Using Advanced Analytics to Boost Student Success

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Using Advanced Analytics to Boost Student Success

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Using Advanced Analytics to Boost Student Success Dr. Braden J. Hosch, Asst. Vice President for Institutional Research, Planning Effectiveness, Nov. 11, 2018 Overview Institutional profile and grad rate improvements Initiatives

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Using Advanced Analytics to Boost Student Success
Dr. Braden J. Hosch, Asst. Vice President for Institutional Research, Planning & Effectiveness, Nov. 11, 2018

Overview Institutional profile and grad rate improvements
Initiatives
“Traditional” IR / Analytics
Predictive Analytics
Takeaways

Stony Brook University Institutional Profile 3

Freshman graduation rates increased fifteen percentage points in the last five years; equity gaps are largely closed

Improvements realized through multi-pronged approach 5

Traditional IR - grad rates by DFW rates 6 Number of 1st Term Course Grades of D, F, W or U Source: IRPE Grad Rate data set v31; cohort entering 2014

Address Courses with Higher DFW Rates 7 Top 18 Fall 2010 courses
23.5%-37.9% Top 18 Fall 2017 courses
18.1%-25.9%

Exploratory IR – number of course grades of A Number of 1st Term Course Grades of A or A- Source: IRPE Grad Rate data set v31; cohort entering 2014

Method for local analytics: student-level predictions Credit to: Nora Galambos, Ph.D., Senior Data Scientist 9

Data included in model 10

LMS Data Processing Count only one login per course per hour
A course can have up to 24 logins per day
Eliminates multiple logins just few minutes apart.
Logins totaled by week
Per-course login rates calculated for STEM and non-STEM courses
Class assignment grades not yet included
Timing and data processing issues
Completeness issues
Significant noise and false positives 11

Decision Tree Model for Freshmen GPA: Part 1—HS GPA <= 92.0

Decision Tree Model for F14 Freshmen GPA: Part 2—HS GPA > 92.0 Decision Tree Model for F14 Freshmen GPA: Part 2—HS GPA > 92.0

Analytics dashboard

Population monitoring and drill to detail Search for a student’s name or choose an ID

Final thoughts

Using Advanced Analytics to Boost Student Success

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