PPT-BRIDGE AND PROBABILITY

Aims Bridge 1 Introduction to Bridge Probability 2 Number of Bridge hands 3 Odds against a Yarborough 4 Prior probabilities SuitSplits and Finesse 5 Combining probabilities SuitSplits and Finesse. 8. th. . How Does a Bridge Stay Up?. Bridges don. ’. t always Stay . U. p. Forces act on a bridge. Engineers must design bridges that account for these forces.. Forces can come from many sources.. One Element of a Community Plan to End Homelessness among Veterans. Jeff . Quarles, MRC. , LICDC . National Director, GPD. Robert Hallett. National Director, HCHV. DATE/MONTH . 2012. Jesse K. Vazzano, LICSW. Bridge Picture. Bridge History/Purpose. Bridge Design. Bridge . Video. Bridge Dimensions. What is Special About the Bridge?. Probability Terminology. Classical Interpretation. : Notion of probability based on equal likelihood of individual possibilities (coin toss has 1/2 chance of Heads, card draw has 4/52 chance of an Ace). Origins in games of chance.. 3.1 . The Concept of Probability. 3.2 . Sample Spaces and Events. 3.3 . Some Elementary Probability Rules. 3.4 . Conditional Probability and Independence. 3.5 . Bayes’ Theorem. 3-. 2. Probability Concepts. 4. Introduction. (slide 1 of 3). A key . aspect of solving real business problems is dealing appropriately with uncertainty.. This involves recognizing explicitly that uncertainty exists and using quantitative methods to model uncertainty.. What we learned last class…. We are not good at recognizing/dealing with randomness. Our “random” coin flip results weren’t streaky enough.. If B/G results behave like independent coin flips, we know how many families to EXPECT with 0,1,2,3,4 girls.. Probability is used all of the time in real life. Gambling . Sports. Weather. Insurance. Medical Decisions. Standardized Tests. And others. Definition of Probability. “The . likelihood of something . Mike Brokaw P.E., Office of Structural Engineering. CCAO CEAO Winter . Conference. December 5, 2016. Learning Objectives. Will there be a future Structure Management System (SMS)?. How does the Federal Government Measure Us? . Slide . 2. Probability - Terminology. Events are the . number. of possible outcome of a phenomenon such as the roll of a die or a fillip of a coin.. “trials” are a coin flip or die roll. Slide . Can you find the scale they used on the original bridge?. What has changed?. Background Information.... Read the article and watch the commercial.. Bridge Information. Commercial WHSV. After reading the article and watching the commercial you need to summarize what information you learned about Sears Hill Bridge. This should be done on the back of your information sheet about jobs and blueprints.. A value between zero and one that describe the relative possibility(change or likelihood) an event occurs.. The MEF announces that in 2012 the change Cambodia economic growth rate is equal to 7% is 80%.. Probability and Probability Distribution Dr Manoj Kumar Bhambu GCCBA-42, Chandigarh M- +91-988-823-7733 mkbhambu@hotmail.com Probability and Probability Distribution: Definitions- Probability Rules –Application of Probability 4. Compute the number of combinations of . n. individuals taken . k. at a time.. Use . combinations to calculate probabilities.. Use . the multiplication counting principle and combinations to calculate probabilities..