Jeff DeBellis Director of Economic amp Policy Analysis LEAD NC Department of Commerce Who is LEAD NCs primary source of economic amp labor market data information amp analysis Produce monthly jobs amp unemployment numbers quarterly industrywage data amp occupational stati ID: 757649
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Slide1
Employer Needs, Hot Jobs, & New Tools
Jeff DeBellis
Director of Economic & Policy Analysis, LEAD
NC Department of CommerceSlide2
Who is
LEAD?
NC’s primary source of economic & labor market data, information, & analysis
Produce monthly jobs & unemployment numbers, quarterly industry/wage data, & occupational statistics on behalf of BLS
Support the state’s workforce / economic development systems & policy makersSlide3
Agenda
LATE NEWS…
2016 Employer Needs Survey
BREAKING NEWS…
2017 Star Jobs &
2024 Regional Employment Projections
COMING SOON…
Open Data PortalSlide4
Full Report at
http://tinync.com/49.ncSlide5
Survey Overview
Update & enhancement of 2014 survey
1,900 surveys collected overall
78% response rate
all sized companies
all 100 counties participated
Phone interviews by NCSU
(Center for Urban Affairs & Community Services)
Focus on four industries: Manufacturing, Construction, Healthcare, and STEM Slide6
Survey Goals
Assess hiring difficulties of North Carolina employers
Understand employers’ needs & recruitment strategies
Understand job vacancies & hiring demandSlide7
Trends
Difficulties – skills & otherwise
Recruitment
Industry differences
OverviewSlide8
Hiring remains strong – same as 2014
Hiring difficulties still exist
Still no difference between urban & rural counties
Top 3 reasons for difficulties remain
Increase in citing soft skills difficulty
Trends
Compared
to 2014…Slide9
TrendsCompared
to 2014*
Statistically similar to 2014 - despite a more competitive market
70% said difficulties are “about same as last year”
11%
perceive
improving
19%
perceive
declining
* Comparing only those w/ 10+ employees
Hiring employers who had difficulty filling at least one position in the past yearSlide10
Work Experience
Education,
Certification, Training
Technical Skills
Soft Skills
Criminal Record
Low Pay
Failed Drug Screening
Hiring Difficulties
*among all
hiring employers
experiencing difficulties Slide11
* Healthcare difficulty mostly in establishments w/ 10+ employees
11
Hiring
Difficulties
among all hiring employers
by IndustrySlide12
Many Similarities Between Industries
Technical or Occupation-Related Skills
Relevant Work Experience
Education Level, Certification, or Training
Some Differences
Soft Skills - STEM
Failing a Drug Test - Manufacturing & Construction
Low Pay - Healthcare
Top Reasons
for Hiring
Difficulties
by IndustrySlide13
Lack of work ethic, dependability issues
Low number of applicants, rural location, transportation
Lack of interest in industry/occupation
Negative characteristics of workplace or job
Increased competition due to improved economy
Inability to offer higher wages
Other Reasons
for Hiring
Difficulties Slide14
Experience Gap
?
Among the Four Industries…
Entry-level positions much easier to fill
The more experience needed, the greater hiring difficulty
58% of “experienced” positions are very difficult to fill
Entry
Mid
Experienced*
Manufacturing
23%
30%
50%
Construction
33%
38%
65%
Health Care
13%
15%
50%
STEM
10%
14%
62%
Hiring Difficulty by Position Experience Required
* Experienced positions = 5 or more years experienceSlide15
Recruiting Resources
all industries
Word of Mouth
Internet Job Boards
Company Websites
Community Colleges
Social Network Sites
Local Newspapers
Universities
NCWorks
Online
NCWorks
Career Center
18% Who Hired Used
Word of Mouth Exclusively
More Common Among Small Businesses
(<10 employees)Slide16
Skill Training Resources
On-the-Job Training
Private Vendors
Community Colleges
Universities
Apprenticeship Programs
OJT: Area of Future Study
What level of On-the-Job Training is offered?
