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Smart Driving Cars: What Is In It For Whom? Smart Driving Cars: What Is In It For Whom?

Smart Driving Cars: What Is In It For Whom? - PowerPoint Presentation

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Smart Driving Cars: What Is In It For Whom? - PPT Presentation

Alain L Kornhauser Professor Operations Research amp Financial Engineering Director Program in Transportation Faculty Chair PAVE Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering Princeton University ID: 759739

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Slide1

Smart Driving Cars:

What Is In It For Whom? Alain L. KornhauserProfessor, Operations Research & Financial EngineeringDirector, Program in Transportation Faculty Chair, PAVE (Princeton Autonomous Vehicle EngineeringPrinceton UniversityBoard Chair, Advanced Transit Association (ATRA)

Slide2

Slide3

Why Are We Going?

Save our Cities????

Slide4

Starting in the 1960s…

Some/I thought that: “The automation & computer technology that took us to the moon could now revolutionize mass transit and save our cities from the onslaught of the automobile”

Westinghouse

Skybus 1960’s-

APM

Slide5

Now exist in essentially every Major Airport

APMAutomated People Movers

Milan

Beijing

Paris

and a growing number of Driverless Metros

1971 Tampa

JFK

Newark

Slide6

Starting in the 1960s…

Some thought that: “The automation & computer technology that took us to the moon could now revolutionize mass transit and save our cities from the onslaught of the automobile”

Westinghouse

Skybus 1960’s-

Donn

Fichter “Individualized Automatic Transit and the City” 1964

APM

PRT

Slide7

~1971: U of Minnesota extended Ficter’s vision & became the center of PRT research focused on delivering auto-like ubiquitous mobility throughout urban areas

PRTPersonal Raid Transit

Since Demand very diffuse

(Spatially and Temporally)

:

Many stations served by Many small vehicles (rather than a few large vehicles).Many stationsEach off-line with interconnected mainlinesTo minimize intermediate stops and transfersMany small vehiclesRequire more sophisticated control systems, both longitudinal and lateral.

J. Edward Anderson

Alain Kornhauser

William Garrard

Slide8

Morgantown 1975

Video1 Video2

Early “victory”

Slide9

About 40 years ago: Exec. Director of APTA* said to me: “Alain: PRT is the transportation system of the future… And Always will be!!!”Well after 40 years..……are we finally approaching the promised land???

*American Public Transit Association

Slide10

Morgantown 1975

Remains a critical mobility system today & planning an expansion

Today…

Slide11

And Today…

Masdar & Heathrow are operational

Video

Slide12

About 40 years ago: Exec. Director of APTA* said to me: “Alain: PRT is the transportation system of the future… And Always will be!!!”Well after 40 years..……are we finally approaching the promised land???

*American Public Transit Association

But implementation progress has been

excruciatingly

slow

Slide13

What he was saying was…

Final Region-wide Systems would be really great, but…

Any great final system MUST evolve from some initial system and be great at EVERY step of the way, otherwise…

It will always be

“a system of the future”

.

The dedicated grade-separated guideway infrastructure requirement of PRT may simply be too onerous and risky for it to ever serve a significant share of the urban mobility market.

Slide14

Slide15

Why Are We Going?

Its NOT Save our Cities

…..NOT Yet!

Slide16

Maybe it is simply the fact that…

We really don’t want to drive…

Slide17

We aren’t that good…

~92% crashes involve human error

2009 Road Traffic Deaths (World Health Org): US: 42,642; World: 578,543; China: 96,611

And that…

DOT HS 810 767 Pre-Crash Scenario Typology for Crash Avoidance Research

More on Google:

Levandowski

Presentation

Slide18

Where Are We Now?

