PPT-Conditional Probability. Expected Value

Miles Jones MTThF 830950am CSE 4140 August 29 2016 The Monty Hall Puzzle Whats the players best strategy Always swap B Always stay C Doesnt matter its 5050 Car hidden behind one of three doors. A brief digression back to . joint probability: . i.e. . both events . O. . and. . H. occur. .  . Again, we can express joint probability in terms of their separate conditional and unconditional probabilities. T.Jagannadha. . Swamy. Dept of . ECE,Griet. Random Variable. A random variable . x. takes on a defined set of values with different probabilities.. For example, if you roll a die, the outcome is random (not fixed) and there are 6 possible outcomes, each of which occur with probability one-sixth. . and Independence . in the Common Core. CMC Annual Conference. Palm Springs, CA. November, 2013.   . Josh Tabor. Canyon del Oro High School. joshtabor@hotmail.com. From the . Common Core State Standards. Hubarth. Algebra II. Conditional probability . contain a condition that may limit the sample space for an event. You . can write a conditional probability using the notation P(B|A), read “ the probability of event B,. Objectives:. By the end of this section, I will be. able to…. Calculate conditional probabilities.. Recognize the difference between sampling with replacement and sampling without replacement.. CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY:. Coins game. Toss 3 coins. You win if . at least two . come out heads. S. = { . HHH. , . HHT. , . HTH. , . HTT. , . T. HH. , . T. HT. , . T. TH. , . T. TT. }. equally likely outcomes. W. = { . HHH. and Independence . in the Common Core. CMC Annual Conference. Palm Springs, CA. November, 2013.   . Josh Tabor. Canyon del Oro High School. joshtabor@hotmail.com. From the . Common Core State Standards. Conditional Probability. Conditional Probability: . A probability where a certain prerequisite condition has already been met.. Conditional Probability Notation. The probability of Event A, given that Event B has already occurred, is expressed as P(A | B).. .  . .  . .  . .  . .  . .  . Announcements. Assignments:. HW9 (written). Due Tue 4/2, 10 pm. Optional Probability (online). Midterm:. Mon 4/8, in-class. Course Feedback:. See Piazza post for mid-semester survey. It has 4 phases.. 1.Action or acts.. 2.State of nature or events or outcome.. 3.Pay off and pay off table or pay off matrix.. Decision. A decision problem may be represented by tree diagram. Decision making problems deals with the selection of single act from a set of acts.. Coins game. Toss 3 coins. You win if . at least two . come out heads.. S. = { . HHH. , . HHT. , . HTH. , . HTT. , . THH. , . THT. , . TTH. , . TTT. }. W. = { . HHH. , . HHT. , . HTH. , . THH. }. Coins game. Bayes. and Independence. Computer Science cpsc322, Lecture 25. (Textbook . Chpt. . 6.1.3.1-2). Nov, 5, 2012. Lecture Overview. Recap Semantics of Probability. Marginalization. Conditional Probability. * Figures are from the . textbook site. .. II. Naïve Bayes model. III. Revisiting the . wumpus. world. I. Combining Evidence. What happens when we have two or more pieces of evidences?. . Suppose we know the full joint distribution.. Tutor Training Spring 2019. Which Dogs Go Where? (Venn Diagram). Twenty-four dogs are in a kennel.  Twelve of the dogs are black, six of the dogs have short tails, and fifteen of the dogs have long hair.  There is only one dog that is black with a short tail and long hair.  Two of the dogs are black with short tails and do not have long hair.  .