathePoissonlog-linearmodel.Biometrika98,755–759.DOI:10.1093/biomet/asr026VarinC,ReidNandFirthD(2011).Anoverviewofcompositelikelihoodmethods.Statis-ticaSinica21,5–42.http://www3.stat.sinica.edu.tw/statistica/j21n1/21-1.htmlKuhaJandFirthD(2011).Ontheindexofdissimilarityforlackoftinlog-linearandlog-multiplicativemodels.ComputationalStatisticsandDataAnalysis55,375–388.DOI:10.1016/j.csda.2010.05.005KosmidisIandFirthD(2010).Agenericalgorithmforreducingbiasinparametricestima-tion.ElectronicJournalofStatistics4,1097–1112.DOI:10.1214/10-EJS579KosmidisIandFirthD(2009).Biasreductioninexponential-familynonlinearmodels.Biometrika96,793–804.DOI:10.1093/biomet/asp055RSSReadPaper(2ndof3)CurticeJandFirthD(2008).Exitpollinginacoldclimate:TheBBC/ITVexperienceinBritainin2005(withdisussion).JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA171,509–539.DOI:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00536.xSergeantJCandFirthD(2006).Relativeindexofinequality:Denition,estimationandinference.Biostatistics7,213–224.DOI:10.1093/biostatistics/kxj002WhitingMJ,Stuart-FoxDM,O'ConnorD,Firth,DBennettNCandBlombergSP(2006).Ultravioletsignalsultra-aggressioninalizard.AnimalBehaviour72,353–363.DOI:10.1016/j.anbehav.2005.10.018Stuart-FoxDM,FirthD,MoussalliAandWhitingMJ(2006).Multiplesignalsinchameleoncontests:designingandanalysinganimalcontestsasatournament.AnimalBehaviour71,1263–1271.DOI:10.1016/j.anbehav.2005.07.028FirthD(2005).Bradley-TerrymodelsinR.JournalofStatisticalSoftware12,1–12.DOI:10.18637/jss.v012.i01FirthDanddeMenezesRX(2004).Quasivariances.Biometrika91,65–80.DOI:10.1093/biomet/91.1.65DavidFirth:Page8of13(Publications:Pages8–13) FirthD(2003).CGIwithR:FacilitiesforprocessingwebformsusingR.JournalofStatisticalSoftware8(10),1–8.DOI:10.18637/jss.v008.i10FirthD(2003).Overcomingthe`referencecategory'probleminthepresentationofstatis-ticalmodels.SociologicalMethodology33,1–18.DOI:10.1111/j.0081-1750.2003.t01-1-00125.xWolfeRandFirthD(2002).Modellingsubjectiveuseofanordinalresponsescaleinamanyperiodcrossoverexperiment.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyC51,245–55.DOI:10.1111/1467-9876.00267SackerA,BartleyM,FirthDFitzpatrickRandMarmotM(2001).Therelationshipbetweenjobstrainandcoronaryheartdisease:EvidencefromanEnglishsampleoftheworkingmalepopulation.PsychologicalMedicine31,279–290.DOI:10.1017/s0033291701003270SackerA,BartleyM,FirthDandFitzpatrickR(2001).DimensionsofsocialinequalityinthehealthofwomeninEngland:occupational,materialandbehaviouralpathways.SocialScienceandMedicine52,763–781.DOI:10.1016/s0277-9536(00)00176-3FirthD(2000).Quasi-variancesinXlisp-StatandontheWeb.JournalofStatisticalSoftware5.4,1–13.DOI:10.18637/jss.v005.i04BartleyM,FitzpatrickR,FirthDandMarmotM(2000).Socialdistributionofcardiovascu-lardiseaseriskfactors:changeamongmeninEngland1984–1993.JournalofEpidemiologyandCommunityHealth54,806–814.DOI:10.1136/jech.54.11.806SackerA,FirthD,FitzpatrickR,LynchKandBartleyM(2000).Comparinghealthinequal-ityinmenandwomen:prospectivestudyofmortality,1986–1996.BritishMedicalJournal320,1303–1307.DOI:10.1136/bmj.320.7245.1303BartleyM,SackerA,FirthDandFitzpatrickR(1999).Understandingsocialvariationincardiovascularriskfactorsinmenandwomen:theadvantageoftheoreticallybasedmeasures.SocialScienceandMedicine49,831–845.DOI:10.1016/s0277-9536(99)00192-6IturriaSJ,CarrollRJandFirthD(1999).Polynomialregressionandestimatingfunc-tionsinthepresenceofmultiplicativemeasurementerror.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB61,547–561.DOI:10.1111/1467-9868.00192MarshallGandFirthD(1999).Socialmobilityandpersonalsatisfaction:Evidencefromtencountries.BritishJournalofSociology50,28–48.DOI:10.1080/000713199358806BartleyM,SackerA,FirthDandFitzpatrickR(1999).Socialposition,socialrolesandwomen'shealth:Changingrelationships1984-1993.SocialScienceandMedicine48,99–115.DOI:10.1016/s0277-9536(98)00293-7BrownPJ,FirthDandPayneCD(1999).ForecastingonBritishelectionnight1997.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA162,211–226.DOI:10.1111/1467-985x.00131FirthD,PayneCDandPayneJ(1999).Efcacyofprogrammesfortheunemployed:discretetimemodellingofdurationdatafromamatchedcomparisonstudy.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA162,111–120.DOI:10.1111/1467-985x.00124RidoutMS,Dem´etrioCGBandFirthD(1999).Estimatingintraclasscorrelationforbinarydata.Biometrics55,137–148.DOI:10.1111/j.0006-341x.1999.00137.xRSSReadPaper(1stof3)FirthDandBennettKE(1998).Robustmodelsinprobabilitysampling(withdiscus-sion).JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB603–21and41–56.DOI:10.1111/1467-9868.00105FirthDandHindeJP(1997).Parameterneutraloptimumdesignfornon-linearmodels.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB59,799–811.DOI:10.1111/1467-9868.00097FirthDandHindeJP(1997).OnBayesianD-optimumdesignandtheequivalencethe-oreminnon-linearmodels.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB59,793–797.DOI:10.1111/1467-9868.00096FirthD(1993).Biasreductionofmaximumlikelihoodestimates.Biometrika80,27–38.DOI:10.2307/2336755DavidFirth:Page9of13(Publications:Pages8–13) KesslerCJ,PorterTH,FirthD,SagerTWandHemphillMW(1992).Factoranaly-sisoftrendsinTexasacidicdeposition.AtmosphericEnvironment26,1137–1146.DOI:10.1016/0960-1686(92)90045-mFirthDandHarrisIR(1991).Quasi-likelihoodformultiplicativerandomeffects.Biometrika78,545–555.DOI:http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomet/78.3.545FirthD,GlosupJandHinkleyDV(1991).Modelcheckingwithnonparametriccurves.Biometrika78,245–252.DOI:10.1093/biomet/78.2.245FirthD(1989).MarginalhomogeneityandthesuperpositionofLatinsquares.Biometrika76,179–182.DOI:10.1093/biomet/76.1.179FirthD(1988).Multiplicativeerrors:lognormalorgamma?JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB50,266–268.DOI:10.1111/j.2517-6161.1988.tb01725.xFirthD(1987).Ontheefciencyofquasi-likelihoodestimation.Biometrika74,233–245.DOI:10.1093/biomet/74.2.233BOOKCHAPTERSFirthD(2005).Sometopicsinsocialstatistics.InCelebratingStatistics:InHonourofthe80thBirthdayofSirDavidCoxFRS,Eds.ACDavison,YDodgeandNWermuth,151–166.Oxford:OUP.http://ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780198566540.doBartleyM,SackerA,FirthDandFitzpatrickR(2000).Dimensionsofinequalityandthehealthofwomen.InUnderstandingHealthInequalities,ed.HGraham(2000),pp.58–74.Buckingham:OpenUniversityPress.FitzpatrickR,BartleyM,DodgeonB,FirthDandLynchK(1997).Socialvariationsinhealth:RelationshipofmortalitytotheInterimRevisedSocialClassication.InConstruct-ingClasses:TowardsaNewSocialClassicationfortheUK,eds.DRoseandKO'Reilly,pp.93–97.Swindon:ESRC/ONS.FirthD(1990).GeneralizedLinearModels.InStatisticalTheoryandModelling:InHonourofSirDavidCox,FRS,Eds.DVHinkley,NReid,EJSnell,pp.55–82.London:ChapmanandHall.ENCYCLOPEDIAENTRIESFirthD(1999).Deviance,analysisof.InEncyclopediaofStatisticalSciencesed.SKotz,UpdateVol3,162–165.FirthD(1998).Quasi-score.InEncyclopediaofStatisticalSciences,ed.SKotz,UpdateVol.2(1998),pp.565–7.NewYork:Wiley.OTHERPUBLISHEDARTICLESPapersinjournals,newslettersorconferenceproceedingsthathavealessthoroughreviewprocess:TurnerHandFirthD(2007).GNM:apackageforgeneralizednonlinearmodels.RNews7(2),8–12.http://www.r-project.org/doc/Rnews/Rnews 2007-2.pdfTurnerHandFirthD(2007).GeneralizedNonlinearModelsinR.StatisticalComputing&GraphicsNewsletter,18(1)11–16.http://stat-computing.org/newsletter/issues/scgn-18-1.pdfFirthDandSpirlingA.(2006).TapiRandThePublicWhip:ResourcesforWestminsterVoting.ThePoliticalMethodologist14(2),2–4.http://polmeth.wustl.edu/methodologist/tpm v14 n2.pdfCautresB,HeathAFandFirthD(1998).Class,religionandvoteinBritainandFrance.LaLettredelaMaisonFranc¸aise8.FirthD(1998).LLAMA:anobject-orientedsystemforlogmultiplicativemodels.InCOMP-STAT1998,ProceedingsinComputationalStatistics,eds.RPayneandPJGreen,pp.305–310.Heidelberg:Physica-Verlag.DOI:10.1007/978-3-662-01131-7 39FirthD(1993).Recentdevelopmentsinquasi-likelihoodmethods.Bull.Int.Stat.Inst.55,341–358.https://warwick.ac.uk/drth/papersFirthD(1992).GeneralizedlinearmodelsandJeffreyspriors:aniterativeweightedleast-squaresapproach.InComputationalStatisticsvol.1,Eds.YDodgeandJWhittaker,pp.553–7.Heidelberg:Physica-Verlag.DOI:10.1007/978-3-662-26811-7 76DavidFirth:Page10of13(Publications:Pages8–13) FirthD(1992).Biasreduction,theJeffreyspriorandGLIM.InAdvancesinGLIMandStatisticalModelling,Eds.LFahrmeir,BJFrancis,RGilchristandGTutz,pp.91–100.NewYork:Springer.DOI:10.1007/978-1-4612-2952-0 15Dem´etrioCGBandFirthD(1992).SimulationofcontinuousrandomvariablesusingGLIM(inPortuguese).RevistadeMatematicaeEstatstica10,69–83.FirthDandTreatBR(1988).SquarecontingencytablesandGLIM.GLIMNewsletter16,16–20.PUBLISHEDDISCUSSIONDiscussionofRSSReadPapersandotherpublishedworksbyotherauthors:Moores,MandFirth,D(2017).Discussionof`Sparsegraphsusingexchangeablerandommeasures'byCaronandFox.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB79,1354–1355.DOI:10.1111/rssb.12233FirthD(2017).Discussionof`Beyondobjectiveandsubjectiveinstatistics'byGelmanandHennig.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA180,1007–1008.DOI:10.1111/rssa.12276FirthD(2006).Inviteddiscussion(SeconderoftheVoteofThanks)of`Doublehierarchicalgeneralizedlinearmodels'byLeeandNelder.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyC55,168.DOI:10.1111/j.1467-9876.2006.00538.xFirthD(2004).Discussionof`Ecologicalinferencefor22tables'byWakeeld.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA167,431.DOI:10.1111/j.1467-985x.2004.02046.xFirthD(2002).Discussionof`Causalvariables,indicatorvariablesandmeasurementscales:anexamplefromqualityoflife'byFayersandHand.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyA165,257.DOI:10.1111/1467-985X.t01-1-02020SackerA,BartleyM,FirthDandFitzpatrickR(2000)Towardsexplaininghealthinequali-ties.BritishMedicalJournal321,962.DOI:10.1136/bmj.321.7266.962FirthD(2000).Discussionof`Invarianceandfactorialmodels'byMcCullagh.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB62,242.DOI:10.1111/1467-9868.00229FirthDandKuhaJ(1999).Commenton`AcritiqueoftheBayesianinformationcriterionformodelselection'byDLWeakliem.SociologicalMethodsandResearch27,398–402.DOI:10.1177/0049124199027003002FirthD(1996).Discussionof`Hierarchicalgeneralizedlinearmodels'byLeeandNelder.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB58,661.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2346105FirthD(1996).Discussionof`TheUsefulnessofOptimumExperimentalDesigns'byAtkin-son.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB58,100.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2346167FirthD(1992).Inviteddiscussion(ProposeroftheVoteofThanks)of`Practicaluseofhigherorderasymptoticsformultiparameterexponentialfamilies'byPierceandPeters.