Slide19

Intelligent Transportation Systems

Coined by Fed

DoT

in early ‘90s to include:

ATMS

(Adv. Transp. Management Systems)

Intelligent Traffic Control Systems and Value Pricing Systems

( EZ Pass mid 80s)

ATIS

(Adv. Transp. Information Systems)

Turn-by-Turn GPS Route Guidance Systems

(‘97 CoPilot Live)

ARTS

(Adv. Rural Transp. Systems)

ATS

(Automated Transit Systems)

Automated People Movers and Personal Rapid Transit

(

Ficter

‘64, W. Alden ’71, WWU ‘75 )

AHS

(Automated Highway Systems)

(1939 World’s Fair, RCA-Sarnoff late 50s*,

R.Fenton

‘72

OSU)

Autonomous

vehicles

*

VK Zworykin & L Flory “Electronic Control of Motor Vehicles on Highways”

Proc

. 37

th

Annual

Mtg

Highway Research Board, 1958

Slide20

Evolution of AHS Concept

GM Futurama @ 1939 World’s Fair

Zworykin & Flory @ RCA-Sarnoff in Princeton, Late 50s** VK Zworykin & L Flory “Electronic Control of Motor Vehicles on Highways” Proc. 37th Annual Mtg Highway Research Board, 1958

Robert E Fenton @ OSU, Early 70s*

*

“A Headway Safety Policy for Automated Highway Operations” R.E. Fenton 1979

Slide21

AHS Studies by FHWA in late 70’s and mid 90’s

2005

2007

2004

Military: Absolutely NOT interested in building Infrastructure

Must Operate in “Harshest” Environment

~ 2000: Military: Mandate to automate ground logistics

Evolution of AHS Concept

(

Automated

Highway

System

)

Slide22

2005

2007

Link to Presentation

Not Easy

2007

2005

Old House

Beginning of Serious Vehicle Automation

Slide23

2. Current State of Driverless Vehicles

Recent advances in automated systems in exclusive environments:Milan driverless Metro PodCar system at HeathrowExtension Plans announced Driverless Trucks in Australian & Chilean Mines

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ET_DaHJzUbI

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0RCSX95QmE

http://www.ultraglobalprt.com/heathrow-announces-plans-additional-personal-rapid-transit-prt-system-heathrow

/#

Slide24

2. Current State of Driverless Cars

Much of the public interest has been promoted by the car. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdgQpa1pUUEIt is not driverless…Not yetBut substantial advancements have focused on:Development of a self-driving vehicle that can operate in the existing environment.Motivated by fact: >90% of road traffic accidents involve human error. So… remove the human from the loop.FAA Sept 2007 Operator’s Manual “ Majority of ramp accidents involve Human error”Also… People often really do not want to drive. Driven over 500,000 miles in self-driving modehttp://gawker.com/5825012/how-a-top-google-executive-nearly-killed-a-guy

Slide25

2. Current State of Driverless Cars, cont.

Substantial advances by auto industry:Automated parking

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=WEh7qIon36s

Slide26

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZ3s_cdk_yE&feature=player_embedded

Audi

Slide27

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D0ZN2tPihQ&feature=player_embedded

Bosch

Slide28

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4tpI0S6XWvY

Mercedes-BenzBrake-assist

Slide29

http://www.mbusa.com/mercedes/vehicles/build/class-S/model-S400HV%23performance#performance

Slide30

2. Current State of Driverless Cars, cont.

Substantial advances by auto industry:Automated parking Jam Assist (lane keeping + collision avoidance)Currently available as a $3K option @ Mercedes Dealers

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7aTbSf1Lyo

Mercedes-Benz

Steering-assist

Slide31

2. Current State of Driverless Cars, cont.

Substantial advances by auto industry:

Automated parking

Jam Assist (lane keeping + collision avoidance)

Currently available as a $3K option @ Mercedes Dealers

Partnership arrangement

btwn

Parts suppliers and manufacturers (ex: Continental + BMW) suggests that such options will become common place.

Recent successful completion of a collaborative

European research initiatives

demonstrating automated driving systems using low-cost sensing components

Slide32

2. Current State of Driverless Cars, cont.

Substantial advances by Federal Regulators:

NHTSA Administrator David Strickland:

NHTSA extending vehicle crash oversight from

Mitigation

to

Avoidance

Mitigation:

Airbags, Seatbelts,

CrumpleZones

Avoidance:

AntiLockBrakes

,

ActiveStabilityControl

, V2X,

CollisionAvoidance

,

LaneKeeping

,

DriverMonitoring

,

AutomatedDriving

Slide33

Slide34

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZ3s_cdk_yE&feature=player_embedded

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D0ZN2tPihQ&feature=player_embedded

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/VolvoPlatooningConcept.wmv

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ridS396W2BY&feature=player_detailpage

