Global Economic Prospects January 2026

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Global Economic Prospects January 2026
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Description: Global Economic Prospects January 2026 www.worldbank.orggep Global Economic Prospects January 2026 2 Global Economic Prospects January 2026 3 Underlying data and charts can be found at www.worldbank.orggep Global Growth Forecasts

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slide1. Global Economic Prospects January 2026 www.worldbank.org/gep<br>
slide2. Global Economic Prospects – January 2026 2<br>
slide3. Global Economic Prospects – January 2026 3 Underlying data and charts can be found at
www.worldbank.org/gep<br>
slide4. Global Growth Forecasts Gradual Slowdown 4<br>
slide5. Uneven Recovery Following the Pandemic Global Recession Strongest Globally; Weak in Vulnerable EMDEs; Stalled Income Convergence 5<br>
slide6. The Jobs Challenge Significant Need for Jobs in EMDE Regions 6<br>
slide7. Risks to the Global Outlook Multiple Downside Risks but Some Upside Risks Too 7<br>
slide8. Key Risks and Headwinds Lower Growth with Financial Stress; Higher Debt Burdens; Slower Trade Growth 8<br>
slide9. Fiscal Rules, Primary Balances, and Fiscal Adjustment Episodes Higher Probability of Fiscal Adjustment with Rules, Conditional on Starting Points 9<br>
slide10. Fiscal Rule Design and Fiscal Adjustment Rule Design Matters; Slower Return to Rules in EMDEs after 2020 Suspensions 10<br>
slide11. Fiscal Frameworks and Governance Implementing Complementary Fiscal Frameworks; Fostering Fiscal Transparency 11<br>
slide12. Promise of Frontier Market Economies Favorable Demographics; More Financial Openness; Rising Share of Capital Flows 12<br>
slide13. Performance of Frontier Market Economies Declining Output Growth; Slowing Poverty Reduction; Some Success Stories 13<br>
slide14. Policy Imperatives for Frontier Market Economies Managing Debt and Capital Inflow Volatility; Improving Institutions 14<br>
slide15. Studies by the World Bank Prospects Group 15<br>