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25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki 25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki

25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki - PowerPoint Presentation

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25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki - PPT Presentation

The European Environment Agency The EEA is an EU agency that operates at the interface of science and policy With a network of more than 300 institutions in 39 European countries the EEA provides timely reliable and ID: 611620

trends eea 2015 environment eea trends environment 2015 soer source amp environmental global economy policy efficiency track dominate synthesis

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Slide1

25 June 2015 – SOER 2015 launch event Helsinki

Slide2

The European Environment Agency

The

EEA

is an EU agency that operates at the interface of science and policy. With a network of more than 300 institutions in 39 European countries, the EEA provides timely, reliable and relevant information to support sustainable development.EEA work is targeted at EU institutions, EEA member countries, civil society and the general public.Slide3

The European environment – state and outlook 2015

(SOER 2015)

A comprehensive assessment of past trends and future outlooks.

SOER 2015 informs policy implementation and reflects on opportunities to recalibrate policies, knowledge, investments and innovations in line with the 2050 vision of the 7th EAP.

SOER 2015 Synthesis report

SOER 2015 Assessment of global megatrends

11 briefings

Global

megatrends

25

briefings

European

briefings

9

briefings

Cross-country

comparisons

39+3

briefings

Countries

and

regionsSlide4

The policy context

Source: EEA Multiannual

Work Programme

2014–2018Slide5

Vision of the 7th Environment Action Programme

In 2050, we live well, within the planet's ecological

limits

.

Our

prosperity and healthy environment stem from an innovative,

circular economy

where nothing is wasted and where natural resources are managed sustainably, and

biodiversity

is protected, valued and restored in ways that enhance our society's

resilience

. Our

low-carbon

growth has long been decoupled from resource use, setting the pace for a global safe and sustainable society.

Source: 7th

EU Environment

Action ProgrammeSlide6

Key messages from SOER 2015

Policies

have delivered substantial benefits for the environment, economy and people’s well-being; major challenges remain

Europe faces persistent and emerging challenges linked to production and consumption systems, and the rapidly changing global context Achieving the 2050 vision requires system transitions, driven by more ambitious actions on policy, knowledge, investments and innovationDoing so presents

major

opportunities

to boost

Europe’s economy and employment and

put Europe at the frontier of science and

innovation

© Daniel

Danko

, Environment & Me /EEA Slide7

Assessing

past trends and future outlooks

The Synthesis report

addresses the three thematic priority objectives of the 7th EAP:Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capitalResource efficiency and the low-carbon economySafeguarding from environmental risks to healthTwo overall patterns emerge:Resource efficiency improvements have been notable but have not translated into increased ecosystem and social resilienceThe

long-term outlook is

often less

positive than recent

trends

© Ana

Skobe

,

Environment

& Me /EEA Slide8

Thematic priority objective 1:

Protecting, conserving and enhancing natural capital

Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.

 

Past (5–10

year) trends

Progress to policy targets

Terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity

Land use and soil functions

 

No target

 

Ecological status of freshwater bodies

 

Water quality and nutrient loading

  

Air pollution and its ecosystem impacts

 

Marine and coastal biodiversity

 

Climate change impacts on ecosystems

 

No target

Improving trends dominate

Trends show mixed picture

Deteriorating trends dominate

L

argely

on track

Partially on track

Largely not on track

20+ years outlookSlide9

Thematic

priority objective 2:Resource efficiency and the low-carbon economy

Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.

 

Past (5–10

year) trends

Progress to policy targets

Material resource efficiency and material use

No target

Waste management

 

Greenhouse gas emissions and climate change mitigation

 

/

Energy consumption and fossil fuel use

  

Transport demand and related environmental impacts

 

Industrial pollution to air, soil and water

 

Water use and water quantity stress

 

Improving trends dominate

Trends show mixed picture

Deteriorating trends dominate

L

argely

on track

Partially on track

Largely not on track

20+ years outlook

 

 

 

 Slide10

Thematic priority objective

3:Safeguarding from environmental risks to health

Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report.

 

Past

(

5–10

year) trends

Progress to policy targets

Water pollution and related environmental health risks

/

Air pollution and related environmental health risks

 

Noise pollution (especially in urban areas)

 

Urban systems and grey infrastructure

  

No target 

Climate change and related environmental health risks

 

No target 

Chemicals and related environmental health risks

 

/

Improving trends dominate

Trends show mixed picture

Deteriorating trends dominate

L

argely

on track

Partially on track

Largely not on track

20+ years outlook

 

/

 

 

 

  Slide11

The overall picture:

Efficiency improvements have not secured long-term resilience

Protecting, conserving

and enhancing natural capital

Resource efficiency

and the low-carbon

economy

Safeguarding from

environmental risks to health

Past

(5–10)

year

trends

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source: EEA. SOER 2015 Synthesis report

.