Assorted Videos of Self-Driving Cars

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/1_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~

alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/2_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~

alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/3_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4

http://orfe.princeton.edu/~

alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Videos/4_FrozenLakeVID_onlySteeringWoIndividualWheelBraking.mp4

Slide35

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cdgQpa1pUUE

Slide36

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3ulKUJtZ3o

Slide37

Initial Demonstrationof Autonomous Transit

Autonomous Buses at La Rochelle

(

CyberCars

/

Cybus

/INRIA

)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72-PlSFwP5Y

Simple virtual non-exclusive roadway

Virtual vehicle-based longitudinal (collision avoidance) and lateral (lane keeping) systems

Slide38

2. Current State of Driverless Cars, cont.

Technology forecasts by the European Researchers:Looks to Full Automation ~ 2030

Slide39

What is in it for whom?

Players

Consumers

Automobile Companies

Infrastructure Providers/Managers (DoT, NJTPA, PANYNJ)

Transit Operators

Insurance Companies

Society/The Economy

Slide40

What is in it for whom?

ConsumersMain Values: Increased Safety, Comfort and Convenience.AAA:

Slide41

What is in it for whom?

ConsumersMain Values: Increased Safety, Comfort and Convenience.

DOT HS 810 767 Pre-Crash Scenario Typology for Crash Avoidance Research

Slide42

What is in it for whom?

ConsumersMain Values: Increased Safety, Comfort and Convenience.

DOT HS 810 767 Pre-Crash Scenario Typology for Crash Avoidance Research

Slide43

What is in it for whom?

ConsumerMain Values: Increased Safety, Comfort and Convenience.

DOT HS 810 767 Pre-Crash Scenario Typology for Crash Avoidance Research

$475

are Pass-through Dollars

Slide44

$475 are “Pass-through” Dollars

$450 Discount for You

$25 for Flo or the Gecko

Could Discount Finance?:

Assume:

Emergence of “Price Leading” Insurer

What is in it for whom?

Maybe too expensive?

$3,000. Option

Slide45

Probably only 2/3rds the safety of Google Car

$300/

yr

to Mercedes

$20/yr for Flo or the Gecko

Could “Pass-through” FinanceMercedes Lane Keeping + Jam Assist?to be Available in 2014 Models

$475 Pass-through becomes:

$320

You get (for free):

Prob. of your car killing you reduced factor: 2/3*.81= 0.54 (half)

Prob. of your car

injuring

you reduced factor: 2/3

*.65= 0.44

“Save” expected “deductible self-insurance”: $247/

yr

Comfort

Convenience

“Anxiety” relief

Slide46

What is in it for whom?

New Jersey Consumers

Slide47

What is in if for whom?

Society

Can’t really place value on the injuries and lives that will be saved

Priceless!

Self-driving Technology

has a REAL business model!

Slide48

How Might We Get There?

Slide49

Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System! It Consists of:Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ Port Authority Bus Terminal223 Departure GatesReadily Accommodates 700 Buses/hr

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide50

Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System! It Consists of:Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus TerminalDirect Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln Tunnel

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide51

Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System! It Consists of:Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus TerminalDirect Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln Tunnel3+ HOV Lanes on the NJ Turnpike that are, by default, essentially bus-only

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide52

Fact: For over 40 years New Jersey has had the World’s Best “Bus Rapid Transit” System! It Consists of:Efficient Boarding/Alighting @ PA Bus TerminalDirect Access/Egress to Exclusive Lanes in the Lincoln Tunnel3+ HOV Lanes on the NJ Turnpike that are, by default, essentially bus-only Many Strategically Located Park&Ride Lots

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide53

Pieces are Connected by: “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane (XBL)2.5 miles

The World’s Best

Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide54

Pieces are Connected by:

“495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane (XBL)Lane Segregation is by Removable Plastic PegYet exceedingly Safe3 (?) accidents in 41 years, no fatalities.

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide55

Pieces are Connected by: “495-viaduct” Counter-flow Exclusive Bus Lane (XBL Movie)Daily (6am->10am): 1,800 Buses; 65,000 paxPeak Hour: 700 Buses; 35,000 paxPeak Hour: At Capacity! Physical Driver LimitAv. 5 sec. headway

The World’s Best

Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide56

Additional Demand Exists for “BRT 2 NYC”How to increase capacity of XBL?“Take a 2nd Lane”?Political suicide!Widen the Viaduct and Helix?Very expensive/disruptiveHow about Driver Assistance?Extend Bus 2.0 Technology

Improving

The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide57

add Intelligent Cruise Control with Lane Assist to the 3,000 buses…e.g. Daimler Benz Distronic Plus with Traffic Jam Assisteven at an incremental $100,000/bus this is just $200MCould achieve sustained 3.0 second headwaysIncreases practical throughput by 50% from 700 -> 1,000 buses/hr; 35,000 -> 50,000 pax/hrIncreased passenger capacity comparable to what would have been provided by $10B ARC rail tunnelInstitutionally manageable:All Express Buses are leased for 1$/yr from PANY&NJFacilities (XBL, LT, PABT) are controlled by PANY&NJ DoT Ideal test facility available: Ft. Monmouth

Improving

The World’s Best

Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide58

Concept Not New:Concept Makes Even More Sense Now!

Improving The World’s Best Bus Rapid Transit System

Slide59

Near-term Opportunity for a Substantive Extension of Autonomous Transit

Specific: General Mobility for Fort Monmouth RedevelopmentCurrently: Decommissioned Ft. Monmouth is vacant .Ft. Monmouth Economic Revitalization Authority (FMERA) is redeveloping the 3 sq. mile “city”Focus is on attracting high-tech industryThe “Fort” needs a mobility system.FMEDA is receptive to incorporating an innovative mobility systemNext generation “La Rochelle” system would be idealBecause it is being redeveloped as a “new town” it can accommodate itself to be an ideal site for testing more advanced driverless systems.

Slide60

How about Saving “The State”???

Each year my students lay out a NJ-wide PRT networkObjective: to effectively serve essentially all NJ travel demand (all 30x106 daily non-walk trips)Place “every” demand point within “5 minute walk” of a station; all stations interconnected; maintain existing NJ Transit Rail and express bus operations )Typically:~10,000 stations (> $25B)~10,000 miles of guideway (>$100B)~750,000 PRT vehicles (>$75B)Optimistic cost: ~$200B

Slide61

Far-term Opportunities for Driverless Transit

Biggest Issues

How to get started

How to evolve

Cost & complexity of guideway

What if ????

Use existing streets

automatedTaxi

(

aTaxi

)

Curb-side

aTaxi

stands offering on-demand shared-ride services

Ability to get started and evolve to

~10,000

aTaxi

stands

~750,000 aTaxis

Offering

peak hours:

stand2stand shared

aTaxi

service

else: stand2stand shared services and door2door premium service

Slide62

Where might We End Up?

Slide63

Slide64

“Pixelated” New Jersey(“1/2 mile square; 0.25mi2)

aTaxi Concept – (PRT) Model

Personal Rapid Transit Model

aTaxis operate between aTaxiStands

A

utonomous vehicles wait for walk-up customers

Located in “center” of each pixel

(max ¼ mile walk)

Departure is Delayed to facilitate ride-sharing

Vehicles are shared to Common Pixel destinations

aTaxi Concept –

SPT Model

Smart Para Transit

Transit

Model

aTaxis

circulate to pick up riders in 9-Pixel area (1.5 miles on side)

Vehicles are shared to Common

9-Pixel Destinations

Slide65

“Pixelated” New Jersey(“1/2 mile square; 0.25mi2)

aTaxi Concept – SPT Model(Smart Para Transit Model)

aTaxi Concept – (PRT) Model(Personal Rapid Transit Model)

Ref:

http

://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/Theses/2013/Brownell,%20Chris%20Final%20Thesis.pdf

Slide66

State-wide automatedTaxi (aTaxi)

Serves essentially all NJ travel demand (32M trips/day)Shared ridership potential:

Slide67

State-wide automatedTaxi (aTaxi)

Serves essentially all NJ travel demand (32M trips/day)Shared ridership potential:

Slide68

State-wide automatedTaxi (aTaxi)

Fleet size (Instantaneous Repositioning)

Slide69

State-wide automatedTaxi (aTaxi)