Types of training and for whom?
How many companies do
not
offer structured training?
On-the-Job Training
Private Vendors
Community Colleges
Universities
Apprenticeship ProgramsSlide17
45%
of all organizations plan to hire in the next 12 months
61% with 10+ employees
30% of small employers (<10 employees)
Similar across all 4 industries
Hiring OutlookSlide18
Quantifies employer needs across all businesses / industries, not just the loudest voices
Can be used to determine if issues are improving or change with business cycle
Identifies workforce system opportunities (enhance apprenticeships & OJT?)
Usefulness of this surveySlide19
Detailed skills are hard to quantify
given the wide variation of industries and survey sample size
Can’t identify conditions at county / regional level
sample size too small to make statistically significant statements
No perspective from job seekers
why aren’t more individuals getting training in these occupations, applying at these companies, or choosing to work elsewhere (or not at all)
Limitations of this surveySlide20
Next Up
Awaiting direction from
NCWorks
Commission
Core questions to stay the same w/ minor changes
May alter samples – by industry, size, geography
Anticipate partnering with Business Service Reps of the WDBs on next study
Anticipate conducting new survey in fall/winter 2017
Next report to be published Q1 2018Slide21
2024 Employment Projections & Star JobsSlide22
Geographies based on Labor MarketsSlide23
The Raleigh-Durham Sub-Region
In 2014
*
Nearly 80% of region’s resident workers worked in the region
Over 75% of region’s jobs were taken by regional residents
39% of region’s jobs taken by Wake residents, 6% by Johnston
In 3Q 2016
57% of region’s private sector jobs were in Wake, 5% in Johnston
* Private Sector, Primary Jobs onlySlide24
Top 10 Industries with Most New Jobs thru 2024
Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services
Food Services & Drinking Places
Hospitals
Ambulatory Health Care
Educational Services
Administrative & Support Services
Specialty Trade Contractors
Local Government
Excluding Education, Hospitals
Food & Beverage Stores
Amusement & RecreationSlide25
Top 10 Occupations with Most New Jobs thru 2024
Food Prep & Serving Workers
Registered Nurses
Retail Salespersons
Customer Service Reps
Home Health Aides
Waiters & Waitresses
Cashiers
Software App Developers
Nursing Assistants
Restaurant CooksSlide26
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations thru 2024
Statisticians
Cartographers &
Photogrammetrists
Credit Counselors
Personal Financial Advisors
Interpreters & Translators
Orthotists
& Prosthetists
Nurse Practitioners
Web Developers
Physical Therapist Assistants
Physical Therapist AidesSlide27
Top 20 Star Jobs of 2017
Registered Nurses
Software App Developers
General & Operations Managers
Accountants & Auditors
Computer Systems Analysts
Computer Support Specialists
Office & Administrative Support Supervisors
Market Research Analysts & Marketing Specialists
Management Analysts
Construction Trades Supervisors
Computer & IT Systems Managers
Lawyers
Electricians
Software Systems Developers
Personal Financial Advisors
Heating, Air Conditioning, & Refrigeration Mechanics
Fitness Trainers & Aerobics Instructors
Postsecondary Health Specialties Teachers
Insurance Sales Agents
Network & Computer System AdminsSlide28
ToolsSlide29
Current
LEAD
Data Tools
D4 originally designed for labor market customers
(ESC)
AccessNC
originally designed for economic developer
(NC Commerce)Slide30
New Open Data Portal
Will replace
AccessNC
& D4
Maintains data access
Download
Add visualizations
Allows live connections to dataSlide31
Data Catalog
72 datasets and counting
Most available at county & WDB region levels
Export in multiple formatsSlide32
Use pre-designed dashboards
Create your own
DashboardsSlide33
Visualizations & Maps
Manipulate data in the browser
Share resultsSlide34
Link & EmbedSlide35
Thank You
Jeff DeBellis
jeff.debellis@nccommerce.com