1492016 Professor Sanna Syri Energy T echnology and Energy Economics Dept of Mechanical Engineering Aalto University Energy news in Finland Finland is preparing new ID: 648733
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Slide1
Finnish Climate and energy strategy and electricity markets
14.9.2016Professor Sanna Syri, Energy Technology and Energy Economics, Dept of Mechanical EngineeringAalto UniversitySlide2
Energy news in Finland
Finland is preparing new Climate and Energy strategy until 2030.Olkiluoto 3 NPP (1600 MW) is still
under
construction, estimated
production in
late 2018.Fennovoima
NPP
project
with Rosatom as partner. Next, building permit will be applied. The project has recently been in news due to lack of expertise and problems with safety culture http://yle.fi/uutiset/economic_affairs_minister_fennovoima_nuclear_project_safety_severely_lacking/9157634Finland’s target for wind power is 2500 MW by 2020. It will be reached soon. Role of solar pv has been neglible, but now there is more interest at household and offices scales.FiT also for wood chips (residual wood) in (large-scale) electricity and heat production (max 18 €/MWh), mostly used in combined heat and power production.Slide3
Energy news in Finland
Due to economic recession and strong increase of wind power in
the Nordic system
, also
Finnish electricity
prices
have
been record low (25-30 €/MWh) and futures show a further declining trend.Finland is also achieving the EU 2020 targets:National GHG emissions show a clear decreasing trend (not only policy, but also recession, warm winters and increased wind power)Kyoto target was stabilisation at 1990 level during 2008-2012 => OKNational target (transport, small-scale heating, agriculture etc) for 2020 is -16 % => probably OKRES in final energy consumption 38% by 2020 (3rd highest in EU) => is now OKSlide4
Energy news in Finland
During 2015, 900 MW condensing power (coal and gas) has
been
dismantled. Otherwise
ok to reduce
coal condensing
power
,
but wintertime electricity security is already compromised + lack of regulating power. Next in danger is Combined Heat and Power due to lack of profitability? CHP is extremely important for Finland, fuel use efficiency is about 90%.CHP, heat pumps and heat storages could have an important role to balance future energy systems with large VRES shares.Slide5
MW
HourSerious electricity import dependence
in Winter
Data
source: Fingrid
.
Wind
usability 10-16% of capacityRussian holidays ”saved us!”Slide6
Likely
elements of the new strategy The present Government
(PM from Central party)
favours wood
use
very much
Strong
emphasis on bioproducts industry and on advanced transportation biofuelsNot similar conrete elements yet for electric vehicles etc. Forest industry is investing in new large-scale pulp& paper millsChinese Kaidi Ltd. Plans a new tranport biofuels mill in Kemi, northern Finland. Concerns have been raised on the amount of Finnish state subsidies neededAlso public discussion on possibly to extensive use of forest resources (risk of reducing the forest carbon sink => becoming a net CO2 emission from
the
point
of
atmosphere
)
Present
guarantee
price
of
wind
power
(83,5 €/MWh)
has
become
unexpectedly
expensive
for
state
budget
due
to
the
low
spot
prices
=> Next RES
support
might
be
smaller
and
based
on
auctions
?Slide7
30 000
inhabitants, near Helsinki regionBiofuel CHP plant (140 MWe) + heat-only boilers
Heat storage
20 000 m3
Heat
pump 20 MW
Solar
heat area 20 000 m2Simulations with strongly varying electricity prices:Example of our current research: scenarios for district heating in Järvenpää: how to adapt to future variable electricity pricesSlide8
One
year: CHP, heat pumps and active use of heat storage are all needed
Slide9
Thank you
for your attention!January in Oulu, Northern
FinlandPeat & REF CHP
plant