PPT-Use of a historical analog-based winter storm guidance pack

Mike Evans Motivation Models are often better at forecasting large scale patterns than quantitative precipitation Forecasters often make forecasts by examining model forecasts of largescale patterns then evaluating . People can become trapped at hom without utilities or other services Heavy snowfall and blizzards can trap motorists in their cars Attempting to walk for help in a blizzard can be a deadly decision inter storms can make driving and walking extremel The need for an improved warning paradigm was first informally discussed between NHC and coastal WFOs in 2002. . I. n . 2008 NHC prepared a white paper that formally . introduced . the concept of a storm surge warning. The white . April 2014. Joe Chrisman. Joe.n.chrisman@noa.gov. Storm-Based Auto PRF Functional Overview. The PRF Selection Function selects the 3. 1. most significant storms based on the highest storm-based VIL . Andy Nash, NOAA/NWS Burlington. Michael Muccilli, NOAA/NWS Burlington. Nathan Foster, NOAA/NWS Las Vegas. WFO BGM Sub-Regional Workshop. 2015 WFO BGM Sub-Regional Workshop. It’s an impact severity index…. By: Brianna Cassone . +. Cameron Armstrong. Stars. by . Robert Frost. How countlessly they congregate . O'er our tumultuous snow,. Which flows in shapes as tall as trees . When wintry winds do blow!– . May 16. th. , 2011. U.S. . EAST COAST WINTER STORM VARIABILITY DUE TO NAO AND OTHER LOW-FREQUENCY OSCILLATIONS. By Brandon Meitz. May 16. th. , 2011. L. Outline. What is winter storm variability?. What are ECWS?. Jamie . Enderlen. (LOT). Marcia . Cronce. (MKX). Dennis . Vancleve. (MKX). What Are Decision Support Services?. Everything that occurs between finishing the forecast and a customer utilizing the forecast, product, or headline . By Harrison Franklin and Kemal Kenton. The backstory:. It was a time of disaster in the worst winter ever seen the school of . K. ing Edward's was snowed in with no way of getting food, the diesel in the boiler was running thin, no electricity, no way of heating, no way of lighting, no signal for cell phones how would the people on the King Edwards campus survive?. . 2015 SDATAT Road Conference. By. :. Ken . Skorseth. SDLTAP . Special Projects Manager. Presentation Overview. Eliminate “Snow Traps” whenever possible. Define Snow Routes. Who Calls for the Plow?. April 2014. Joe Chrisman. Joe.n.chrisman@noa.gov. Storm-Based Auto PRF Functional Overview. The PRF Selection Function selects the 3. 1. most significant storms based on the highest storm-based VIL . Joe Chrisman. Joe.n.chrisman@noa.gov. Storm-Based Auto PRF Functional Overview. The PRF Selection Function selects the 3. 1. most significant storms based on the highest storm-based VIL . (Storms must have a VIL > 20 kg/m. . 2015 SDATAT Road Conference. By. :. Ken . Skorseth. SDLTAP . Special Projects Manager. Presentation Overview. Eliminate “Snow Traps” whenever possible. Define Snow Routes. Who Calls for the Plow?. File Nr. 32 35 .18 - 450.1 0 2 . 0 4 | Revision: 202010 1 1 Type BWS BWS21 Historical Part Number AXIAL BW234 - 0 BW235 - 0 SMD RZ B4 RZ B5 Nominal Power Rating * P 25 [W] 1 ,1 2 , 1 P 70 0 , 75 Prepare your car. Protect yourself. Prevent a crash. Prepare Your Car. BEFORE. . WINTER STORM ARRIVES. Fill windshield washer. Check antifreeze. Check tires. Check windshield wipers. Check your battery.