Abel to serve essentially all NJ travel demand (32M trips/day)

Shared ridership allows

Peak hour; peak direction:

Av. vehicle

occupancies to can reach ~ 3 p/v and eliminate much of the congestion

Essentially all congestion disappears with appropriate implications on the environment

Required fleet-size under 2M aTaxis (about half)

(3.71 registered automobiles in NJ (2009)

Slide70

Slide71

Most every day…

Almost 9 Million NJ residents 0.25 Million of out of state commutersMake 30+ Million trips Throughout the 8,700 sq miles of NJWhere/when do they start?Where do they go? Does anyone know???I certainly don’tNot to sufficient precision for credible analysis

Slide72

I’ve harvested one of the largest troves of GPS tracks Literally billions of individual trips, Unfortunately, they are spread throughout the western world, throughout the last decade. Consequently, I have only a very small ad hoc sample of what happens in NJ on a typical day.

I’ve Tried…

Slide73

Motivation – Publicly available data do not contain:Spatial precisionWhere are people leaving from?Where are people going?Temporal precisionAt what time are they travelling?

ORF 467 Fall 2012

73

Trip Synthesizer

Project Overview

Slide74

Why do I want to know every trip?

Academic Curiosity

If offered an alternative, which ones would likely “buy it” and what are the implications.

More specifically:

If an alternative transport system were available, which trips would be diverted to it and what operational requirements would those trip impose on the new system?

In the end…

a transport system serves

individual

decision makers. It’s patronage is an

ensemble of individuals

,

I would prefer analyzing each individual trip patronage opportunity.

Slide75

Synthesize from publically available data:

“every” NJ Traveler on a typical day

NJ_Resident

file

Containing appropriate demographic and spatial characteristics that reflect trip making

“every” trip that each Traveler is likely to make on a typical day.

NJ_PersonTrip

file

Containing appropriate spatial and temporal characteristics for each trip

Slide76

Creating the NJ_Resident file

for “every” NJ Traveler on a typical day

NJ_Resident

file

Start with Publically available data:

Slide77

2010 Population census @Block Level

8,791,894 individuals distributed 118,654 Blocks.

CountyPopulationCensus BlocksMedian Pop/ BlockAverage Pop/BlockATL 274,549 5,941 2646BER 905,116 11,171 5881BUR 448,734 7,097 4163CAM 513,657 7,707 4767CAP 97,265 3,610 1527CUM 156,898 2,733 3457ESS 783,969 6,820 77115GLO 288,288 4,567 4063HUD 634,266 3,031 176209HUN 128,349 2,277 3156MER 366,513 4,611 5179MID 809,858 9,845 5082MON 630,380 10,067 3963MOR 492,276 6,543 4575OCE 576,567 10,457 3155PAS 501,226 4,966 65101SAL 66,083 1,665 2640SOM 323,444 3,836 5184SUS 149,265 2,998 2850UNI 536,499 6,139 6187WAR 108,692 2,573 2342Total 8,791,894 118,654  74.1

Slide78

Publically available data:

Distributions of Demographic CharacteristicsAgeGenderHousehold sizeName (Last, First)

Ages (varying linearly over interval):input:output:[0,49]67.5%67.5%[50,64]18.0%17.9%[65,79]12.0%12.1%[80,100]2.5%2.5%

Gender:Input:Output:female51.3%51.3%

Household:

Size:

Probability:

cdf:

Expectation:

couple

2

0.30

0.300

0.6

couple + 1

3

0.08

0.380

0.24

couple + 2

4

0.06

0.440

0.24

couple + 3

5

0.04

0.480

0.2

couple + 4

6

0.04

0.520

0.24

couple + grandparent:

3

0.01

0.525

0.015

single woman

1

0.16

0.685

0.16

single mom + 1

2

0.07

0.755

0.14

single mom + 2

3

0.05

0.805

0.15

single mom + 3

4

0.03

0.835

0.12

single mom + 4

5

0.03

0.865

0.15

single man

1

0.12

0.985

0.12

single dad + 1

2

0.01

0.990

0.01

single dad + 2

3

0.005

0.995

0.015

single dad + 3

4

0.005

1.000

0.02

 

 

 

 

