PDF-IRREVERSIBILITY, UNCERTAINTY, AND INVESTMENTbyRobert S. PindyckMassach

IRREVERSIBILITY UNCERTAINTY AND INVESTMENTbyRobert S PindyckMassachusetts Institute of TechnologyCambridge MA 02139March 1990My thanks to Prabhat Mehta for his research assistance and to Vittori. Jake Blanchard. Spring 2010. Uncertainty Analysis for Engineers. 1. Introduction. We’ve discussed single-variable probability distributions. This lets us represent uncertain inputs. But what of variables that depend on these inputs? How do we represent their uncertainty?. IB DP Physics. Error Bars. U. sed . on graphs to display the uncertainty in measurements of the data . points.. T. here . may be uncertainty in just the y-values, just the x-values, or . both. .. Must be included in all DP Physics data analysis including your Internal Assessment. Panel Discussion. Lynn H. Pottenger, PhD, DABT. The Dow Chemical Company. Uncertainty Workshop Focus:. Focus on identification of sources & communication of uncertainty in a risk assessment. Not how to measure. Joseph B. Kadane. Carnegie Mellon University. kadane@stat.cmu.edu. “Prediction is difficult, especially about the future”. Niels. Bohr. Robert Storm Peterson. Yogi Berra. Samuel Goldwyn. Mark Twain. John L. Campbell. 1. , Ruth D. Yanai. 2. , Mark B. . Green. 1,3. , Carrie . Rose . Levine. 2. , Mary Beth Adams. 1. , Douglas A. Burns. 4. ,. . Donald C. Buso. 5. , . Mark E. Harmon. 6. , Trevor Keenan. for S2D forecasting. EUPORIAS wp31. Nov 2012, Ronald Hutjes. Background. S2D impact prediction. Uncertainty explosion / Skill implosion ??. SST. Weather. (Downscaling). Soil moisture. Plant productivity. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Sensitivity. Inclined Manometer. http://. www.dwyer-inst.com. U-tube Manometer. Pitot. Static Probe. Measures fluid velocity . v. Based on Bernoulli’s law. in Measurement. (IB text - Ch 11; AP text - section 1.4 pgs. 10-13 and A10-A13). All measurements have some degree of . uncertainty. . Therefore, we need to give some indication of the reliability of measurements and the uncertainties in the results calculated from these measurements. . environmental research. Liew Xuan Qi (A0157765N). Cheong Hui Ping (A0127945W). Hong Chuan Yin (A0155305M). Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision Making. OUTLINE. Accelerator Pre-alignment background. Uncertainty and GUM supplement 1. PACMAN pre-alignment budgeting . CMM uncertainty modeling. Thermal uncertainty compensation and modeling. First stochastic modeling results. Accuracy vs. Precision. What is the difference?. Accuracy vs. Precision. Precision . accuracy. Exactness. Divisions on scale. Reproducibility. Uncertainty. Significant digits. Correctness. Calibration. analytical perspective. . Roy Macarthur. roy.macarthur@fera.gsi.gov.uk. Analytical perspective. Uncertainty about quantitative measurements. Chemical, microbiological, biotechnological . analytes. .. : . Case Study of. . Residential Wood Combustion . Rabab . Mashayekhi, . Shunliu. . Zhao, . Sahar . Saeednooran. , . Amir . Hakami. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carleton University, . investments. Plenary 4: Building . Organisational. capacities for tackling policy and regulatory uncertainty. Parveer. Singh . Ghuman. . Sr. Research Associate, CUTS International. Overview. Relationship between uncertainty and investment.