and Machine Learning H elp Create a Military Operational Advantage Offset Symposium April 1819 2018 George Galdorisi Strategic Assessments and Technical Futures Group SPAWAR Systems Center Pacific ID: 692314
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Stage SetterHow Will Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Help Create a Military Operational Advantage? Offset SymposiumApril 18-19, 2018
George Galdorisi
Strategic Assessments and Technical Futures Group
SPAWAR Systems Center PacificSlide2
Recent AI Advances2
Deep Blue
1997
IBM
AlphaGo
2016
Google
Deepmind
Libratus
2018Carnegie MellonSlide3
Recent Industry Trends3
Key Findings
Automation could raise productivity growth globally by 0.8 to 1.4 percent annually
Almost half of work activities globally have the potential to be automated using current technology
Serious AI adopters have demonstrated significantly higher profit margins
Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, “Artificial Intelligence: The Next Digital Frontier?” June 2017
McKinsey Global Institute, “A Future That Works,” January 2017Slide4
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China
Russia
North Korea
Global Counter-Terrorism
Iran
Future Security Environment:
Four Contingencies, One Condition
“Russia and China are our most stressing competitors … Because of this and because of their actions to date … DoD has elevated their importance in our defense planning and budgeting.”
Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter
February 02, 2016Slide5
Human-Machine Collaboration and Combat Teaming
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Advances in artificial intelligence and autonomy as the foundationSlide6
“New advances in computing, autonomy, and manufacturing are already
transforming the way we fight
… From self-driving cars to autonomous weapons, the field of [AI], in particular, is progressing rapidly.”
New Strategic Direction
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The security environment is also affected by
rapid technological advancements and the changing character of war
… New technologies include artificial intelligence [and] autonomy.”
Both documents call for increased investment and prioritization in the areas of autonomous technologies and artificial intelligenceSlide7
“How do we leverage AI, not to produce autonomous platforms that kill people, but to give commanders the edge in combat?” RADM Dietrich Kuhlmann OPNAV N80
Keynote Address
West Symposium
February 6, 20187Slide8Slide9Slide10
U.S. Navy CNO on the Changing Character of WarFrom:Traditional Focus To:Emerging Competition
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From Precision to Decision…
How Will Autonomy, AI, and Machine Learning Lead This Shift?
Source: CNO Remarks at the Current Strategy Forum, 2017Slide11
“If a force can harness AI to allow decision makers to make decisions faster than the adversary, it will win every time.” The Honorable James Geurts ASN RD&A
Keynote
Address
West Symposium February 8, 2018
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