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Chapter 18 Data Analysis Overview Statistics for Managers using Microsoft Excel 6 th Global Edition 18 2 Learning Objectives In this chapter you learn The steps involved in choosing what statistical methods to use to conduct a data analysis ID: 264770

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Slide1

18-1

Chapter 18Data Analysis Overview

Statistics for Managers using Microsoft Excel

6

th

Global EditionSlide2

18-2

Learning Objectives

In this chapter, you learn:

The steps involved in choosing what statistical methods to use to conduct a data analysisSlide3

18-3

Good Data Analysis Requires Choosing The Proper Technique(s)Choosing the proper technique(s) to use requires the consideration of:

The purpose of the analysis

The type of variable being analyzed

Numerical

Categorical

The assumptions about the variable you are willing to makeSlide4

18-4

Questions To Ask When Analyzing Numerical Variables

Do you seek to:

Describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)

Draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in a population

Determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group

Determine which factors affect the value of the variable

Predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables

Determine whether the values of the variable are stable over timeSlide5

18-5

How to Describe the Characteristics of a Numerical Variable

Develop tables and charts and compute descriptive statistics to describe the variable’s characteristics:

Tables and charts

Stem-and-leaf display, percentage distribution, histogram, polygon, boxplot, normal probability plot

Statistics

Mean, median, mode, quartiles, range, interquartile range, standard deviation, variance, and coefficient of variationSlide6

18-6

How to draw conclusions about the population mean or standard deviation

Confidence interval for the mean based on the t-distribution

Hypothesis test for the mean (t-test)Slide7

18-7

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Two independent groups studying central tendency

Normally distributed numerical variables

Pooled t-test if you can assume variances are equal

Separate-variance t-test if you cannot assume variances are equal

Both tests assume the variables are normally distributed and you can examine this assumption by developing boxplots and normal probability plots

To decide if the variances are equal you can conduct an F-test for the ratio of two variances

Numerical variables not normally distributed

Wilcoxon rank sum testSlide8

18-8

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Two groups of matched items or repeated measures studying central tendency

Paired differences normally distributed

Paired t-test

Two independent groups studying variability

Numerical variables normally distributed

F-test

continuedSlide9

18-9

How to determine whether the mean or standard deviation differs by group

Three or more independent groups and studying central tendency

Numerical variables normally distributed

One Way Analysis of Variance

Numerical variables not normally distributed

Kruskal-Wallis Rank Test

continuedSlide10

18-10

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable

Two factors to be examined

Two-factor factorial designSlide11

18-11

How to predict the value of a variable based on the value of other variables

One independent variable

Simple linear regression model

Two or more independent variables

Multiple regression model

Data taken over a period of time and you want to forecast future time periods

Moving averages

Exponential smoothing

Least-squares forecasting

Autoregressive modelingSlide12

18-12

How to determine whether the values of a variable are stable over time

Studying a process and have collected data over time

Develop R and chartsSlide13

18-13

Questions To Ask When Analyzing Categorical Variables

Do you seek to:

Describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)

Draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population

Determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group

Predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables

Determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over timeSlide14

18-14

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category

Summary tables

Charts

Bar chart

Pie chart

Pareto chart

Side-by-side bar chartsSlide15

18-15

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest

Confidence interval for proportion of items of interest

Hypothesis test for the proportion of items of interest (Z-test)Slide16

18-16

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group

Categorical variable has two categories

Two independent groups

Two proportion Z-test

for the difference between two proportions

Two groups of matched or repeated measurements

McNemar test

More than two independent groups

for the difference among several proportions

More than two categories and more than two groups

of independence

2

-

test

2

-

test

2

-

testSlide17

18-17

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

Studying a process and data is taken over time

Collected items of interest over time

p-chartSlide18

18-18

Data Analysis TreeNumerical & Categorical Variables

Numerical

Variables

Categorical

Variables

Possible Questions

How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group?

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group?

How to predict the proportion of items of interest based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time?Slide19

18-19

Data Analysis TreeNumerical Variables

How to describe the characteristics of the variable (possibly broken into several groups)?

How to draw conclusions about the mean and standard deviation of the variable in the population?

How to determine whether the mean and standard deviation of the variable differs depending on the group?

continued

Create Tables & Charts

Calculate Statistics

Mean

Mean

Variance

Stem-and-leaf display, percentage distribution,

histogram, polygon, boxplot, normal probability plot

Mean, median, mode, quartiles, range,

interquartile range, standard deviation, variance,

coefficient of variation

Confidence interval for mean (t or z)

Hypothesis test for mean (t or z)

Pooled t test

(both variables must be normal, variances equal)

Separate variance t test

(

both variables must be normal)

Wilcoxon rank sum test

(

variables do not have to be normal)

F-test

(

both variables must be normal)

Paired t test

(differences must be normal)

One Way Anova

(variable must be normal)

Kruskal-Wallis Rank Test

(variable doesn’t need to be normal)

2 independent

groups

2 matched

groups

>2 independent

groupsSlide20

18-20

Data Analysis TreeNumerical Variables

continued

How to determine which factors affect the value of the variable?

How to predict the value of the variable based on the value of other variables?

How to determine whether the values of the variable are stable over time?

Two factors

to be examined

One independent

variable

Two or more

Independent variables

Data taken over time to

forecast the future

Studied a process and

taken data over time

Two factor factorial design

Simple linear regression

Multiple regression model

Moving averages

Exponential smoothing

Least squares forecasting

Autoregressive modeling

Develop and R chartsSlide21

18-21

Data Analysis TreeCategorical Variables

continued

How to describe the proportion of items of interest in each category (possibly broken into several groups)

How to draw conclusions about the proportion of items of interest in a population

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest differs depending on the group

Summary tables

Bar charts

Pie charts

Pareto charts

Side-by-side charts

Confidence interval for the proportion of items of interest

Hypothesis test for the proportion of items of interest

Two proportion Z test

test for the difference between two proportions

McNemar test

test for the difference among several proportions

test of independence

Two categories & two independent groups

Two categories & two matched groups

Two categories & more than two independent groups

More than two categories & more than two groupsSlide22

18-22

How to determine whether the proportion of items of interest is stable over time

Data Analysis Tree

Categorical Variables

continued

p-chart

Studying a process and collected items of interest over time Slide23

18-23

Chapter SummaryDiscussed how to choose the appropriate technique(s) for data analysis for both numerical and categorical variables

Discussed potential questions and the associated appropriate techniques for numerical variables

Discussed potential questions and the associated appropriate techniques for categorical variablesSlide24

18-24

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher.

Printed in the United States of America.

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