Ethnic Change and Immigration Restriction in England Eric Kaufmann Birkbeck College ekaufmannbbkacuk twitter epkaufm web snepsnet Source Ipsos MORI Attitudes to Immigration forthcoming Issues Index question ID: 1003705
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1. “It's the Demography Stupid” Ethnic Change and Immigration Restriction in EnglandEric Kaufmann, Birkbeck Collegee.kaufmann@bbk.ac.uk; twitter: @epkaufm; web: sneps.net;
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3. Source: Ipsos MORI, 'Attitudes to Immigration' (forthcoming). Issues Index question: “What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?”. Issues Index base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home. Home Office statistics based on ‘Year ending’.
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5. Response to Catholic Growth1923: the Church of Scotland's Church and Nation committee issues report entitled The Menace of the Irish Race to our Scottish Nationality1932: 'We are losing some of the best of our race stock by migration and their place is being taken by those whom whatever their merits, are not Scottish' - novelist John Buchan at Parliament in November 19321952: the Church of Scotland's Church and Nation committee condemns Irish Catholics for displacing the 'native Scots population' from industrial Scotland and derided them as a 'compact community largely of alien origin' (Devine 2008)
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7. Source: Plymouth Elections Centre
8. Source: Plymouth Elections Centre
9. English Ethnic NationalismIndividualismCultural LiberalismIntegration/ Assimilation/Boundary ShiftImmigration and Minority Growth---+
10. Desire to reduce migration, by class and proportion of minorities in ward, white British only
11. Desire to reduce migration, by class and proportion of renters, among ward residents, white British onlySource: Home Office Citizenship Survey (Office for National Statistics and Home Office 2010, 2011)
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13. Minority Growth Matters more than East European Immigration for OpinionMinority changes at low-scale and levels at large-scale heighten white oppositionMinority levels at low-scale reduce oppositionWhite Other/E European share not associated with opposition to immigrationMinorities: whether UK-born, English-speaking, social housing, employed, matters little. Mixed, Muslim, Caribbean – sporadic effectsContact and Habituation of native white population to the local presence of minorities, even if segregated/foreign-born/Muslim, seems key
14. Immigration and Immigration Opinion in the US & Canada since 1965Source: Wilkes, Guppy & Farris 2007
15. ConclusionMinority change associated with more English ethnic nationalismMinority levels can mean less opposition: but requires residential integrationLocal contact with and habituation to minorities, rather than deep integration, reduces opposition to immigrationAssimilation has historically reduced ethnic nationalism
16. Policy OptionsEncourage wide but gradual residential integration of minoritiesManaged migration, but also realism during a period of native-born ethnic changeHousebuilding and refugee dispersal should aim at transient areas with some experience of diversity Diffuse rather than concentrated change is preferable
17. Source: BHPS 1991-2008; UKLHLS 2009-2012
18. “It's the Demography Stupid” Ethnic Change and Immigration Restriction in EnglandEric Kaufmann, Birkbeck Collegee.kaufmann@bbk.ac.uk; twitter: @epkaufm; web: sneps.net