Perspectives from the Field Professor Catherine Wolfram April 2017 2 The developing world accounts for most expected growth in energy and CO 2 emissions 5 Source Energy Information Administration International Energy Outlook 2016 ID: 603752
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Slide1
Energy in the Developing World: Perspectives from the Field
Professor Catherine Wolfram
April 2017Slide2
2Slide3Slide4Slide5
The developing world accounts for most expected growth in energy and CO2 emissions
5
Source
: Energy Information
Administration International Energy Outlook, 2016Slide6
6
Energy correlated with economic growth
Source
:
World Bank, WDISlide7
Previous projections underestimate energy demand in the developing world7
Source: IEA
World Energy Outlook
2015Slide8
Previous projections underestimate energy demand in the developing world8
Source: IEA
World Energy Outlook
2015Slide9
Development AngleSlide10
Compare changes in social and economic outcomes for both groups
Communities are randomly divided into a treatment and a control group
Randomized
controlled trial (RCT)
10Slide11
Step
1:
Distribute
“subsidies” to householdsSlide12
Step
2: REA extends national grid to householdsSlide13
Step
3: Kenya Power installs prepaid metersSlide14
14
Many households are
“
under-grid”Slide15
15
Households want high wattage appliancesSlide16
16
Very small
impacts
of electrificationSlide17
17
Most of the growth will come from commercial, industrial and existing on-grid households.
Are we too focused on rural electrification?Slide18
Energy in the developing world
18
We need to
understand
the drivers
of energy demand in the developing
world
,
1Slide19
Energy in the developing world
19
D
evelop
both technological and policy solutions that
work, and
2Slide20
Energy in the developing world
20
3
G
auge
climate solutions based on impacts in China,
India,
and Sub-Saharan
Africa.Slide21
21