Improving trends dominate

Trends show mixed picture

Deteriorating trends dominate

20+ years

outlook

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

/

 

 

 Slide12

Understanding past trends and

future outlooks

Two major factors

explain the uneven progress and prospects:The changing global context Competition for resourcesPressures from outside

Europe

Planetary

boundaries

Systemic

characteristics

of

environmental challenges

Complexity

Uncertainty

Environmental, social and economic interdependencies

© Ana Skobe

, Environment

& Me /EEA Slide13

Understanding past trends and future outlooks:

Natural capital

Long time-lags between reduced pressures and positive changes

Pressures on ecosystems remain considerableExternal trends can counteract the positive effects of local efforts © Alex Dumitrescu, Environment & Me /EEA

Source: EEA, SOER 2015 Synthesis.Slide14

Understanding

past trends and future outlooks:

Resource

efficiency and the low-carbon economyProduction-consumption systems support livelihoods, creating lock-insGlobalisation of production and consumption constrains EU influenceMore efficient production lowers costs, incentivising more consumption© Keith Arkins, Environment & Me /EEA

Source: EEA, SOER 2015 Synthesis.Slide15

Understanding past trends and future

outlooks:

Safeguarding from environmental risks to health

Impacts resulting from climate change are expected to worsenChanging exposures, urbanisation and ageing increase vulnerabilityGood urban design delivers benefits to health and well-being© Alexander Goranov, Environment & Me /EEA

Sources:

Eurostat,

Gisco

- Urban Audit 2012;

EEA,

AirBase

and Indicator CSI004.Slide16

The global population is expected to grow 43% by 2050, with Africa’s population increasing especially fast

Source: UN World population prospects: The 2012 revision.

World Population projection

trends, 1950

2100Slide17

World

resource

use is expected

to at least double in the next three decades© Ana Skobe, Environment & Me /EEA

Souce

: SERI

(2013): SERI Global Material Flows Database. 2013 Edition.

Available

at:

www.materialflows.netSlide18

Projections of climate change impacts are increasingly worrying

© Ana Skobe, Environment & Me /EEA Slide19

Global temperature increases of

4⁰C or more by 2100 would create significant risks to global food security

Projected change in global aggregate crop yields due to climate change, 2010–2109

Source: IPCC, 2014.Slide20

Looking ahead:

Systemic challenges require systemic solutions

Not just incremental efficiency

gains

but

fundamental

transitions in

food, energy, mobility

, urban,

finance and fiscal systems

through profound changes

in dominant

practices, policies and thinking.

Source

: TeslaSlide21

Energy efficiency has increased, but we

are

far from a low-carbon economy

Source: EEA (CSI 028)Slide22

Homes are now more energy efficient, but also much larger, increasing pressures on land, water and materialsSlide23

Cars are more efficient but

overall fuel consumption and emissions have increased

Source

: TeslaSlide24

Achieving the 2050 vision depends on action

today

: Fostering innovation

Technological, economic and social innovations can support long-term transitions to a green economy Creating a green economy requires upscaling niche innovationsPublicly funded research has fostered many of the most important and commercially successful innovationsEurope should not be afraid of leading the world on environmental standards: investments and innovation can boost prosperity today ©

Victor Troyanov,

Environment & Me /EEA Slide25

Eco-industries have prospered despite the recession in Europe

© Daniel Danko, Environment & Me /EEA

Eco-industry value added

Eco-industry employment

Total EU GDP

Total EU employment

Source: Eurostat, 2014.Slide26

Environmental policy is a driver of innovation,

not a deterrent

© Daniel Danko, Environment & Me /EEA

Source: OECD

Patent applications with European coverage

(1978=100, 3-yr moving average)Slide27

Europe’s environmental leadership can set standards globally

© Daniel Danko, Environment & Me /EEA

Adoption of the EU's Euro emissions standards for cars and vans in Asian countries, 1995–2025

Source: Clean Air Initiative for Asian Cities,

2011Slide28

Innovation in urban systems: green infrastructure

©

Victor Troyanov,

Environment & Me /EEA

Air trees, Madrid

Urban forest,

MilanSlide29

Innovative financing tool: green bonds

Green bonds

– a hybrid investment tool for

financing transitions by combining public and private contributions© Victor Troyanov, Environment & Me /EEA Slide30

Looking ahead:

Living well within the limits of the planet by 2050

Achieving the 2050 vision is possible but it depends on our actions and investments today.

Systemic change must deliver decent employment, prosperity and equity, as well as respecting environmental limits. SOER 2015 illustrates the success of European policy. We should be confident in entering a new stage of environmental governance.The EEA’s growing knowledge base and partnerships can provide valuable inputs to EPSC work © Victor Troyanov, Environment & Me /EEA Slide31

Explore SOER 2015 online:

eea.europa.eu/

soerSlide32

Stay informed about SOER 2015 and receive our

products

 sign up

at:http://eea-subscriptions.eu/subscribeThank you!BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS