PPT-Unit 9: Probability Day 1

counting principle and permutations 3Digit Codes Bell researchers developed a system of 3digit codes that would automatically route calls to long distance We now call this an area code. hobby listen to and when you trying to quit may smell like sticks to ke ep meditation tapes smoke log cigar ette smoke your mouth busy keep b usy during information into decide on a plan the times you smoking diary to handle c ravings normally sm B. y. Daniel Christie. Probability. In a class of four brunettes, two blondes, and two people with black hair, what is the probability that any given person would be blonde?. 1/4. Venn Diagrams. Tree Diagrams. Mat 271E. Yard. Doç. Dr. Tarkan Erdik. Probability Distributions. Uniform and Normal Distributions- Week 7. 1. Probability Distributions. 2. It has been observed that . certain functions . F(x). and . Experimental probability. : . Probability based on a collection of data.. Will have a table of results or data from the experiment(s)!. What is the difference between . theoretical probability. and . Coins game. Toss 3 coins. You win if . at least two . come out heads. S. = { . HHH. , . HHT. , . HTH. , . HTT. , . T. HH. , . T. HT. , . T. TH. , . T. TT. }. equally likely outcomes. W. = { . HHH. calculus. 1 ≥ . Pr. (h) ≥ 0. If e deductively implies h, then Pr(h|e) = 1. .. (disjunction rule) If h and g are mutually exclusive, then . Pr. (h or g) = . Pr. (h) . Pr. (g). (disjunction rule) If h and g are . Probability Terminology. Classical Interpretation. : Notion of probability based on equal likelihood of individual possibilities (coin toss has 1/2 chance of Heads, card draw has 4/52 chance of an Ace). Origins in games of chance.. 3.1 . The Concept of Probability. 3.2 . Sample Spaces and Events. 3.3 . Some Elementary Probability Rules. 3.4 . Conditional Probability and Independence. 3.5 . Bayes’ Theorem. 3-. 2. Probability Concepts. 4. Introduction. (slide 1 of 3). A key . aspect of solving real business problems is dealing appropriately with uncertainty.. This involves recognizing explicitly that uncertainty exists and using quantitative methods to model uncertainty.. Probability is used all of the time in real life. Gambling . Sports. Weather. Insurance. Medical Decisions. Standardized Tests. And others. Definition of Probability. “The . likelihood of something . Probability and Probability Distribution Dr Manoj Kumar Bhambu GCCBA-42, Chandigarh M- +91-988-823-7733 mkbhambu@hotmail.com Probability and Probability Distribution: Definitions- Probability Rules –Application of Probability 2. . Getting a good education will do much to _________ the problem of finding a job that pays well.. 3. .  The mournful tolling of the church bells sounded through the hillside.. 4. Compose a COMPOUND-COMPLEX sentence using the word DISCERN. 4. Compute the number of combinations of . n. individuals taken . k. at a time.. Use . combinations to calculate probabilities.. Use . the multiplication counting principle and combinations to calculate probabilities.. 4. Interpret probability as a long-run relative frequency. . Dispel . common myths about randomness.. Use . simulation to model chance behavior.. Randomness, Probability, and Simulation. Randomness, Probability, and Simulation.