PALESTINIAN-ISRAELI PULSE A Joint Poll September

Transcript:PALESTINIAN-ISRAELI PULSE A Joint Poll September:
PALESTINIAN-ISRAELI PULSE A Joint Poll September 2024 Dr. Khalil Shikaki Dr. Dahlia Scheindlin Dr. Nimrod Rosler Dr. Alon Yakter Funded by the Netherlands Representative Office in Ramallah and the Representative Office of Japan to Palestine through UNDP/PAPP Methodology Palestinian sample: N=1270 adults interviewed face-to-face, 830 in the West Bank and East Jerusalem and 440 in the Gaza Strip 127 randomly selected locations Dates of interviews: 17-20 July, 2024 Margin of error: +/-3.5%. Israeli sample: N=900 adult Israelis interviewed by internet Languages of interviews: Hebrew, Arabic Dates of interviews: Jewish sample: (18 to 21 July, 2024) Arab sample (18-29 July) Data collection by Project Midgam (Jews) and iPanel (Arabs) Jews inside Green Line (n=500), West Bank settlers (n=200), Israeli Arabs (n=200); data weighted to reflect actual proportions in society. Data has been weighted by region and religious observance for Jews. Margin of error: +/-3.34%, The analysis has been prepared by Dr. Khalil Shikaki, director of PSR, Dr. Dahlia Scheindlin, and Dr. Nimrod Rosler & Dr. Alon Yakter of Tel Aviv University, Current Issues: October 7, Israel-Gaza war, Middle East war & peace Palestinians: “Do you think Palestinian suffering under the siege and blockade of the Gaza Strip, justifies what Hamas did on Oct 7?” Israelis: “Do you think what Hamas did on Oct 7 justifies what Israel did in the Gaza Strip since that time?” (% “Definitely + probably justified” - totals change by ~1% due to rounding) Justification for Oct. 7 and war Asked about Hamas/Oct 7 – 50% “no” 84% 13% “no” 17% “no” “To what extent is the number of casualties (on the other side) justified or not justified?” (% Completely + relatively justified) Casualties of the other side: Justified? Re: Palestinian casualties 76% Re: Israeli casualties 55% 46% Decline from 87% (January TAU Peace Index “Given the current state of the war and the current situation in the West Bank, how do you rate the chances of a severe escalation in the West Bank in the near future?” (% High, low – collapsed “Very + somewhat”) High expectation of severe West Bank escalation: 67% -70% on both sides Remainder: Don’t know/No response “Do you expect the Gaza War to eventually expand into a regional war with the direct participation of Iran?” (% Yes, no – collapsed “definitely + probably”) Majority expect war to expand to Middle East & Iran, but less certain Do you agree or disagree?