UKRAINE amp IMPACTED COUNTRIES Numbers at a glance 70 million Refugee arrivals from Ukraine 71 million Internally Displaced People 4183 Civilian casualties 5014 Civilian casualties Injured ID: 1042929
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1. CONTEXT &SITUATION UPDATE UKRAINE & IMPACTED COUNTRIES
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3. Numbers at a glance7.0 millionRefugee arrivals from Ukraine7.1 millionInternally Displaced People4,183Civilian casualties5,014Civilian casualties - Injured290Attacks on Health Care1,888Attacks on Education FacilitiesUNHCR, 02 Jul 2022IOM, 23 May 2022OHCHR, 08 Jun 2022OHCHR, 08 Jun 2022WHO, 07 Jun 2022Multiple sources, 03 Jun 2022
4. SITUATION ANALYSIS
5. Scenario PlanningPossible courses of action with key triggers to help in recognizing where planning efforts should focus. De-EscalationStalemateEscalationExpansionIFTHENA cease fire agreement reached.UKR combat capability significantly exceeds RUS capability.RUS remains in the occupied areas.Humanitarian needs focus on return beyond RUS-dominated areas.Society rebuilding efforts.Increased probability of socio-economic alleviation.Risks associated with explosives.The conflict remains static and stagnated over longer period.Russia consolidates its presence in occupied areas.Continued shelling of UKR-controlled areas & infrastructure (incl. railways & food storages)UKR faces apparent socio-economic crisis. Global implications.Returnees to retaken areas.Probability for more refugees staying permanently abroad impacts on UKR & host societies.IHL & HR issues.Wider area of conflict in UKR amid RUS expansion.Use of deadlier weapons (incl. biological & chemical).Significant increase in western indirect participation.Resumption of refugee & IDP movements.Emphasis of humanitarian needs toward wartime focus.Food insecurity exceeds 50% of households in all UKR.Larger-scale and systematic IHL & HR issues.BLR participates directly in the conflict.RUS invasion in neighboring countries (Moldova, Poland)Use of nuclear arms.Refugees from neighboring countries (MLD) toward Europe.Humanitarian needs on wartime focus.Direct West-RUS confrontation.Pressure on host countries’ reception capacities.
6. Ukraine EA operations update, achievements and needs
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8. ccccccENABLING APPROACHESOPERATIONAL STRATEGY ACTIVITIESCash and Voucher Assistance245M CHFAffected populationHealth45M CHFWASH30M CHFPGI16.6M CHFLivelihoods10M CHFShelter150M CHFMigration8.8M CHFCEA5M CHFEnvironmental Sustainability1M CHF
9. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION