PPT-8: Guessing the odds

All models are wrong Some models are useful George Box statistics pioneer Fargo ND 3282012 Weathercom PAN 81 Estimation of flood frequency from a longterm record Baer SERC. 0XVW57347EH57347573645737257347HDUV57347RI57347DJH57347RU57347ROGHU57361573479DOLG57347JRYHUQPHQW57360LVVXHG57347SKRWR57347LGHQWL57535FDWLRQ57347PD57347EH57347UHTXLUHG Q57347VHOI57360HFOXGHG57347SHUVRQ57347GHWHFWHG57347DW57347D57347JDPLQJ57347SURSHU Differences in preservice elementary school teachers perceptions between divisibility by two or evenness and divisibility by another number have been observed This led to an inquiry into participants understanding of the parity of the whole numbers Tengyu. Ma. Xiaoming. Sun. Huacheng. Yu. Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences Tsinghua University. Institute for Advanced Study, Tsinghua University . Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences. How . and Where to Play Craps in . Las Vegas. .. Joel Johnson Ph.D.. Why Play Craps?????. 1) It’s Fun!!!. 2) It’s Social.. 3) It’s Fair.. Craps Layout. Pass Line Bet. Assume you are given the dice to roll, now you are the Shooter.. Or. .... Playing. the Ponies!. Archeological records indicate horse racing took place in ancient Greece, Babylon, Syria, and Egypt.. As a part of myth and legend, Norse mythology tells of a horse race between Odin and . With an Emphasis on Contingency . Tables. Students in PSYC 2101. Skip to Slide . # 7. . Random Variable. A . random variable. is real valued function defined on a sample space. .. The . sample space. Lotteries. Types of Lotteries. Scratch-off Tickets. Ready-printed numbers. User-selected number games. Video based games. User-Selected Number Games. One-number. Multi-number. Multi-number with two sets of numbers. Probability vs. Odds Probability and odds are not the same thing. Odds Probability—used to express sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value—is the proportion of people in whom a p The . analysis. of . cross-tabulations. Cross-tabulations. Tables of countable entities or frequencies . Made to analyze the association, relationship, or connection between two variables . This association is difficult to describe statistically . Patrick Barlow . and Tiffany Smith. THREE MAJOR CATEGORIES OF STATISTICAL TESTS:. Descriptive Statistics. Parametric Statistics. Non-Parametric Statistics. Some Key Terms. Null Hypothesis. Alternative Hypothesis. G. ames & . non-Shannon Information . I. nequalities. First workshop on Entropy and Information Inequalities. 17 April 2013. Søren. Riis. Queen Mary University of London. Overview. Digraph* Guessing Games. Pint of Science. Le . Scandale. , 21 May 2014. My Life As A Proton. Me. My Origins. Family Tree. About My Parents. Childbirth. My Sister and I. Growing Up. I am 13.8 billion years – 0.0001s old. Adolescence. Transition metals not carbon family. End of Odds. Practice Exam Answers. EVENS. Titanium not germanium. End of Evens. Exit Ticket . “Before tomorrow’s exam, I need to study _____________________.”. 1. GrowingKnowing.com © 2011. Binomial probabilities. Your choice is between success and failure. You toss a coin and want it to come up tails. Tails is success, heads is failure. Although you have only 2 conditions: success or failure, it does not mean you are restricted to 2 events.