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB54,725–726.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2345853FirthD(1992).Inviteddiscussion(ProposeroftheVoteofThanks)of`Multivariatere-gressionanalysesforcategoricaldata'byLiang,ZegerandQaqish.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB54,24–26.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2345947FirthD(1990).Discussionof`Modelsforexceedancesoverhighthresholds'byDavisonandSmith.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB52,434.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2345667FirthD(1990).Discussionof`AsmoothedEMapproachtoindirectestimationproblems,withparticularreferencetostereologyandemissiontomography'bySilverman,Jones,WilsonandNychka.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB52,313–314.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2345438FirthD(1989).Inviteddiscussionof`Anextensionofquasi-likelihoodestimation'byGo-dambeandThompson.JournalofStatisticalPlanningandInference22,168–169.DOI:10.1016/0378-3758(89)90107-9FirthD(1987).Discussionof`Parameterorthogonalityandapproximateconditionalin-ference'byCoxandReid.JournaloftheRoyalStatisticalSocietyB49,22–23.http://www.jstor.org/stable/2345476DavidFirth:Page11of13(Publications:Pages8–13) PUBLISHEDSOFTWARESeveralopen-sourcepackagesfortheRstatisticalcomputingenvironment,publishedviatheComprehensiveRArchiveNetwork:–PlackettLuce,apackageforgeneralizedPlackett-Luce(ranking)models(withHTurnerandothers,2017).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/PlackettLuce–BradleyTerryScalable,apackageforscalablecomputationwithBradley-Terry(ranking)models(withEKaye,2017).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/BradleyTerryScalable–expm,apackageforcomputingmatrixexponentials(withVGouletandothers,2012).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/expm–vcdExtra,asetofextensionstothevcdpackage(contributor,withMFriendlyandothers,2012).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/vcdExtra–BradleyTerry2,extendedpair-comparisonmodels(2010,withHTurner).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/BradleyTerry2–gnm,comprehensivesoftwareforgeneralizednonlinearmodels(withHTurner,2005;winneroftheJohnMChambersStatisticalSoftwareAwardfor2007).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/gnm–BradleyTerry,forpair-comparisonmodels(2005;nowsupersededbyBradleyTerry2).http://cloud.r-project.org/src/contrib/Archive/BradleyTerry–CGIwithR,foronlineuseofR(2002).http://www.omegahat.org/CGIwithR–qvcalc,anRimplementationofquasi-variances(2002).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/qvcalc–brlr,forbias-reducedlogisticregression(2002;nowsupersededbythebrglmpackageofIKosmidis).http://cloud.r-project.org/src/contrib/Archive/brlr–relimp,assessmentoftherelativeimportanceofvariablesinstatisticalmodels(2001).http://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/relimpDepsyproleathttp://depsy.org/person/434033givesglobalimpactrankingoftheseRpackages(currentlyinthe100thpercentile).tapiR,asetoftoolsanddatasetsfortheanalysisofdivisionsoftheUKHouseofCommons(withA.Spirling,2003,2007).http://warwick.ac.uk/tapirPDFjam.AsetoftoolsforworkingwithPDFles(2002).https://github.com/DavidFirth/pdfjamQVCalculator.Anonlinecalculatorofquasi-variances(1998).http://warwick.ac.uk/qvcalcLLAMA:Log-linearandmultiplicativeanalysis(1997;nowsupersededbytheRpackagegnm).http://warwick.ac.uk/drth/software/llamaRESEARCHIMPACTCASE-STUDYThenational(UK)researchasssessmentin2014—theResearchExcellenceFramework(REF2014)—includedthefollowingImpactCaseStudy:FirthD(2013).Impactofnovelmethodologyforelectionexit-polldesignandanalysisatthe2010UKGeneralElection.http://results.ref.ac.uk/DownloadFile/ImpactCaseStudy/pdf?caseStudyId=2434WEBLOGARTICLESFirth,D(2019).Whyweshouldtrusttheexitpoll—butnottoomuch!Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2019/12/09/why-we-should-trust-the-exit-poll-but-not-too-muchFirth,D(2019).Robustmeasurementfroma2-waytable.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2019/04/26/robust-measurement-from-a-2-way-tableFirth,D(2019).OfceforStudentsreporton`gradeination'.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2019/01/02/ofce-for-students-report-on-grade-inationFirth,D(2018).SimplemathsofafairerUSSdeal.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2018/03/16/simple-maths-of-a-fairer-uss-dealFirth,D(2018).USSproposals:Tailwaggingthedog?Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2018/03/15/uss-proposals-tail-wagging-the-dogFirth,D(2018).LatestUSSproposal:Whowouldlosemost?Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2018/03/13/latest-uss-proposal-who-would-lose-mostDavidFirth:Page12of13(Publications:Pages8–13) Firth,D(2018).FutureUSS:RobinHoodcanhelp?Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2018/03/01/future-uss-robin-hood-can-helpFirth,D(2018).USSpensionschemeandfairness.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2018/02/26/uss-pension-scheme-and-fairnessFirth,D(2017).ExitpollforJune2017election(UK).Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2017/06/11/exit-poll-for-june-2017-election-ukFirth,D(2016).Aboutheadingsoccerballs,andmemoryloss.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2016/11/03/about-heading-soccer-balls-and-memory-lossFirthD(2011).Randcitations.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2011/06/25/r-and-citationsFirthD(2010).RAE2008:Howmuchweightdidresearchoutputsactuallyget?Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2010/02/07/rae-howFirthD(2009).RAE2008:Assessedqualityofresearchindifferentdisciplines.Blogentry,inLet'sLookattheFigures.https://statgeek.net/2009/11/25/rae-2008-assessedPUBLICOUTREACHFirth,D(2019).PintofSciencepubtalk,`MathsMeetsFooty:TherealPremierLeaguetable'.FirthD(2017).Publicinterestwebsite:Maths.Football.That'sall.https://alt-3.uk9June2017:LiveinterviewonthemaineveningTVnewsforBBCMidlandsToday,aboutthesuccessfulexitpollconductedon8June.June2017:BBCOnlinevideoathttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-england-coventry-warwickshire-40175188/general-election-2017-the-statistician-predicting-winners—usedinvariousregionalTVnewsfeaturesacrossEnglandon7–8June2017,andlinkedextensivelyinsocialmedia.2June2017:BBClocalradiobreakfast-timeinterviewsforBBCRadioWM,BBCRadioCoventryandWarwickshire,andBBCRadioShropshire,aboutpollingforelections.FirthD(2013).StatisticalTheorywithaLongReach.http://warwick.ac.uk/drth/biometrika1993FirthD(2010).ExitPollingExplained.http://warwick.ac.uk/exitpollingTHESESQuasi-likelihoodEstimation:EfciencyandOtherAspects,PhDThesis,ImperialCollegeLon-don,1987.http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/38313EstimationofVoterTransitionMatricesfromAggregateData,MScThesis,ImperialCollegeLondon,1982.https://warwick.ac.uk/drth/papersOTHERFearnheadP,FirthDandForsterJ(2015).ReportfromtheRSSWorkingGrouponResearchExcellenceFramework(REF)LeagueTables.London:RoyalStatisticalSociety.http://www.rss.org.uk/refDavidFirth:Page13of13(Publications:Pages8–13)