2.42

Slide79

Final NJ_Resident file

Home CountyPerson IndexHousehold IndexFull NameAgeGenderWorker Type IndexWorker Type StringHome lat, lonWork or School lat,lonWork CountyWork or School IndexNAICS codeWork or School start/end time

ATL

 274,549BER 905,116BUR 448,734CAM 513,657CAP 97,265CUM 156,898ESS 783,969GLO 288,288HUD 634,266HUN 128,349MER 366,513MID 809,858MON 630,380MOR 492,276OCE 576,567PAS 501,226SAL 66,083SOM 323,444SUS 149,265UNI 536,499WAR 108,692NYC 86,418PHL 18,586BUC 99,865SOU 13,772NOR 5,046WES 6,531ROC 32,737Total: 9,054,849

Slide80

Assigning a Daily Activity (Trip) Tour to Each Person

Slide81

NJ_PersonTrip file

 9,054,849 recordsOne for each person in NJ_Resident fileSpecifying 32,862,668 Daily Person TripsEach characterized by a preciseOrigination, Destination and Departure Time

 

All Trips

Home County

Trips

TripMiles

AverageTM

#

Miles

Miles

ATL

936,585

27,723,931

29.6

BER

3,075,434

40,006,145

13.0

BUC

250,006

9,725,080

38.9

BUR

1,525,713

37,274,682

24.4

CAM

1,746,906

27,523,679

15.8

CAP

333,690

11,026,874

33.0

CUM

532,897

18,766,986

35.2

ESS

2,663,517

29,307,439

11.0

GLO

980,302

23,790,798

24.3

HUD

2,153,677

18,580,585

8.6

HUN

437,598

13,044,440

29.8

MER

1,248,183

22,410,297

18.0

MID

2,753,142

47,579,551

17.3

MON

2,144,477

50,862,651

23.7

MOR

1,677,161

33,746,360

20.1

NOR

12,534

900,434

71.8

NYC

215,915

4,131,764

19.1

OCE

1,964,014

63,174,466

32.2

PAS

1,704,184

22,641,201

13.3

PHL

46,468

1,367,405

29.4

ROC

81,740

2,163,311

26.5

SAL

225,725

8,239,593

36.5

SOM

1,099,927

21,799,647

19.8

SOU

34,493

2,468,016

71.6

SUS

508,674

16,572,792

32.6

UNI

1,824,093

21,860,031

12.0

WAR

371,169

13,012,489

35.1

WES

16,304

477,950

29.3

Total

32,862,668

590,178,597

19.3

Slide82

Overview of Data Production

Generate populationAssign work placesAssign schoolsAssign tours / activity patternsAssign other tripsAssign arrival / departure times

ORF 467 Fall 2012

82

Project Overview

Slide83

Intra-pixel Trips

W

arren County

Population

: 108,692

Slide84

New Jersey Summary Data

Item

Value

Area (mi

2

)

8,061

# of Pixels Generating at Least One O_Trip

21,643

Area of Pixels (mi

2

)

5,411

% of Open Space

32.9%

# of Pixels Generating 95% of O_Trips

9,519

# of Pixels Generating 50% of O_Trips

1,310

# of Intra-Pixel Trips

447,102

# of O_Walk Trips

1,943,803

# of All O_Trips

32,862,668

Avg. All O_TripLength (miles)

19.6

# of O_aTaxi Trips

30,471,763

Avg. O_aTaxiTripLength (miles)

20.7

Median O_aTaxiTripLength (miles)

12.5

95% O_aTaxiTripLength (miles)

38.0

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NJ Transit

Train Station

“Consumer-shed”

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“Manhattan Customer-shed” Regions

for NJ Transit Train Stations

Yellow Lines connect 0.25 mi2 areas to nearest NJT Train Station where Distance is a “Manhattan Metric” = |Dx|+ |Dy|

Trenton

Princeton

Hamilton

New Brunswick

Princeton Jct.

Metuchen

Edison

Metro Park

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“Manhattan Customer-shed” Regions

for NJ Transit Train Stations

Yellow Lines connect 0.25 mi2 areas to nearest NJT Train Station where Distance is a “Manhattan Metric” = |Dx|+ |Dy|

Princeton

Hamilton

New Brunswick

Princeton Jct.

Edison

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Discussion!

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Thank You