Tom Stevenson Orchard Management Services Albany GA Arizona Western New Mexico Arizona 5300 acres less than 7 years old 4500 acres intended to be planted by 2018 5000 acres planned for 20182022 ID: 160109
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Slide1
Pecan Production Trends for the Future
Tom Stevenson
Orchard Management Services
Albany, GASlide2
Arizona, Western New MexicoArizona
5300 acres less than 7 years old
4500 acres intended to be planted by 2018
5000 acres planned for 2018-2022
Western New Mexico
4000 acres intended over next two years in Animas Valley
HIGH DENSITY
PLANTINGS,
PLANS FOR HEDGING,
IRRIGATION &
GOOD MANAGEMENT
18,800
Acres with some hitting yields of 2,000 pounds per acre in the 6
th
year of
production
18,800
acres with an average of 2,500 pounds per acre by
2025
=
47,000,000
pounds of
new production.
Slide3
Florida and Alabama1: Some new plantings over past 5 years but numbers difficult to get.
2: Interviews with growers indicated possibly 2000 acres in total.
3: By 2025 an additional 3,000,000 pounds at 1,500 pounds per acre. Slide4
Georgia
New Plantings:
1: 20,000 new acres
planted in last 5 years
. (2009 through 2013)
2: 5,000
acres inter-planted, increasing the density of trees in older, widely spacing orchards.
3: Through 2013,
165,000
total acres
of
trees in Georgia.
4: Nursery
production
projections indicate 5,000 acres planted in 2014 and 6,000 acres planned in 2015.
5: 2025
could arrive with
36,000
new acres in Georgia with an age of
10
to 17 years of age
.
Higher production will be achieved on these acres because
of:
1: Higher tree density per acre
2: All planted with irrigation
3: Plans for hedging to maintain tree density, also allowing for increased light
and better
disease(scab) control.
4: Much improved cultural programs for water, fertilizer, fruit thinning, hedging, etc.
5: New
varieties that are larger nuts, earlier harvest, more precocious, higher yielding in pounds and meat.
6: A new generation of growers with enthusiasm, intelligence and the capital to do it right.
No longer a Secondary Crop:
1:
Older
orchards are being irrigated with only 20% of the
state acreage
being dry land now.
2:
The
average crop of 800 pounds per acre (112,000,000 pounds) will increase
dramatically.
3:
The
new
high density plantings
are
achieving 2,000
pounds plus per
acre in 10-12 years.
4: The
older trees will
increase their average
to 1,400 pounds per
acre over those same years.
By
2025 I estimate the average crop for Georgia will
increase by
156,000,000 pounds,
from 112,000,000 pounds to
268,000,000
.Slide5
HEDGING IN GEORGIASlide6
Newly Planted Trees by Cultivar 2012Dr. Lenny Wells-University of Georgia
27%Slide7
Production Trends
Dr. Patrick ConnerSlide8
Estimated Production increases by 2025
Arizona and Western New Mexico>>
47,000,000
NEW
POUNDS
Alabama and Florida>>>>>>>>>>>>> 3,000,000
NEW
POUNDS
Georgia>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 156,000,000
NEW
POUNDS
TOTAL=206,000,000 NEW
And we have not come to George Ray’s part of the program yet!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Slide9
A United Industry
If we are to support the needed research and marketing efforts we will need to absorb this new production, both here and abroad, the only way to effectively do that is with a marketing order and mandatory collection of an assessment. This will allow us to have enough money to pursue the kinds of promotion, domestic and foreign, shelled and in shell, that we need. The marketing order that Mike Adams and U.S. Pecan is proposing is the only opportunity to move forward on an industry wide scale. I urge all segments of the industry to put the decades of division aside and join forces in a this effort to allow all of us to continue with our new growth and reinvigoration of the pecan industry. We owe it to our sons and daughters(and ourselves). Please offer support in any manner possible. Thank you.
Tom Stevenson