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Pecan Production Trends for the Future Pecan Production Trends for the Future

Pecan Production Trends for the Future - PowerPoint Presentation

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Uploaded On 2018-10-23

Pecan Production Trends for the Future - PPT Presentation

Tom Stevenson Orchard Management Services Albany GA Arizona Western New Mexico Arizona 5300 acres less than 7 years old 4500 acres intended to be planted by 2018 5000 acres planned for 20182022 ID: 694213

pounds 000 production acres 000 pounds acres production years acre georgia planted 2025 density hedging plantings average trees industry

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Slide1

Pecan Production Trends for the Future

Tom Stevenson

Orchard Management Services

Albany, GASlide2

Arizona, Western New MexicoArizona

5300 acres less than 7 years old

4500 acres intended to be planted by 2018

5000 acres planned for 2018-2022

Western New Mexico

4000 acres intended over next two years in Animas Valley

HIGH DENSITY

PLANTINGS,

PLANS FOR HEDGING,

IRRIGATION &

GOOD MANAGEMENT

18,800

Acres with some hitting yields of 2,000 pounds per acre in the 6

th

year of

production

18,800

acres with an average of 2,500 pounds per acre by

2025

=

47,000,000

pounds of

new production.

Slide3

Florida and Alabama1: Some new plantings over past 5 years but numbers difficult to get.

2: Interviews with growers indicated possibly 2000 acres in total.

3: By 2025 an additional 3,000,000 pounds at 1,500 pounds per acre. Slide4

Georgia

New Plantings:

1: 20,000 new acres

planted in last 5 years

. (2009 through 2013)

2: 5,000

acres inter-planted, increasing the density of trees in older, widely spacing orchards.

3: Through 2013,

165,000

total acres

of

trees in Georgia.

4: Nursery

production

projections indicate 5,000 acres planted in 2014 and 6,000 acres planned in 2015.

5: 2025

could arrive with

36,000

new acres in Georgia with an age of

10

to 17 years of age

.

Higher production will be achieved on these acres because

of:

1: Higher tree density per acre

2: All planted with irrigation

3: Plans for hedging to maintain tree density, also allowing for increased light

and better

disease(scab) control.

4: Much improved cultural programs for water, fertilizer, fruit thinning, hedging, etc.

5: New

varieties that are larger nuts, earlier harvest, more precocious, higher yielding in pounds and meat.

6: A new generation of growers with enthusiasm, intelligence and the capital to do it right.

No longer a Secondary Crop:

1:

Older

orchards are being irrigated with only 20% of the

state acreage

being dry land now.

2:

The

average crop of 800 pounds per acre (112,000,000 pounds) will increase

dramatically.

3:

The

new

high density plantings

are

achieving 2,000

pounds plus per

acre in 10-12 years.

4: The

older trees will

increase their average

to 1,400 pounds per

acre over those same years.

By

2025 I estimate the average crop for Georgia will

increase by

156,000,000 pounds,

from 112,000,000 pounds to

268,000,000

.Slide5

HEDGING IN GEORGIASlide6

Newly Planted Trees by Cultivar 2012Dr. Lenny Wells-University of Georgia

27%Slide7

Production Trends

Dr. Patrick ConnerSlide8

Estimated Production increases by 2025

Arizona and Western New Mexico>>

47,000,000

NEW

POUNDS

Alabama and Florida>>>>>>>>>>>>> 3,000,000

NEW

POUNDS

Georgia>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 156,000,000

NEW

POUNDS

TOTAL=206,000,000 NEW

And we have not come to George Ray’s part of the program yet!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Slide9

A United Industry

If we are to support the needed research and marketing efforts we will need to absorb this new production, both here and abroad, the only way to effectively do that is with a marketing order and mandatory collection of an assessment. This will allow us to have enough money to pursue the kinds of promotion, domestic and foreign, shelled and in shell, that we need. The marketing order that Mike Adams and U.S. Pecan is proposing is the only opportunity to move forward on an industry wide scale. I urge all segments of the industry to put the decades of division aside and join forces in a this effort to allow all of us to continue with our new growth and reinvigoration of the pecan industry. We owe it to our sons and daughters(and ourselves). Please offer support in any manner possible. Thank you.

Tom Stevenson